The great Queensland massacre

March 25th, 2012 at 11:22 am by David Farrar

Two seats are still in doubt, but they will not change the scale of the slaughter in . Labor were hoping to retain at least 20 seats, but they look to have gone from 51 seats to seven seats.  This means they do not automatically get recognised as an official party in the Parliament, with access to offices, staff and resources.

The LNP will have 78 out of 89 seats. Bob Katter’s Party got two, and others got two.

In terms of primary vote Labor dropped 15.7% to 26.6% – around what NZ Labour got in our 2011 election. Instant run-off voting is harsher on losing parties, than MMP is.

The LNP got a very high 49.7% primary vote.  The Katter Party got 11.6% – more than the Greens on 7.6%.

Too early to know the two party preferred results but it may be over 60% for the LNP. Commentators have said that many of those who defected from Labor to Katter did not rank any candidate beyond their first, so their votes were exhausted, rather than preference back to Labor.

Labor look to be in opposition for at least two, maybe three, elections in Queensland (unless some major scandal).  They ran a dirty negative campaign against new Premier Campbell Newman, with former Premier Anna Bligh even declaring he will end up in jail over his business dealings.

Federal Labor also look set next year to run a similar campaign. Their only slogan will be to stop Tony Abbott. When Rudd challenged for the leadership, that was all he could talk about.

I saw concession speeches by Anna Bligh and Kate Jones (who lost her seat to Newman). Both seemed to me to be quite arrogant and defiant, with little of the contrition you would expect for such a massacre.  Left politicians always seem to retreat into talk of how proud they are of their values, as if other politicians are not. Jones was thought to be a potential replacement for Bligh, but is now out of Parliament. She is fairly typical of modern politics – elected at age 27 after working as a media advisor to two Ministers, and married to Bligh’s former media advisor. These career politicians tend to be very skilled at politics, but do not always have a lot of experience of the world outside politics.

The next elections in Australia are Northern Territory by August 2012 and ACT in October 2012 but hey are  of little importance. The only state election before the federal election is Western Australia in March 2013. The Liberal Party is currently 18% ahead of the Labor opposition there so a change of Govt is unlikely.

The vote in Queensland was primarily on state issues, but the scale of it will have Labor nervous, especially with NSW having had such a strong result also. If this sort of swing happened in the federal election, even Kevin Rudd would lose his safe seat.

Tony Abbott was on TV this morning saying that the Coalition will repeal the carbon tax, no buts and no ifs. When asked about the Senate, he said that he doubts Labor will want to be punished twice over the carbon tax but if they blocked it in the Senate he would do a double dissolution election.

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21 Responses to “The great Queensland massacre”

  1. RightNow (6,638 comments) says:

    What’s the difference between a mini-van and Queensland Labor?
    The mini-van has more seats.

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  2. Redbaiter (7,521 comments) says:

    Important Fact- No Greens got a seat.

    Now, to keep the Marxists from New Zealand and all of the other Aussie states from moving there and fucking it up.

    “Tony Abbott was on TV this morning saying that the Coalition will repeal the carbon tax, no buts and no ifs. When asked about the Senate, he said that he doubts Labor will want to be punished twice over the carbon tax but if they blocked it in the Senate he would do a double dissolution election.”

    Yep, that’s what you would do if you had guts and conviction. Sad to see it so lacking in John Key.

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  3. toad (3,668 comments) says:

    Guess it just goes to show that in Queensland, as it is here, asset privatisation is not just economically stupid, but eventually makes governments very unpopular.

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  4. DJP6-25 (1,267 comments) says:

    Well, I guess not all massacres are bad. DPF makes a good point about ‘career politicians’. Why would they ever be anything but statist? Why would they ever vote to downsize government, or decrease spending? All democracies and republics should have term limits.

    cheers

    David Prosser

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  5. Adolf Fiinkensein (2,787 comments) says:

    Queensland has been ethically cleansed. Labour all but exterminated.

    Tony Abbott just drove a stake through Carbon Julia’s heart.

    She’s finished.

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  6. Leaping Jimmy (15,904 comments) says:

    I saw concession speeches by Anna Bligh and Kate Jones (who lost her seat to Newman). Both seemed to me to be quite arrogant and defiant, with little of the contrition you would expect for such a massacre. Left politicians always seem to retreat into talk of how proud they are of their values, as if other politicians are not.

    That’s because their “values” are the only things of value leftist politicians ever have. They have nothing else, literally. They have no sense of ethics, no sense of fair play, nothing except their vapid belief that because [in their own tiny minds] they stand up and fight for the poor and the dispossessed, that that makes everything but every-little-thing absolutely OK. So its fine for them to adopt any hateful tactic whatsoever, no holds barred, because it’s for the poor and the dispossessed.

    You see this come out in them all the time. All. The. Time. You see it in Goof and Shearer, in Turei and Wussel and in all of the minions. Every single one have this exact same self-righteous belief system. It’s part of the qualification exam, it has to be, why else would it be so ubiquitous.

    And its disgusting, quite frankly. For its basic assumption is flawed.

    Firstly, lefties don’t have a monopoly on human compassion and pretending they do, as they do, is mind-blowingly arrogant not to mention self-evidently flawed and if they can’t see that, which they don’t, indicates firstly a massively inflated ego problem which they all have and secondly a fundamentally flawed process of thinking about the world, which they also have.

    Secondly lefties don’t have a monopoly on solutions to aid the poor and dispossessed and pretending they do, as they do, is again, mind-blowingly arrogant etc etc…

    There’s a line of thought in the conspiracy world that socialism-leftism call it what you like, has been deliberately created by the elites in order to keep the masses chattering and arguing and making no progress at all. That places like the LSE and the Fabians are creatures of Tavistock-CFR origin. Given the absolute and utter uselessness of almost every single leftist policy and the amount of friction it all generates on a worldwide basis, you’d have to say that even if leftism is a spontaneous well-spring of human thought, it still serves the elite perfectly by preventing humankind from making the kinds of breakthroughs which really would solve the very problems the idiots proclaim to care most about.

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  7. flipper (3,524 comments) says:

    A wipeout in the best tradition of a monster Aussie surf ….

    I also saw the Aussie TV coverage (Sky ) and it was excellent. There were shades of NZ Labour’s arrogance coming thru.

    As a colleague emailed me from Canberra this morning:

    ” The Conservatives in Queensland had 3 strategic aims:

    1. Win the election
    2. Get Newman (the new Premier) into the Parliament in a Labor seat that needed a 7 percent swing.
    3. Decapitate the next group of Labor leaders.

    Hugely successful in all three. ”

    If anything gets me , it is the arrogance of the left on all electoral matters. A sort of (to paraphrase), “forgive them (the silly plebs that did not vote for us) Father. They know not what they do” attitude.

    And I am not religous.

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  8. PaulL (5,871 comments) says:

    Toad, that privatisation link you provide is a bunch of economists from right and left complaining about the quality of the brochures sent out and the debate, not about whether or not privatisation is good.

    Signed by economists identified with both Labor and the Coalition, the letter says they have a range of views about the merits of privatisation in particular cases but ”share the view that these questions should be resolved on the basis of well-informed discussion of the economic and social costs and benefits of privatisation, and not on the basis of spurious claims that asset sales represent a costless source of income to governments”.
    Advertisement: Story continues below

    Attacking the arguments in the taxpayer-funded booklet Facts and Myths on Asset Sales, it says they compare ”apples with oranges” and understate the value of keeping the assets up for sale.

    It’s not privatisation that’s unpopular, it’s poorly executed privatisation supported by spin and whitewash that’s unpopular. In Qld in particular, it’s likely that any privatisation went to some sort of connected insider.

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  9. Doug (405 comments) says:

    What is it with the Left “Standard & Red Alert” won’t mention the Elections in Australia, they must be feeling the pain and just won’t except the results. It can’t be true fingers in ears type stuff.

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  10. hj (6,321 comments) says:

    Follow the Money:

    April 12, 2011
    Thousands of jobs will be lost under new capped infrastructure charges announced today by the Bligh Government, according to the Property Council.
    Speaking at the Building Revival Forum in Brisbane, Queensland Premier Anna Bligh outlined wide ranging changes to local government charges on new development in Queensland.
    “This is a devastating decision for all Queenslanders,” Mac Dermott says.
    She says the property industry is not only the biggest contributor to Gross State Product (12.6 percent) and directly employs around 280,000 Queenslanders, but draws a considerable amount of tax.
    “The property industry is the single largest contributor to State taxes – providing $3.8 billion, or one third of the State’s total tax revenue.
    “In addition to this, local governments across the State collect over $4 billion in rates and charges.”
    Arguing for more of a focus on economic survival rather than revival, Mac Dermott says she is concerned that between 2006-07 and 2009-10 the value of residential and non-residential building activity in Queensland declined by 2.6 percent.
    “Over the same period NSW and Victoria recorded 21.4 and 26.7 percent increases respectively,” she says.
    On the employment front, Mac Dermott says the State Government’s own figures show that over 11,000 construction jobs were lost in 2010 alone.
    “After this morning’s announcement, we can expect thousands and thousands of jobs to be lost in 2011.”
    http://www.qbr.com.au/news/articleid/73217.aspx

    Quite a lot like old NZ ehh??

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  11. tvb (4,192 comments) says:

    Queensland Labour like NZ Labour seem to think that the people are somehow mad not to vote for them. That the voters will come to their senses and come home to mamma. The NZ Labour party wasted their whole first term in opposition, went even further to the left and suffered accordingly. be interesting if Campbell-Newman will allow Queensland Labour to be recognized as a Party. After their dirty campaign they do not deserve recognition in any Parliament.

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  12. Put it away (2,888 comments) says:

    Good times!

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  13. pw (18 comments) says:

    anna bligh,s just resigned —by election next month—which means they are down to 5 members–local,s are spewing
    http://news.ninemsn.com.au/national/8440941/anna-bligh-resigns-from-qld-parliament

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  14. trout (898 comments) says:

    Perhaps Anna is hoping for Julia to draft her into the Senate along with Bob Carr.

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  15. Nick K (1,060 comments) says:

    @ Toad, you’re typing on a laptop, or other device that is undoubtedly manufactured by a private company. You are economically stupid for buying and using one then.

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  16. Alan Wilkinson (1,812 comments) says:

    @Leaping Jimmy @11:58 am – very good comment.

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  17. dime (9,351 comments) says:

    nick – but toad is part of the socialist elite. if the greens managed to turn us into north korea, toad would be getting around in a BMW.

    do as they say, not as they do

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  18. Alan Wilkinson (1,812 comments) says:

    toad, we know most of the Left have no clue about economics and are usually dishonest about it anyway, so what was the point of your link?

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  19. Redbaiter (7,521 comments) says:

    “Campbell Newman said from the moment the government was sworn in, he’d order a 20 per cent cut in government travel expenses, a ban on all non-essential government advertising, and a freeze on consultancy work.”

    Meanwhile Billy and Johnny keep on with the lame “public good” commercials that piss everyone right off and only serve to keep politically corrupt and socially destructive television stations afloat.

    Not forgetting filling the pockets of the executives of politically compromised advertising agencies.

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  20. wreck1080 (3,719 comments) says:

    Tony Abbott for kiwi PM!

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  21. Shazzadude (505 comments) says:

    If Labor don’t win back seats in Brisbane next time, they’re highly in danger of becoming the third party. I expect the KAP will be threatening a lot more of those rural seats come 2015.

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