Campbell on Shearer

October 30th, 2012 at 1:00 pm by David Farrar

writes in The Wellingtonian:

All year, ’s strategists have been claiming that as New Zealanders gradually get to know him, they will come to like what they see.

Instead, what seems to be happening is that voters are going through periodic fits of disenchantment with the government and then looking more closely at the alternative, only to rebound in alarm.

So far, Shearer has simply failed to make the case that he could lead a credible alternative government.

And it would be a very complicated -Greens-NZ First-Mana Government with the major party being weaker in electoral terms than in any other Government. This means diminished ability to impose or even negotiate an agenda.

Yet by the same token, every time the Key government has got itself into trouble this year, a few rogue elements in the Labour caucus (eg, Trevor Mallard, Shane Jones) have proceeded to score an own goal, and create doubt about Labour’s competence and coherence.

This would suggests that Shearer’s flaws go beyond his public failure to be forceful and articulate, and extend to an inability to devise a consistent opposition strategy and ensure that his team sticks to it.

Recently, the Labour-leaning website The Standard listed the year’s roll call of self-inflicted damage: from Mallard’s ticket scalping debacle, to Shearer’s speech about the beneficiary on the roof, to Jones’ recent attacks on the Greens on behalf of his campaign donor, Sealords.

It was an impressively long list.

Merely replacing Shearer with his deputy Grant Robertson would seem unlikely to improve matters.

Robertson and his electorate team are already well represented among Shearer’s advisers, and thus seem more part of the problem than the solution.

So Gordon Campbell seems to be in Camp Cunliffe.

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13 Responses to “Campbell on Shearer”

  1. labrator (1,691 comments) says:

    …Labour-leaning website The Standard…

    Lol. ACT is a far-right party whereas The Standard merely “leans” towards Labour.

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  2. Reid (15,527 comments) says:

    What’s happening in my view here is that the level of Politicus Insanitas so common amongst the parliamentarians from the far left went off the scale when the Gweens were elected in such numbers and the wurzenflugle designed to stop mass outbreaks of PI for this precise reason simply couldn’t take it, it simply snapped in half under the massive strain. The engineers are working on a replacement but they take several years to build and meanwhile PI simply cannot be controlled.

    The radiative effects of PI for it travels through the atmosphere like a wave, are being transmitted even to more centrist leftists, causing them not to be able to think straight, like a kind of radio interference. So that’s what’s happening here, Shearer’s mind cannot cope with the off-the-scale PI levels anymore and while he’s been pleading to the Nats to please hurry the wurzenflugel work along, the Nats possibly haven’t been all that concerned for some reason, even though it’s quite dangerous to allow high levels of PI to remain over time.

    I mean it’s true isn’t it. The whole horrid mess that leftist politics is in today really did start around the time all those Gweens entered Parliament, didn’t it. I know we’re not supposed to mention the wurzenflugel in front of the lefties, but they already know about it anyway so what the heck.

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  3. hmmokrightitis (1,458 comments) says:

    And $5 says that unholy alliance doesnt give a shit about any mention of “mandate, what mandate?” should they be able to form a gubbermint. That standard of course only applies to the right, as we know. Anything less than 50%, as has been stated any number of times at shitholes like the standard isnt a mandate. So, expect such an outcome to be followed by a left leader going back to the polls to seek a mandate.

    Yeah right. Snort with derisive laughter.

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  4. emmess (1,333 comments) says:

    …Labour-leaning website The Standard…

    Mein Kampf – an authoritarian leaning book

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  5. Key is our man (521 comments) says:

    “And it would be a very complicated Labour-Greens-NZ First-Mana Government with the major party being weaker in electoral terms than in any other Government. This means diminished ability to impose or even negotiate an agenda” – David, these elements will stick together like glue for the sake of power and ruin NZ economically. Greens are after power now and Russel Norman has even started to talk about being a finance minister in the 2014 government. Unless Key becomes serious (I think he is bored of being PM now) and gets his act together, this toxic coalition will be in power in 2014. See the latest Roy Morgan poll for starters.

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  6. Nostalgia-NZ (4,685 comments) says:

    ‘Instead, what seems to be happening is that voters are going through periodic fits of disenchantment with the government and then looking more closely at the alternative, only to rebound in alarm.’

    That statement could be true but I doubt it, it seems to be speculative guesswork. I think many are to the point of first of all waiting the result of various inquiries and the unfolding of story yet to be completed. There could be also an element of the fact of the sheer volume of things going wrong for National that might be dulling the impact. Those events in total might have voters looking at the alternative presented by Labour and not be impressed, yet it still doesn’t mean the Nats are out of the woods by any means – with much yet to come. It’s not simply a run of bad luck they’re having, it’s bad management and also compromising of principles and veracity for which the hens don’t necessarily come home to roost soon after. JK has readily adopted the Bank’s persona of I don’t remember, possibly too readily it may be shown over time.

    That aside if ever there was a time for the opposition to progress I can’t imagine a more fruitful time than the last 9 months, particularly the changing status of sale (partial privatising) of the SOEs which continue to show being very badly handled indeed.

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  7. Tom Jackson (2,235 comments) says:

    You can’t win with a leader who looks like one of those plastic troll toys minus the colored hair.

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  8. bringbackdemocracy (350 comments) says:

    Labour knows that they can sleepwalk to victory in 2014 if National have no coalition options. National need parties like the Conservatives to be in parliament after the next election or else they will have to listen to “ha ha we won, you lost” from the Labour-Gween-NZ First government.

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  9. Cow Cocky (18 comments) says:

    If Labour will help reduce our exchange rate then I hope like hell, for the sake of our economy they get elected. Lets be honest, National are hopeless.

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  10. Redbaiter (6,465 comments) says:

    The Labour Party needs to decide what the party stands for. For example, does it stand for social progressivism or does it stand for the working man? Can’t really do both. Most of the Progressives who presently dominate Labour would probably regard your average worker with sniffing distaste.

    My own feeling is that Labour really does need to get back to its roots and dump the wheedling whining smirking slimy superior smug up themselves dorks who are the progressive wing and start looking towards the Andrew Littles and the Damien O’Connor types, many of whom got biffed in recent years and replaced by simpering queers like Chucky Chauvel or latte sipping metrosexuals like David Cunliffe.

    In fact I think with O’Connor and Little at the helm and Chucky and the rest of the /metrosexuals/liberals/queers dispatched to the back benches we could have a real old fashioned Labour Party again.

    If they replace Shearer with Cunliffe it will just mean more of the same directionless socially progressive whacking off that we’re getting now.

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  11. Kevin (1,122 comments) says:

    So the gweens irreversibly damaging our economy so our currency plummets is sound economic policy eh there cow cock? You do realise that the gweens are ideologically opposed to any form of pastoral farming don’t you?

    Red cunliffe is nothing like shearer. Having seen him in action his ego dwarfs winston peters, let alone shearers.

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  12. Redbaiter (6,465 comments) says:

    I know Cunliffe’s stand out feature is his own rank narcissism, so overpowering it suggests a mental disorder.

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  13. hj (5,677 comments) says:

    Here, here Redbaiter. I was never a union man type but at least the unions saw that labour MP’s represented working people.

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