Te Karere have just released a Digipoll for Tea Tai Tokerau electorate. I have full details at Curiablog.
Hone Harawira leads Kelvin Davis by 7%. Margin of error is 5%, which means there is a 95% chance Hone is ahead of Davis.
The party vote is almost a three way tie – Labour 27%, Maori 27%, Mana 25%.
Key is Preferred PM and Harawira most favoured Maori MP.