Quote of the Day
Chris Hipkins at Red Alert is having a little whine because the Fairfax gallery stated the obvious and said they beleive John Key will be Prime Minuister after the election.
I think shoot the messenger syndrone is starting early.
But the best part of the post, was this comment from Danyl Mc:
The Fairfax prediction is pretty safe. When the nation is offered a choice between a National government run by the very popular John Key, or a Labour-Greens-New Zealand First government run by the very unpopular Phil Goff then every swing voter in the country is going to run screaming towards National.
Danyl has a fair point.
It is mathematically possible for Labour to win. But they need all of the following to occur:
- National to drop around 7%
- Labour to gain around 5%
- Greens to pledge support to Labour
- NZ First to make 5%
- Maori Party back Labour on the basis of getting an even better deal on the foreshore and seabed than National will give them
A coalition led by Phil Goff with Winston, the Greens plus a potential Harawira-dominant Maori Party. Boy, that would be fun. And as Danyl says, not exactly attractive to swinging voters.