iPredict on Richard Worth

June 11th, 2009 at 3:15 pm by David Farrar

iPredict has stock on whether Worth will leave Parliament in 2009 and the market thinks he will – at 78%.

I am not sure the odds are that high. With the earlier allegation somewhat unravelling (but not totally), it is hard to see what will trigger him being forced to quit. However he may decide to quit anyway rather than spend two years miserable as a backbencher. I’d personally not price the stock at over 60%.

There is also a stock on whether a second Minister will depart in 2009 and that is at 39%. Again I think that is too high and would put it at 25% at this stage.

Tags: iPredict, Richard Worth

This entry was posted on Thursday, June 11th, 2009 at 3:15 pm and is filed under NZ Politics. You can follow any responses to this entry through the RSS 2.0 feed. You can skip to the end and leave a response. Pinging is currently not allowed.

14 Responses to “iPredict on Richard Worth”

toad (3,570) Says:
June 11th, 2009 at 3:19 pm
DPF said: There is also a stock on whether a second Minister will depart in 2009 and that is at 39%.

Nick Smith, step up to the plate.
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big bruv (11,255) Says:
June 11th, 2009 at 3:37 pm
Where was this deep concern for Ministerial actions when Labour were in power Toad?

More Green party hypocrisy.
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goonix (140) Says:
June 11th, 2009 at 3:41 pm
Short them then.
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Murray (8,833) Says:
June 11th, 2009 at 3:47 pm
Whats the odds on Goff making it to the next election?
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MyNameIsJack (2,415) Says:
June 11th, 2009 at 4:04 pm
better than the odds of the rapture occurring this millenium.
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Murray (8,833) Says:
June 11th, 2009 at 4:11 pm
I’ll take that bet.
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MyNameIsJack (2,415) Says:
June 11th, 2009 at 4:13 pm
OK Muzza, I’ll bet you $100 that the rapture will not occur while Goff is leader.
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davidp (2,786) Says:
June 11th, 2009 at 4:14 pm
Donald Trump on Carrie Prejean: “Carrie is a beautiful young woman”.

Phil Goff on Neelam Choudary: she is “strikingly attractive”.

NZ has found its own Donald Trump!
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Murray (8,833) Says:
June 11th, 2009 at 4:14 pm
If goff doesn’t make it to the next election as leader of labour you never post here again.
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MyNameIsJack (2,415) Says:
June 11th, 2009 at 4:17 pm
But murray, you’d miss me in a heart beat.
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Murray (8,833) Says:
June 11th, 2009 at 4:19 pm
There is no chance I’d miss you at less than 400 metres.

Way to pussy up.
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Viking2 (9,612) Says:
June 11th, 2009 at 5:33 pm
Now that we know that Key’s anger was not about Worths sex like but about getting cosy with a rabid socialist and person of dubious honesty we know the real reason for Key sacking him. Next move of course will be for Worth to “retire” from politics with the usual handshake granted these types. He will of course be promoted to his next level of incompetency(aren’t they always?) and no doubt will be made a High Court Judge. Well didn’t they do the same thing for Cullen?
eh of course the National Socialists will look after their own kind. Can’t do anything else given the example set with the Labour socialist.
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peterquixote (231) Says:
June 11th, 2009 at 6:32 pm
pull yourself together farrar,
PM NAT Key wandered into this slut political situation,
and was going to meet the Worth woman,
and only when pulled up by his soldiers did he back off,
farrar,
Melissa lee, Christine Rankin, Worthless women,
do you think your boss has a proper grip,
he seem to get side track by pretty girl,
like me,
go to my site farrar see girl,
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OECD rank 22 kiwi (2,682) Says:
June 11th, 2009 at 8:44 pm
Arise Sir Richard.
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