2011 Te Karere Digi-poll

February 2nd, 2011 at 4:30 pm by David Farrar

TVNZ’s Te Karere programme has just released a poll done of 1,002 voters (367 from general and 635 from rolls), taken from 6 to 28 January. I blogged their 2010 poll here. Key findings so far are below. :

Party Vote:

  • Labour 36.9% (-1.0% from Jan 10)
  • Maori Party 36.2% (-2.1%)
  • National 16.8% (-0.15)
  • Greens 4.5% (+1.2%)
  • NZ First 4.3%
  • ACT 0.8% (+0.6%)

Not a lot of change from last year I have to say. The breakdown by roll is interesting. On the Maori roll it is Maori Party 46% (-5%), Labour 35% (+3%) and National 12% (+15). On the general roll it is Labour 42% (-9%), National 30% (+2%), Maori 11% (nc).

One can compare the Maori roll results to the 2008 election. Labour got 50% of the party vote in the 2008 election, so are down 15% from the election. The Maori Party got 29% of the maori roll party vote in the 2008 election, so are up 17% from the election. So in 2008 Labour was 21% higher than the Maori Party, and today they are 11% behind the Maori Party – a net 16% swing from Labour.

Preferred PM:

  1. John Key 26.4% (-4.1%)
  2. Pita Sharples 7.8% (-4.0%)
  3. Tariana Turia 7.8% (+2.9%)
  4. Winston Peters 7.0% (nc)
  5. Phil Goff 6.4% (+1.8%)
  6. Hone Harawira 2.7% (-0.3%)
  7. Helen Clark 2.6% (-1.2%)
  8. Shane Jones 2.1% (-0.1%)

A small improvement for Goff, but still very low considering how strong Maori support for Labour has been in the past.

Key is Preferred PM for 33% of Maori on the general roll and 24% of Maori on the Maori roll.

Phil Goff

  • Only 25.2% (-10.8%) of Labour voters think he is the best person to lead Labour
  • 24.1% (+5.9%) say Goff provides good leadership on Maori issues

Shane Jones will be pleased with these results.

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12 Responses to “2011 Te Karere Digi-poll”

  1. PaulL (6,035 comments) says:

    National 12% (+15%). Yep, I can believe at last election that support for National amongst Maori was negative 3%. :-)

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  2. nickb (3,696 comments) says:

    Read it and weep leftards.

    The poor, oppressed, colonised Maori want John Key as leader more than the leaders of the Maori Party and Labour.

    LOL at Winnie polling higher than Goff…. oh dear.

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  3. flipper (4,194 comments) says:

    Agree with nickb.
    The issue is Key for PM, not Labour v Maori, v others.
    Good result for the Nats

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  4. hj (7,059 comments) says:

    I’m surprised Catherine or Meteria didn’t make the preferred prime minister list. Or perhaps they don’t understand post modernism either.

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  5. Chuck Bird (4,922 comments) says:

    I am glad to see that some Maori support ACT – the only non racist party in Parliament.

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  6. Fletch (6,484 comments) says:

    On a slight aside – I’ve often wondered who actually watches Te Karere?

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  7. Mike Readman (365 comments) says:

    “Not a lot of change from last year”? ACT was up 300%!!!

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  8. Gwilly (158 comments) says:

    No matter how one looks at this, its makes for incredibly sad reading.

    Take out John Key from the preferred PM list, and you are left with 7 complete idiots, and how anyone could possibly even for a moment consider naming any of these people as their preferred PM is actually beyond any form of rational thinking (Helen Clarke aside primarily because some of these numb nuts probably think she is still PM!)

    This country is going to the wall.

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  9. s.russell (1,645 comments) says:

    The highest party vote for national in the Maori seats in 2008 was about 11% (and the lowest less than 5%). So 12% for National is pretty good.

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  10. Fale Andrew Lesa (473 comments) says:

    :D

    I wonder if ACT can actually make it back after the 2011 general election.

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  11. ISeeRed (236 comments) says:

    There once was a party called ACT
    Whose membership continued to contract
    Each day they polled lower
    Till they went the way of the moa
    And now they are fiction not fact

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  12. Chuck Bird (4,922 comments) says:

    “Not a lot of change from last year”? ACT was up 300%!!!”

    Mike, National has treated a loyal coalition member appallingly.
    After ACT agree to go with National National brought in the Maori Party and copied how Clark played the Greens off against Winston First.

    Having said that the county would have been a lot worst off if Rodney did not win Epsom – Labour would have been in charge.

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