The Botany Five

January 20th, 2011 at 7:29 pm by David Farrar

has annoucned the five short-listed candidates for . In alphabetical order they are:

I picked four of the five correctly. I thought Denise Krum would make it also. Edward Saafi I had not profiled previously – his local body election profile is here. Dr Saafi has a PhD and MBA, working as a biomedical health research scientist. Seems a very solid candidate. However he appears to have stood for the Destiny Party in 2005 in Mangere, so I think fair to say not my first choice.

Selection is on Thursday 27 January.

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31 Responses to “The Botany Five”

  1. IHStewart (388 comments) says:

    Picking Jami-Lee Ross

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  2. jaba (2,089 comments) says:

    it’s a pity that all 5 can’t simply be anointed MP’s and 5 lame ducks be moved on

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  3. buffalobob (14 comments) says:

    Aaron should be challenging Allan Peachey for Tamaki rather than going for Botany. Jami Lee is the right choice.

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  4. Andrew (60 comments) says:

    Ok I really wish he would drop the Jami-Lee and go for something plausible like, I dunno… James?!

    It’s a Waitakere housewifes name, not a future PM. Well not a male one anyway.

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  5. tvb (4,193 comments) says:

    Maggie Barrie will bolt in, providing she plays her cards correctly, which I expect she will.

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  6. smttc (687 comments) says:

    tvb do you know something the rest of us don’t? Is she the annointed one and therefore a shoe in? Pray tell.

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  7. orewa1 (428 comments) says:

    Of course Barry is a shoe-in. All the others have strange names – she is the only one who “looks and sounds like a New Zealander!”

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  8. Whaleoil (766 comments) says:

    The single worst thing any candidate be is the “anointed one”, the favourite of head office…that is certain death.

    The delegate split is important too…31 are from Botany and 29 from the region.

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  9. Gooner (995 comments) says:

    My vote, if I had one, would be with Aaron. I like and admire Jami, and he has a huge future, but I think he needs more time. Of course the plus with Aaron is the funding that could come with him. That is a factor, in all parties, whether one likes it or not. I also think he will handle the interviews better – he is right on top of policy and a very articulate guy. I wish him luck.

    It will be hard, I expect, for the delegates to go past Saafi. A polynesian with a Phd is an attractive option, but the Destiny Party link is certainly a negative.

    Barry should never get the nod. She has no party history. No fundraising ability (that I know of), and is a parachutist. Mostly, these “stars” don’t work.

    Don’t know much about Gedge.

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  10. tvb (4,193 comments) says:

    John Key was a star candidate, the National Party applauds success. It is a strong field, but in my bones it is Barry, but selection is a tricky process and a by-election even more so.

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  11. Gooner (995 comments) says:

    Yes he was. Not sure the same qualities exist in Barry!

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  12. Whaleoil (766 comments) says:

    Across policy….like shutting down bars in the Viaduct…yeah that was right across policy.

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  13. Whaleoil (766 comments) says:

    Funding comes with being popular and electable, not because Dad left a big trust fund…if that is the Act party selection criteria it is no wonder that you guys poll at 1.5%

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  14. reid (15,912 comments) says:

    Looking to the party vote Barry would be a strong addition to Key’s appeal to women. This will be a critical factor in holding the fort against the Greens come November and she’s the only candidate in this electorate that could do that. Not because she’s a woman but because she’s Maggie Barry.

    Of course she’ll be a hopeless MP, probably almost as bad as Pam Corkery, but who cares about that?

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  15. tvb (4,193 comments) says:

    Hopeless MP on what evidence. Ms Barry is warm and engaging and intelligent. She will be just excellent. Pam Corkery???? That was never going to work. Maggie Barry’s voice – smooth as silk she will win on that alone.

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  16. BlairM (2,286 comments) says:

    TVB – you are clearly insane and have no idea how the National Party works

    It will be Jami-Lee Ross by a mile. The local party do not like being told whom they should vote for. They will go for the favoured son every time.

    Maggie Barry will be an MP, but not for Botany. She should try for Coromandel and see what happens. Meanwhile, this seat belongs to Ross, and always willl.

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  17. reid (15,912 comments) says:

    Hopeless MP on what evidence.

    No experience mostly tvb.

    Sure she knows the media and she knows how to get elected. Put her into a Select Committee and what happens next? What about policy development? What about how to tell the little old lady in the shopping mall that yes, she voted for and supports the policy that’s going to hurt that old lady?

    Depends on her mindset of course. Corkery was and is a mindless idealist as well as an idiot and Barry is neither of those, but neither is she seasoned in any of the tough, ruthless arenas prior to entering politics, as Key was. That’s why he hasn’t yet failed dismally but HIS inexperience is showing in spades as he proceeds through his first term as PM and at the mo, even he hasn’t given anyone any indication his legacy will be anything more than mere vapour.

    That’s what you need to be a successful MP – to leave a legacy of added value. While I think she’ll get elected and applauded at various party events and she’ll be an asset, it will be an asset to the wider party due to her national popular appeal, rather than anything in particular she manages to accomplish. I hope I’m wrong.

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  18. tvb (4,193 comments) says:

    I do know how the National Party works and they go for talent mostly. Jami-Lee Ross will be a strong candidate for sure, but I suspect he is a polarising figure, he was NOT the highest polling candidate for his ward. Arrogant young men do not have much favour in the National Party.

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  19. Letterman (184 comments) says:

    1 woman, and 4 men in the top 5. I suspect there is a strategy in the initial draft list.

    My personal pick would be Ross, however I strongly suspect that the Party pick will be Barry – the name recognition option Barry brings is liquid gold on a voting paper.

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  20. Gwilly (156 comments) says:

    Look, she’ll be a another Nat backbencher.

    When is this blog going to debate real issues like $15B debt. This govt should be held more acountable.. at present its a joke!

    Not to mention ETS and Foreshore.

    Unfortunately the only party with a vision and policies to lift NZ out of the doldrums is ACT, but they are polling at 1.5%, which really does tell you a lot about the state of this country.

    But heh, we have 13 overstayers on TV last night ecstatic they were given permenent residency. The first person they interviewed couldn’t speak English and weighed in at 150 kgs (a woman)… but heh they said she still needed to pass a medical. Yeah right! Her tears said it all…bring in all my family and we can bludge off the state! Wake up NZ!!!

    Fact: Singapore GDP grew at 18% last year. Hmmmm….

    [DPF: Warning off topic - use General Debate]

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  21. Pete George (22,734 comments) says:

    While I think she’ll get elected and applauded at various party events and she’ll be an asset, it will be an asset to the wider party due to her national popular appeal, rather than anything in particular she manages to accomplish.

    Not so much an electorate MP but a list MP?

    The primary role of an electorate MP should be able to look after the needs of the electorate. They won’t be going straight in to Cabinet. Who would make the best electorate MP? The needs of the party should be secondary.

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  22. joana (1,983 comments) says:

    What are Key’s qualities which Maggie does not have? She has years of elocution lessons which Key obviously does not have.

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  23. Manolo (13,317 comments) says:

    I couldn’t care less who gets selected. He or she will simply be another pawn on Labour-lite’s chessboard.

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  24. smttc (687 comments) says:

    Jesus Manolo, you are like listening to a broken record. Enough already. You will get to vote or not later in the year. Meantime, get another record or put your name forward for Ohariu.

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  25. Manolo (13,317 comments) says:

    Jesus Manolo, you are like listening to a broken record. Enough already. You will get to vote or not later in the year. Meantime, get another record or put your name forward for Ohariu.

    Jesus smttc, you are like listening to a broken sheeple and follower. Enough already. You will get to vote or not later in the year. Meantime, continue cheerleading for John Key.

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  26. Phil (125 comments) says:

    For Maggie Barry to stand anywhere other than Botany would be a poetic crime. Unless we redraw the boundaries and create a ‘Poinsettia’ electorate.

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  27. Fale Andrew Lesa (473 comments) says:

    Jami-lee Ross is probably the most well-known in the electorate, and clearly the most likely to secure National a wide majority. However, he could potentially risk constituency alienation due to his lack of experience and higher education.

    Maggie Barry has potential, and yet poor coverage amongst the more Conservative Botany voters. I doubt that this is the electorate for her.

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  28. smttc (687 comments) says:

    Jesus smttc, you are like listening to a broken sheeple and follower. Enough already. You will get to vote or not later in the year. Meantime, continue cheerleading for John Key.

    Manolo, I defy you to point to even one post where I have cheer leadered for JK.

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  29. harryholland (1 comment) says:

    Hey dpf, I know you’ve had a lot to say about Labour’s selection process. Have you read this?

    http://www.socialismandmedia.wordpress.com

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  30. iMP (2,231 comments) says:

    Remember Tamaki and golden boy David Kirk as business-class fly-in parachutist against local grinder Clem Simich (also a strange name). Clem won hands down and DK flew back overseas almost immediately, humiliated, because local people hate being told who to vote for, whom they are voting for, silver spoons being handed a safe blue seat, and the celebrity shoo-in thing is wearing really really thin with Kiwi Battlers out there earning real hard-won livings.

    Maggie doesn’t have the temperament for Parliament. You can’t trade on profile and reputation. Govt by TV sucks: Laws, Corkery, Tuku Morgan, George/ina Bayer, the host of ex Sports Commentators in Southland local Govt. Imagine if Paul Foot-in-Mouth had won Wairarapa for National instead of Georgie Bayer for Lab?. Mayors Bob and Tim have done well based on actual local body work, as elected rep.s on top of past celebrity. Maggie has done nothing but talk-back radio since hosting a garden show.

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  31. Puntiki (12 comments) says:

    All the 5 candidates have been selected because they all have potential. BUT, I think that Aaron Bhatnagar is the best candidate to represent National in Botany. He has the experience of being elected to public office, has the ability to work with all, follow through on his promises, is a long time National Member who has the ability to start work straight away for the constituents of Botany and will be a very effective MP.
    The smart choice in Botany is Aaron Bhatnagar.

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