20 predictions for 2013

Okay, let’s see if I can improve upon 9.5/20 as I got for 2012 . Here goes ,y for 2013.

  1. At least two state owned power companies will have successful partial floats.
  2. Tracey Martin will be elected/anointed Deputy Leader of NZ First.
  3. Holly Walker’s Lobbying Disclosure Bill will not be paseed into law in 2013, even if amended.
  4. There will be at least three new Ministers by the end of 2013 (new being not Ministers today).
  5. Louisa Wall’s marriage bill will pass into law by June 2013, with at least 75 votes at third reading.
  6. David Shearer will demote at least two front-benchers to the backbenches.
  7. David Carter will be elected Speaker of the House, but it will not be a unanimous vote.
  8. Paul Foster-Bell will become an MP in 2013.
  9. The 2013 census will see two new general seats and one new Maori seat.
  10. David Cunliffe will not be rehabilitated and remain off the front bench.
  11. An MP will get engaged and a different one will get pregnant.
  12. Current or former Members of Parliament will contest both the Wellington and Auckland Mayoralties.
  13. David Clark’s Mondayisation Bill will pass 61 votes to 60 at 3rd reading.
  14. During the year at least three National MPs will announce they will retire at the 2014 election.
  15. Over the year, National will on average of all public polls, poll higher than Labour and Greens combined but not Labour, Greens and NZ First.
  16. Brendan Horan will not be an MP by the end of 2013.
  17. The 2013 Budget will project a small surplus for 2014/15.
  18. NZ will not win the election for the UN Security Council, as too many countries think we are part of Australia who have just got elected.
  19. Winston will get thrown out of the House by the new Speaker.
  20. The thresholds for parliamentary representation will remain unchanged at 5% party vote or 1 electorate seat.

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