Rotorua

October 21st, 2008 at 11:30 am by David Farrar

I’m around a week behind with blogging from the , so will be doing a series of catch up posts over the next two days.

It is lots of fun out on the road, but fitting in time for driving, work for my business, blogging the national stuff, meeting and interviewing locals and then actually blogging about them has been hard.

Anyway back to . which was the weekend before last. as a city tends to be Labour voting, but on the new boundaries is marginally National. It has a high Maori population and at the local markets I would have said it was 50/50 Maori and non-Maori.

So it was interesting to observe the warm reception got there – lots of people wanting to chat to him, even sing to him.

John was a good enough sport to give us a quick interview, above. He cited the economy as easily the biggest issue for NZers. He also endorsed parts of the NZX plan (and this was prior to him announcing the NZ Super Fund policy which was in there) except for capital gains tax. John said 2002 was his first ever election – he was a prefect at school but that was “selected by the Gods higher up”.

He was cautious on McCain vs Obama but did say McCain was a strong supporter of NZ, but sure Obama will be also. He didn’t rule out offering Sarah Palin a role in his administration if she didn’t make it to Vice-President in the US. His tax cuts did go on the legendary block of cheese and for the final question he chose Goff over Cunliffe – but did predict Goff would not be there long.

Todd “Boris” McClay is the local candidate – and also cooks up great bacon and eggs at midnight! He was born in Rotorua and returned to NZ after many years in Europe, including representing several Pacific states to the European Union.

Todd picked crime as the biggest local issue from his door knocking. I asked Todd how a non Cook Islander ended up as their Ambassador to the European Union. Todd artfully pointed out he was made an Honorary Cook Islander a few years ago in gratitude for his services, so he may be our first Cook Islands MP!

Internationally Todd is backing Obama as he is about the future. On the tax cuts he,like many candidates, is without income so gets nothing from tax cuts but if he was working would invest them in KiwiSaver. And finally he picks Michael Cullen ahead of Goff and Cunliffe for the future!

was there also. Sadly Steve wasn’t keen to take part – a pity because this is all light hearted stuff – nothing tough or nasty. Anyway Cameron got some footage of Steve refusing.

Rotorua has been held by Chadwick since 1999, winning it off Max Bradford with a 4,978 majority. In 2002 she extended that to 7.744. This got knocked back to 662 in 2005 and on the new 2008 boundaries it is marginally National by 366 votes.

This is one of those seats National would expect to win if it becomes Government. Chadwick is No 30 on Labour’s list and would come back in on 32% of the vote, so should be back regardless. McClay is 54 on National’s list and would come in on around 45%.

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17 Responses to “Rotorua”

  1. Redbaiter (13,197 comments) says:

    “Internationally Todd is backing Obama as he is about the future. On the tax cuts he,like many candidates, is without income so gets nothing from tax cuts but if he was working would invest them in KiwiSaver. And finally he picks Michael Cullen ahead of Goff and Cunliffe for the future!”

    Please tell me this guy is the Labour rep and not (horror) a National Candidate.

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  2. pushmepullu (686 comments) says:

    Typical Labour scum fleeing in terror from any media outlet that isn’t part of their loyal corps of leftist mud-slingers. Keep it up DPF you are bringing fear to the Labourite apparatchiks… Chadwick is probably still shitting herself in fear at the idea of actually having to think for herself. I would not be surprised if you do not get to speak to another Labour candidate after the pathetic performance of that oaf in Otaki (I forgot his name already)

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  3. PhilBest (5,117 comments) says:

    “Todd picked crime as the biggest local issue from his door knocking……”

    I just said THIS on the “police numbers in South Auckland” thread (note the last sentence):

    Interestingly, the way this has worked in New York under Mayor Guiliani and Commissioner Stratton, is that as a busted-arse area is got under control and secured, people who were living in fear start to live normal lives, people who were unable to make a decent living as they would then have become a target for criminals, start to get ahead under their own efforts, businesses and shops start to move back in to the area and provide jobs, and shopping no longer means a trip of several miles in fear the whole way; the grateful ordinary innocent people of those areas end up loyal supporters of “law and order” politicians. That is of course something that lefty politicians are scared of.

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  4. pushmepullu (686 comments) says:

    Redbaiter mate I hate to be the one to break it to you but the National Party are not conservatives. Well some might be but the party has been severely infiltrated by weak-wristed Liberals who really should find a home in the Labour Party. Hence all the me-tooism about blatantly socialist policies like Kiwisaver that are wrecking our economy. I know it is hard for a true conservative like you to admit it since I know you have great love and respect for National but the fact is the party is getting more and more shocking to the day

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  5. dad4justice (7,736 comments) says:

    The fumes in Rotovegas send some inhabitants troppo hence the “not interested” scary and strange Steve Chadwick. What a cot case.
    Mother do you think they’ll drop the bomb….. oh what a lickspittle liarbour wall……. mother will we change the government….

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  6. PhilBest (5,117 comments) says:

    # Redbaiter (3957) 1 0 Says:
    October 21st, 2008 at 11:36 am

    “Internationally Todd is backing Obama as he is about the future. On the tax cuts he,like many candidates, is without income so gets nothing from tax cuts but if he was working would invest them in KiwiSaver. And finally he picks Michael Cullen ahead of Goff and Cunliffe for the future!”

    “Please tell me this guy is the Labour rep and not (horror) a National Candidate.”

    Please tell ME that this guy doesn’t represent “the future” typical MP in a NATIONAL Government………

    OBAMA and CULLEN are about the FUTURE????? Oh PUH-LEEEZE. You mean the “future” collapse of civilisation, surely?

    [DPF: Todd was taking the piss with his pick of Cullen]

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  7. Tim Ellis (253 comments) says:

    McClay’s a really strong campaigner. Chadwick seems to be well liked locally–hard to find many people with anything unkind to say about her, but there is a strong sense that she will go out with the Labour tide against her. McClay’s all over the electorate with hoardings everywhere, is in all the local media all the time, seems to be door-knocking constantly and has a really natural campaigning style. Chadwick meanwhile seems to have given up on winning Rotorua.

    I’m picking a McClay win by 7,000 votes on election day.

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  8. PhilBest (5,117 comments) says:

    # pushmepullu (546) Vote: Add rating 0 Subtract rating 0 Says:
    October 21st, 2008 at 11:40 am

    “Redbaiter mate I hate to be the one to break it to you but the National Party are not conservatives. Well some might be but the party has been severely infiltrated by weak-wristed Liberals who really should find a home in the Labour Party. Hence all the me-tooism about blatantly socialist policies like Kiwisaver that are wrecking our economy. I know it is hard for a true conservative like you to admit it since I know you have great love and respect for National but the fact is the party is getting more and more shocking to the day.”

    This is IRONIC, Redbaiter having this told to him by someone else, rather than the other way round.

    Pleeeze, what are the prospects in the future, of getting say 20 or 30 ACT MP’s into Parliament and perhaps a few “Kiwi Party” and Libertarianz, just to restore some sign of sanity to the nation?

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  9. Redbaiter (13,197 comments) says:

    “Chadwick seems to be well liked locally–hard to find many people with anything unkind to say about her,”

    How about National publicizing the fact that she was the leading anti smoking on private property Nazi?? That should have gone down in Rotorua like a lead balloon.

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  10. Tane (1,096 comments) says:

    John’s smug cheese comment received a wee critique over here:

    http://www.thestandard.org.nz/johns-cheese/

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  11. baxter (893 comments) says:

    Like Redbaiter I thought this guy must be for Liabour-First…..I see Obama is even calling the welfare money he has promised to hand out to people who don’t pay any tax ‘Tax Credits’. I wonder where he got that idea from………To be charitable perhaps by stating a preference for Obama McLay might have thought it would give him greater empathy with indigenous Rotorua voters.

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  12. Redbaiter (13,197 comments) says:

    National should use the US election as a culling exercise, and boot out anyone who supports Obama. On the grounds that those who do just have to be the most uninformed socialist flunkies, and completely unhelpful therefore in ridding NZ of the scourge of leftism.

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  13. Bevan (3,965 comments) says:

    John’s smug cheese comment received a wee critique over here:

    http://www.thestandard.org.nz/johns-cheese/

    Still banning posters who dont agree with you Tane?

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  14. Bevan (3,965 comments) says:

    National should use the US election as a culling exercise, and boot out anyone who supports Obama.

    Say it over and over ten times. Four years of Carter got us eight years of Reagan.

    Like Python says: Always look on the bright side of life.

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  15. gd (2,286 comments) says:

    One almost feels sorry for the sad losers over at the Standard like their Party they are breft of new ideas and unable to see that 9 years of tax and spend like drunken sailors has now come home to roost.

    Pity the worst suffers are ‘their people’ Meanwhile the Right just continue on creating the real wealth and paying the bulkf of the taxes to fund these socialists waste of oxygen

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  16. Ross Miller (1,661 comments) says:

    Well PhilBest … ACt might just get 20-30 MPs into Parliament and pigs might fly and Winston Peters becomes Prime Minister … but I don’t think so.

    But the real ‘off the wall’ stuff is the occasional comment I see here about the Kiwi Party making it into Parliament. I mean seriously … not registering in the Polls and the spawn of Christian Heritage????? …. clearly that Party has been cuddling up the Greens with their ‘smoke’ getting into their eyes.

    All wasted votes which end up being distributed to those who make it over the cut line …. eg The Kiwi party polls 1000 votes nation wide. Based on current polling:

    National @ 50% gets 500
    Labour @ 36% gets 360
    Greens @ 7% get 70
    MP @ 2% get 20
    ACT @ 2% get 20
    UF @ 1% get 10

    and someone will tell; me where the remaining 2% end up.

    So, Vote Kiwi and 42% of your vote is for a Labour-Greens Government.

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  17. goodgod (1,363 comments) says:

    That’s the most relaxed, confident, eloquent behavior I’ve seen from John Key in an interview.

    If he could learn to present that face to NZ in official business, he’d wipe away any opposition.

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