Fairfax scores its 2012 predictions

December 31st, 2012 at 10:00 am by David Farrar

The gallery team put up 20 political at the start of each year. I like that they are game enough to do so, as events can be hard to predict.

They have scored their 2012 predictions and got 126.5/200. Their best prediction:

3. Former forecaster Brendan Horan will prove to be NZ First’s own weather bomb.

Soothsaying at its very best. The embarrassing allegations about his use of his dying mother’s money, and his expulsion from NZ First speak for themselves. He was the party’s weakest link, goodbye. We thought it was worth a good 10/10 but the auditor gave a generous 12.5/10 noting it was “luck bordering on genius”.

A good call indeed. Balanced with:

17. NZ First will pick former North Shore Mayor Andrew Williams as its deputy leader.

Winston Peters is still teasing that an announcement will be made “soon” but after a year we are still waiting so . . . 0/10

I think they will annoint one in 2013, and it will be Tracey Martin.

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6 Responses to “Fairfax scores its 2012 predictions”

  1. Rodders (1,755 comments) says:

    Whoever becomes NZ First Deputy will be someone of little talent who will only speak when given permission by Winston.
    No chance of that prediction being wrong.

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  2. Ross Miller (1,704 comments) says:

    It matters not a jot who the Deputy is. Winston First is a cult Party. Peters and Peters alone calls the shots. The sole function of any NZ FIrst MP (including the Deputy) is to ask ‘how high’ when Winston sez ‘jump’. Question that and ask Dail Jones what happens.

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  3. wat dabney (3,756 comments) says:

    Is the Winston Peters First party still going?

    Whilst Winston likes to imagine himself a roguish Lovejoy character the number of menopausal spinsters and biddies willing to share his fantasy is surely a rapidly diminishing resource.

    And everyone else just thinks he’s a cunt.

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  4. mikenmild (11,247 comments) says:

    wat
    There are problem more than enough core oldies and Winston fans to guarantee him about 3% nationwide for many years to come. That makes him a political force still. Not anything to celebrate, but something the main parties have to take into account.

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  5. Steve (North Shore) (4,559 comments) says:

    “There are problem ”

    Come on Mike, you can do better than that. It changes the meaning.
    The’re as in they are, not there or thier or their

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  6. Steve (North Shore) (4,559 comments) says:

    FFS here’s me, 10 years in Standard 2, teaching a good england. I was marked 18% in English for my School Certificate, that was because I did not care for the poet bullshit.

    There is something wrong with the Teachers of today when you look at the outcome

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