Gillard inches closer

September 2nd, 2010 at 6:34 pm by David Farrar

Andrew Wilkie has declared he will back Labor. This is no surprise. I wonder how many of his massive 26 point policy wishlist did they agree to. While no surprise, it gives Gillard momentum coming on the back of Treasury disagreeing with the coalition on the costs of their plans.

On the vote count, the coalition now has a 11,000 vote lead on the TPP vote.

I expect Gillard will do a deal with the three Independents in the next few days.

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31 Responses to “Gillard inches closer”

  1. MikeNZ (3,234 comments) says:

    I hope it falls over in 6 months.

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  2. Adolf Fiinkensein (2,903 comments) says:

    This has been an excellent piece of realpolitik by the Libs. They have engineered a Labour victory which will deliver power to the Libs within a year in such a way that Labour will be buried for the next ten years at least.

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  3. Guy Fawkes (702 comments) says:

    Still can’t see the woman with the red setter on her head, and the nasal strumpet up her Welsh originated cock nose getting over the line.

    FFS she makes Herr Klark look acceptable. Imagine having to live with ‘THAT’ at any level!

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  4. Guy Fawkes (702 comments) says:

    I also suspect that Gillard could do with more than a few good inches.

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  5. Pete George (23,567 comments) says:

    I hope it falls over in 6 months.

    Why? Shouldn’t whoever succeeds in putting together a government then operating a strong positive government be best for Australia? Or do you just think that your political preferences are more important?

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  6. OECD rank 22 kiwi (2,752 comments) says:

    What a shocker, the Labor locks have declared that they are Labor locks.

    Mean time the Coalition has won on ever account. There is only one legitmate Government that can come out of this election result and it isn’t one lead by Julia Gillard.

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  7. side show bob (3,660 comments) says:

    Fuck Aussie will be a total circus within the month. Gillard must have gone to the same finishing school as the Dear One, charm wasn’t on the curriculum by the look of things. Oh well we had to suffer so they should have their fair share to.

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  8. jaba (2,142 comments) says:

    ahhh Labour and the Greens make perfect bed fellows BUT even Dame Helen dumped them like a dirty rag when she didn’t need them .. Gillard dumped the mining tax, used it as a reason for shafting the other guy, forgotten the poor buggers name already, so what will the Greens demand on the so called climate change situation

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  9. voltaire (40 comments) says:

    Tony should wash his hands of of the “dealing and wheeling” and advise the Aussies that the Liberal Coaltion will not emulate the shady back room deals that is the hallmark of the ALP.

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  10. Monty (978 comments) says:

    Like Clark there is nothing socialists will not do for their addiction to power. This is a poisoned chalice Australia will regret. The independents are are to Australia what Winston was to nz.

    Let’s sit by and watch them go to the dogs as they drink from the poisoned chalice

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  11. Hurf Durf (2,860 comments) says:

    Former Gweenie filthbag sides with Lab after rest of party does so, surprise surprise.

    Maybe that Hansen-Young bird convinced him with a can of 7-Up and a handjob.

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  12. PaulL (5,981 comments) says:

    No surprise. He was always going to go Labour. It doesn’t really influence the other independents, he was a greenie ffs. Not that you could tell that from the breathless reporting on ABC over here. You’d have thought it was fully unexpected and meant Labour was one step away from govt.

    However, what has caused a problem is the mishandling of the treasury costings by Abbott. I reckon that’s what’s going to put Labour into power, and potentially what will cost Abbott the next election, which I agree will come soon.

    Main risk here is that if all the independents go with Labour, then they can appoint a speaker. If only 2 do, then they need an independent speaker – and the Libs won’t give it to them. It’d have to be the third independent, and none of them are really competent to be speaker. I reckon nobody can hold a govt together for 3 years in those circumstances – and the calculation is whether you’re better to have tried and failed, or to be the opposition picking up the pieces and pointing to the incompetence of those who tried.

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  13. badmac (136 comments) says:

    And you all wondered how NZ was going to close the GAP with Australia. It wasn’t by growing NZ, but by engineering an election that will halt Australia for a few years (tongue firmly in cheek).

    But you have to admit that this will slow Australia down, also they Greenies will wield the power. ETS anybody, no mining tax, just no mining. Aussie car industry, they don’t make push bikes so gone by lunch time. NZ et all will benefit from this result. The lucky country will lose some shine.

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  14. fatman43us (166 comments) says:

    And Jack McDonald, the three “independents” who join Gillard now will be toast by Christmas.

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  15. Paul Williams (878 comments) says:

    I think you do Wilkie a bit of a diservice, PaulL too, and it’s important to note his background and his dispute with Howard… that said, I don’t think it’s a done deal but suddenly, with the prospect of the Greens having control of the Senate in July, yeah, Labor looks well placed… Adolf’s rant’s typically stupid (actually, more than typically… but stupid nonetheless).

    Oakeshott’s position will be very interesting, Windsor’s too – both NSW-based Independents, both ex-National (Windsor endured by dumped and someone else being pre-selected before he switched and won the seat – where he’s well regarded).

    Whichever party finally claims the treasury benches, they should be able to go three years… which means it should be Labor… but it mightn’t be…

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  16. Rich Prick (1,705 comments) says:

    Good luck with your version of Helen Clark Australia, you deserve her.

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  17. Paul Williams (878 comments) says:

    yeah rich prick, stable, prosperous government… how’s key’s catch up with australia going?

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  18. krazykiwi (9,186 comments) says:

    Under Clark the gap widened. Under Gillard it will close. The only thing stable about tax n spend socialists is the rate of economic decline. And who wants a prosperous government? Certainly not me. I want a prosperous economy.

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  19. Rich Prick (1,705 comments) says:

    Yeah Paul, well when she fucks Australia we will catch up by default I suppose. Socialists are good for one thing, evening out mediocrity. Key is doing a good job at that too by the way.

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  20. Rich Prick (1,705 comments) says:

    And please don’t imply Helen fucking Clark gave us prosperous government, governments do not make money, they fucking print it, at best that’s about all, then they spend the rest of their time de-valueing what they have printed.

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  21. Paul Williams (878 comments) says:

    its the moderate eloquence that brings me back here, time after time after time…

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  22. Rich Prick (1,705 comments) says:

    Oh get a big black dog up ya, ya stupid leftie Labour twat. See, we can and if neutral eloquence is what you are after, for more tempered eloquence fuck off to the Arts Channel. It may be more at your speed.

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  23. Fletch (6,390 comments) says:

    She’s another Helen alright. Who knows what promises she has made, the deals she has brokered, the concessions given, that will change the landscape of her country the way Helen changed ours – influenced by minor parties never given the mandate of the public. That’s the problem with the election system – theirs and ours – when a hippie protester like Sue Bradford is given influence in a “I’ll scratch your back, you scratch mine” way.

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  24. Fox (206 comments) says:

    Nice job on repeating word for word what a few media outlets in Australia are saying, DPF.
    However, the truth is – Gillard hasn’t inched her way closer to anything. Wilkie is a left wing radical (a prerequisite to being a Green candidate). Thus he was ALWAYS going to side with Labor. Had he not done so, his constituants would never have forgiven him.

    Please also try and understand that the same dynamic (constituant pressure) that forced Wilkie towards Labor, will also push the crucial remaining three independants towards the Coalition.
    Any rural heartland candidate backing a Government that intends to introduce an economically devastating carbon tax stands a good chance of literally being lynched back in their own electorate.

    I’m expecting Abbott to announce the successful formation of a Coalition minority Government any time soon.

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  25. Manolo (13,780 comments) says:

    If comrade Gillard forges a government, it could collapse in a matter of months. That will be the end of her “leadership”.

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  26. Paul Williams (878 comments) says:

    However, the truth is – Gillard hasn’t inched her way closer to anything. Wilkie is a left wing radical (a prerequisite to being a Green candidate). Thus he was ALWAYS going to side with Labor. Had he not done so, his constituants would never have forgiven him.

    Wilkie won his seat with only 21 percent first preference votes. He has a somewhat radical background, that’s true, but he’ll want to lock in his seat in the longer term. He could have gone either way but I’m not surprised he went to Gillard since she’s best placed to be able to govern for three years (since Abbott would struggle with the Greens holding the balance of power in the Senate from July).

    I think what’s happening now is that the key consideration for most is doing a deal that will last three years.

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  27. Paul Williams (878 comments) says:

    Screwed up the html coding above – the first para is a quote from Fox above.

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  28. wikiriwhis business (4,016 comments) says:

    Gilard flew over days before the election to discuss the Anzac dollar.

    She will win the election and introduce the united currency sometime in her first term I suspect.

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  29. Paul Williams (878 comments) says:

    wikiriwhis, how’ll she do that exactly? i think you’re getting ahead of yourself a little there…

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  30. thedavincimode (6,759 comments) says:

    … do we have a say in that??

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