My column at the NZ Herald is titled Will cannabis propel Goff to power? An extract:
Even if Labour gets a worse result than they did in 2008, and even if National gets a better result than they did in 2008, the country may end up with Prime Minister Phil Goff. …
The interesting thing with this scenario is that National/ACT would have secured more votes than the Goff Government. National/ACT could get 49% and Labour/Green/NZ First/Maori/Mana 48% in total. But the over-hang for the Maori seats would deliver power to the parties that got fewer votes. Any protests would be futile, as the MMP referendum would have just concluded, probably confirming MMP.
The column focuses on the dangers for National if it has no coalition partners beyond one MP parties.
Tags: David Farrar on Politics, NZ Herald