Labour candidates getting Green votes
January 27th, 2012 at 9:00 am by David FarrarThe table below lists in order what percentage of people who gave the Greens their party vote, gave their electorate vote to the Labour candidate.
This sort of split voting is somewhat different to Labour and Green voters voting for a National candidate or vice-versa. This is more left-wing voters splitting their vote between two parties of the left. It is more a measure of how tactical Green voters were.
| % of Gre PV voting Lab EV | Lab |
| Manukau East | 71.5% |
| Palmerston North | 69.1% |
| Mt Albert | 67.5% |
| Manurewa | 66.8% |
| Christchurch East | 66.4% |
| West Coast Tasman | 64.2% |
| Rimutaka | 64.0% |
| Waimakariri | 63.2% |
| Rotorua | 63.1% |
| Auckland Central | 63.0% |
| Hamilton West | 62.2% |
| Wellington Central | 62.0% |
| Port Hills | 61.7% |
| New Plymouth | 60.5% |
| New Lynn | 60.2% |
| Mt Roskill | 59.1% |
| Te Atatu | 59.1% |
| Ohariu | 56.9% |
| Christchurch Central | 56.3% |
| Napier | 55.0% |
| Dunedin South | 54.8% |
| Mana | 54.4% |
| Wigram | 54.3% |
| Hamilton East | 53.3% |
| Whanganui | 50.8% |
| Waitakere | 50.8% |
| Otaki | 50.6% |
| Hutt South | 50.3% |
| Pakuranga | 47.7% |
| Rongotai | 46.2% |
| East Coast | 44.9% |
| Rangitata | 44.4% |
| Mangere | 44.0% |
| Bay of Plenty | 44.0% |
| Botany | 43.9% |
| Northcote | 43.2% |
| Nelson | 43.1% |
| Dunedin North | 42.7% |
| Wairarapa | 41.4% |
| Maungakiekie | 40.2% |
| Rangitikei | 38.8% |
| Tukituki | 36.3% |
| North Shore | 36.1% |
| Invercargill | 35.4% |
| Waikato | 30.0% |
| Kaikoura | 29.0% |
| East Coast Bays | 28.0% |
| Rodney | 27.5% |
| Tamaki | 27.1% |
| Whangarei | 26.9% |
| Papakura | 26.2% |
| Taupo | 25.7% |
| Waitaki | 24.5% |
| Northland | 24.5% |
| Taranaki-King Country | 23.3% |
| Hunua | 21.8% |
| Ilam | 21.6% |
| Clutha Southland | 19.3% |
| Selwyn | 19.3% |
| Helensville | 17.8% |
| Tauranga | 17.6% |
| Coromandel | 15.6% |
| Epsom | 13.2% |
There were 15 seats where over 60% of Green voters voted for the Labour candidate. This included the marginal and potentially marginal seats of Palmerston North, West Coast-Tasman, Rimutaka, Waimakariri, Acukaldn Central, Hamilton West, Wellington Central and New Plymouth.
In 28 seats over 50% of Green voters voted for the Labour candidate.
At the other end of the table, in 11 seats the Labour candidate got less than 25% of Green voters electorate votes.
Tags: Election 2011, split voting
January 27th, 2012 at 3:39 pm
Not surprisingly, the stronger the seat for National the less likely the spliting occurs. Think that shows that Green voters prefer their own candidates but are more determined to make sure that National don’t win in a marginal seat. And almost all Labour seats were marginal this time, look at how many seats National won the party vote in.
Vote:January 27th, 2012 at 4:48 pm
How does this compare with 2008 I wonder. My guess is that the level of Green tactical voting has increased, but that is only a guess.
Vote:January 27th, 2012 at 11:33 pm
And indeed, in Palmerston North, it was the Green voters that made most of the difference to Iain Lees-Galloway’s majority over Leonie Hapeta (of National). I’m guessing the same elsewhere. I suppose this is a sign that MMP is functioning, although in theory people should be able to judge the candidates on non-partisan matters – a Green voter shouldn’t feel a crisis of conscience if they like the National candidate’s personality or work ethic better. Never mind…
Vote:January 28th, 2012 at 12:54 am
So what its saying is that despite huge support from Green supporters, Jacinda was still did awfully in the election and Labour have promoted her because some people thinks shes good looking.
Vote:January 29th, 2012 at 6:33 pm
A similar proportion of Labour tactical voting to Green in the next election would end the NAT Government .
Vote:Key needs to get real about NZ First.