A new iPredict stock
November 20th, 2011 at 11:36 am by David FarrariPredict have launched a new stock. It is will Labour’s party vote be 10% or greater than the Greens. They explain:
This contract pays $1 if the Labour party vote exceeds the Green party vote by at least 10% of the total party vote. For example, this contract will pay $1 if Labour and Greens receive 24% and 13% of the party vote, respectively, and will pay $0 if Labour and Greens receive 23% and 14% of the party vote, respectively.
Labour are down at 24.5% in the Roy Morgan poll and so the Greens only need another 1.5% for the stock to pay out $1.
They have also launched stocks on whether the gap will be over 12.5% and 15.0%.
Related posts:
- My iPredict stock
- iPredict on Mt Albert
- Whale v Williams – an investment opportunity
- iPredict election stocks
November 20th, 2011 at 11:49 am
I’d going with the $0 payout option – but I have no money in IPredict at the moment so can’t short sell, all tied up in National winning marginal seats, except Mana where I have Faafoi to hang on.
Vote:November 20th, 2011 at 12:06 pm
If iPredict had the alternative, “Labours vote be 10% or lesser than the Greens”. I could see a lot of Windflow Technology stock being sold to invest in the latest sure thing!
Vote:November 20th, 2011 at 2:37 pm
“Labour are down at 24.5% in the Roy Morgan poll and so the Greens only need another 1,5% for the stock to pay out $1.”
Shouldn’t that read, “”Labour are down at 24.5% in the Roy Morgan poll and so if the Greens get another 1,5%, the stock will pay out $0.” Under the current Roy Morgan results it will pay out $1.
Incidentally – you buying the stock?
Vote: