Well no one picked this. Not only did Romney do very well, but Obama failed to connect. Romney was relaxed and confident and talked about actual people to illustrate his points while Obama looked like he’d rather not be there.
Obama had obviously been told you’re the front runner so don’t mix it up too much – generally good advice, but he took it too far and came across to technical.
I don’t think the debate by itself will change the polls massively, but it will hearten the Republicans and help them with fundraising and getting activists out there. The challenge for Romney is to build on the momentum.
The next debate is the VP debate, and Biden could be anywhere from okay to awful, so the Democrats will be looking forward to the next presidential debate. Off memory it is on foreign policy where Obama should be stronger – and I suspect more aggressive.