Small on Shearer

April 20th, 2012 at 1:00 pm by David Farrar

reports at Stuff:

Rather than slam the Government over paid parental leave, he talked compromise. Labour would look at phasing it in or lowering the costs in “a sincere effort to move something forward”.

Consensus, he said, was his first instinct.

It is a style Mr Shearer is making his brand; a reasonable man talking in a measured tone that rejects the politics of charisma.

This is one reason I like Shearer. I do think he is a reasonable man.

To the political media present – and in a warning to Labour, only three reporters made the short hop from Wellington – it was about as dull as a leader’s speech can get.

With the Government on the ropes over issues from the pokies deal with SkyCity to Crafar farm sales and asset sales, the soft-shoe approach is not without its critics.

There is no crisis yet, but there has been some internal arm-wrestling.

Chief of staff Stuart Nash has quit after just a few months in the pivotal role, mostly for personal reasons – a new baby and the commute from Napier. But insiders say he was ill-suited and clashed with chief press secretary Fran Mold over strategy. She pushed for a (relatively) higher profile, arguing the Greens and NZ First leader Winston Peters would fill the vacuum if Mr Shearer left one.

Finding the right replacement for Mr Nash is crucial, especially with the key party secretary job expected to be vacant soon when Chris Flatt leaves.

There is no clear favourite for either job, although policy guru is tipped as secretary, while the Wellington rumour mill favours Wellington lawyer as chief of staff.

Both are closer to deputy leader Grant Robertson than Mr Shearer.

And arguably also closer to Cunliife.

It is too early to say Shearer will be rolled, but it is obvious from reading around the left-wing blogs that there  is significant discontent amongst the activist base – especially in Auckland.

What is interesting is that the Auckland activists are trying to lump Robertson in with Shearer, so that if Shearer falls, Cunliffe will be able to win a leadership battle against Robertson.

Cunliffe has come back from his leadership loss revitalised and has been impressing many in Labour. I think Robertson would still beat Cunliffe in a contest, but the “Anyone but Cunliffe” faction has diminished in recent months.

If there is any change, I would expect it to occur either late 2012 or at the latest February 2013. If Shearer makes it past that, then I think it would be too late for a change.

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18 Responses to “Small on Shearer”

  1. RRM (8,988 comments) says:

    It is too early to say Shearer will be rolled, but it is obvious from reading around the left-wing blogs that there is significant discontent amongst the activist base – especially in Auckland.

    The lunatic base, you mean?

    This leftie agrees – sadly the nutters have too much influence in that party now, if you’re not screaming class warfare you’re not doing it right.

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  2. Pete George (21,812 comments) says:

    RRM: – sadly the nutters have too much influence in that party now, if you’re not screaming class warfare you’re not doing it right.

    And if you don’t scream with them they don’t want you anywhere near them, total adherence or they brand you a traitor. As long as Shearer keeps up the super soft approach they will make all the noise and keep Labour marginalised. And Green and Mana supporters are loving it and promoting it, but they are fighting over the same territory..

    Meanwhile there’s a big gap in the centre left ripe for the picking up.

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  3. La Grand Fromage (145 comments) says:

    The lefties who are stirring this internal shit for Labour are the same nob gobblers who were crowing on the Standard a week ago about how much fun they were going to have watching the Nats “civil war” and the damage that would do to the party.

    Fucking disloyal retards.

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  4. Pete George (21,812 comments) says:

    La Grand Fromage – I suggested that all their noise about civil war might be to try and divert from their own affairs, and they went quiet.

    “Eddie” just re-emerged today to call (yet again) for Key’s resignation, maybe he was busy earlier in the week writing a speech. Now he has resignation on his mind. Another speech coming up?

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  5. KiwiGreg (3,129 comments) says:

    “This is one reason I like Shearer. I do think he is a reasonable man.”

    you also like Glee, your tastes are highly suspect

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  6. La Grand Fromage (145 comments) says:

    I had a good chat with a Labour insider friend of mine the other day who told me that alot of those who gambled their cabinet rankings by supporting Cunners are seething that they backed the wrong horse. These latest rumours look like it is a case of either they get what they want (their mate in charge) or they set the place on fire.

    This is not unheard of for the Labour party as many will remember when they engaged in a campaign of economic vandalism when it looked like they were going to be kicked from the Government benches.

    Just a bunch of petulant arseholes I’m afraid

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  7. Lloyd (125 comments) says:

    so… DPF, when will Andrew Little make his move?
    I’m picking he could by-pass Cunliffe and throw his hat into the ring. Soon.

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  8. dime (8,752 comments) says:

    RRM – i do feel for genuine labour people like yourself. your party was hijacked by shit heads long ago.

    Id like to see that smug GR take over.. and get crucified.

    It will be funny watching Labour realise a smug prick like GR from the beltway doesnt resonate well with the local good bastard kiwi bloke who sadly still prefers to vote labour

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  9. Pete George (21,812 comments) says:

    There’s a lot of Auckland resistance to a non-Auckland leader within parts of Labour, so if Robertson makes his play and wins the next game he will – for different reasons – probably have as much trouble as Shearer to make headway within the party.

    Labour needs to manage a united recovery internally before any leader will be able to lead successfully.

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  10. IHStewart (388 comments) says:

    “…but it is obvious from reading around the left-wing blogs that there is significant discontent amongst the activist base – especially in Auckland.”

    Well Bradbury, I doubt he could be described as representative of the Labour activist base, as for The Standard I gave up on those clowns long ago. Reading the sane left leaning blogs I am not picking up on your discontent, however winter is just around the corner.

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  11. IHStewart (388 comments) says:

    @Lloyd

    “so… DPF, when will Andrew Little make his move?”

    Small mater of winning an electorate seat first.

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  12. BeaB (1,948 comments) says:

    Sadly for Labour, Shearer is a nice but deeply boring man with little to show in leadership, vision or charisma – and you probably need one of these. The public doesn’t know him. Many don’t even know his name.
    He twitches and burbles and is out of touch with just about all of us. Like all politicans who try to be reasonable he comes off sounding weak. Which I suspect he is. Not a problem except when you need to sound like a PM-in-waiting.
    A nice bloke to have a picnic with perhaps.
    Now, Cunliffe and Little. That might send the whole women’s vote screaming to National!

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  13. Tautaioleua (266 comments) says:

    Shearer hasn’t been able to shear off the stutter in his speech just yet. And this has already affected his public appeal to average voters, sadly, anyone other than Cunliffe will also fail to change party perceptions outside of the party. And this is paramount in terms of securing government.

    The election campaign was pathetic. We can expect more from them now because they seem to be making the right noises with the John Key – Sky City saga. But I don’t think Shearer is the man to lead Labour to government anytime soon, if at all in fact.

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  14. bhudson (4,720 comments) says:

    I heard whisper of Patrick Leyland landing a role in Shearer’s office. Not sure In what role though. That points to a very strong Robertson crew arrayed around Shearer. He really must be a trusting soul…

    Edit: For those who don’t know, Patrick was Grant Robertson’s campaign chair last year

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  15. Pete George (21,812 comments) says:

    Tautaioleua: Shearer hasn’t been able to shear off the stutter in his speech just yet. And this has already affected his public appeal to average voters

    It’s not just his presentation – the content of his speech yesterday was dreadful. It was just as well he muted the delivery, less people would have bothered to take notice what it was about. Twenty six toilets (about one per % of votes but not quite one for each Labour MP).

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  16. lastmanstanding (1,154 comments) says:

    Just a bunch of petulant arseholes I’m afraid Well said La Grand Fromage. Pretty well sums most of the occupants of the Parliament.

    On the matter of Fran Mold. When she was on TV One she was sooooooo to the Left it was a joke. She was the typical example of why political journalism in NZ is a big sad joke.

    As for the Socialist Party and Shearer I fear DPF has been conned. Shearer is playing a part of the great compromiser. Wait til the bastard every gets him mits on the levers of power. Watch the great compromiser change to the control freak that is all leaders of the Socialists. Except poor of Flick. And thats why he lost.

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  17. flipper (3,270 comments) says:

    The real problem for Shearer et al (including Small) is they are dealing with esoteric matters that escapo the attention of the great unwashed – the uncommitted, swinging voters.

    All such folk are far too busy earning a dollar AND WORKING, in all sorts of ways, for the benefit of their families to be involved, or to take note of left wing academic driven rubbish.

    PPL is a wank for yuppie Mums and Dads.

    Since time began, we have survived and prospered without it. Why is PPL such an imperative in 2012?
    Simply because a bunch of left wing, so called “progressive”dummies in academia, the unions and the media push it.
    As for Mr Edwards at OU – go get a real job, in the real world!

    Grow up folks.
    If anyone wants to grow their family, fine. But do it at their own, personal cost. Not mine!.

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  18. cows4me (248 comments) says:

    Good on ya flipper, what really has Liarbore to offer, boring anal retentive politicians, higher taxes, more welfare, more socialism, more nanny state, the pricks are a festering boil and the majority of the country couldn’t give a fat rat’s arse if they disappeared from the political scene.

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