Let Scotland go

The talk in the is of when the vote on Scottish independence should be. Amusingly the UK Conservative Government wants it early and a straight up and down vote, while the Scottish SNP Government wants it in 2014 and a third option of great devolution. I suspect this is because they are realising what full independence may cost.

Losing Scotland would be great for the . The House of Commons is currently:

  • Conservative 305
  • Labour 255
  • Lib Dems 57
  • Others 33
  • Total 650

You need 326 to govern.

59 are in Scotland. Remove them and you need 296 to govern. And the House of Commons would be:

  • Conservative 304
  • Labour 214
  • Lib Dems 46
  • Others 27
  • Total 591

So the Conservatives would then have an absolute majority in , Northern Ireland and .

Scotland as an independent country would presumably not be able to keep the pound, and would adopt the Euro instead. Can't see that being too popular.

That is why I suspect the SNP don't want full independence anymore – it would cost too much. They want all the powers of independence, but none of the responsibility.

Cameron should stay firm and insist on a straight up and down vote.

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