Stuff: The election outcome is not settled

November 25th, 2011 at 11:28 am by David Farrar

My Stuff column is on how the election outcome is not settled. I conclude:

So I don’t regard the outcome of the election tomorrow as settled. Certainly National is in a much better position than Labour. But under MMP, even a 23-point lead in the does not guarantee you government.

My message to all readers is to make sure you vote. Do not think the outcome of this election and the identity of the next government is settled. No matter who you support, make sure you have you say and cast a vote today or tomorrow.

Talking of voting, what is the weather forecast for tomorrow?

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11 Responses to “Stuff: The election outcome is not settled”

  1. Michaels (1,317 comments) says:

    Rain in South Auckland. Oh dear never mind.

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  2. Pete George (22,868 comments) says:

    Roy Morgan and The Standard suggest a surge from Labour to NZF, but that is just shuffling the deck chairs on the left.

    National nudging towards or below the single party rule line.

    United Future is the safe alternative – and has come back up on Roy Morgan. Could be some hope yet beyong Ohariu.

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  3. J Mex (184 comments) says:

    Just read how many of the ‘principled’ Standard authors are saying how they are going to vote for Winston First.

    At least when Epsom voters vote for Banks, they are voting for someone with a broadly similar agenda, and knowing that they could only ever enact a fraction of it.

    With Winston, you have someone diametrically opposed to their supposed personal core values. Power at any cost, I guess.

    Just had to go put some reasonable money on Winston making it back at iPredict. Mainly as an emotional hedge. It is money I am happy to set on fire if it means that I never see Winston back in parliament. But if he makes it back, at least I will make a profit out of it, which can go toward my Kiva fund. Then at least Winston (very indirectly) does some good by making it back to parliament.

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  4. ciaron (1,318 comments) says:

    Talking of voting, what is the weather forecast for tomorrow?

    http://www.windguru.cz/int/index.php?sc=6381

    Lookin’ good for the Socialist Republic of Christchurch

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  5. davidp (3,540 comments) says:

    J Mex>Just read how many of the ‘principled’ Standard authors are saying how they are going to vote for Winston First.

    I’m surprised to see lefties supporting the possibility of a Coalition of the Freaks and Losers. It’ll be anti-Asian. It’ll include a guy who was such a disaster as Mayor of the North Shore that the locals wouldn’t even elect him to a councillor position in the super city. The Deputy PM will be a man whose main accomplishment during the last parliamentary term was squeeking “give me my flag back” at some Chinese people. The main coalition partner will be a party that has lost votes, lost seats, and whose front bench are the same tired sad old faces from the discredited Clark regime. Their policy on spending will be a Greek-like “as much as possible”. The Minister of Maori Affairs will be a racist who wouldn’t be happy with his children marrying white people. And the PM will be a man who has been in parliament longer than many voters have been alive. A man who first served under Bill Rowling and seems to resemble Rowling 30 years later.

    How could you not be ashamed to be associated with this left wing coalition?

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  6. David Garrett (6,477 comments) says:

    davip: as elegant a description of the left rabble one is likely to read anywhere in a while!

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  7. Mark (1,368 comments) says:

    I really like MMP – fantastic

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  8. ross (1,454 comments) says:

    A lot of people are voting before election day. I voted today and there were quite a few doing the same. I read where the numbers voting early were up considerably on the same time last election.

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  9. ross (1,454 comments) says:

    In fact advance voting is up 14% on 2008. Does this mean we are going to have a large turnout?

    http://news.msn.co.nz/article/election/8379269/thousands-get-their-votes-in-early

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  10. Viking2 (11,147 comments) says:

    just a reminder of things past.
    The Principles on which the National Party was founded.

    “To promote good citizenship and self-reliance; to combat communism and socialism; to maintain freedom of contract; to encourage private enterprise; to safeguard individual rights and the privilege of ownership; to oppose interference by the State in business, and State control of industry”.

    Their principles now? Not any longer.
    Just remember when you vote that the road to state control and loss of rights belongs to the socialists.
    Vote either ACT or Libertarian.
    Act for preference.

    If you have lost more of your rights and have less say in your own life in the last three years then you have sucumbed to the socialists.

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  11. Lindsay Addie (1,129 comments) says:

    ross,

    Re the advance voting, when I cast my votes on Wednesday morning there was a decent cue of people waiting to vote. So it’s possible there will be a high turnout.

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