Here goes kea again squawky the illogical

Moron : Its not a computer modal kea its the slope on the temperature record you know when they get temperatures graph them and see if they are going up

Luddite: computer models to advanced for you kea they should do them on abacus …eh…..

Idiot: If its a modal Kea they are not real if they were they wouldn’t be modals

He just proved he does not know what a modal is Is the diferece between graphing the old temperatures and projecting the future temperatures to hard for him to cope with?.
Still according to kea we should not spend money on computer modals he much prefers the old chicken entrails method of forecasting.

Kea KB’s Luddite moron telling us science is a waste of money and using computers in science is wrong

Trend calculator
Have a play Find the no warming
If they were true skeptics they would close one avenue of dispute if it was proven wrong
The writers of the climate echo chamber are well aware there is a statistically significant trend .

http://www.skepticalscience.com/solar-activity-sunspots-global-warming.htm

Great book, especially about weather forecasting, gets a bit silly over baseball and Obama’s 2008 election but it gave me an insight into statistics and predictions and the link towards how we want the future to be as opposed to how it actually turns out.

It’s American, be prepared.

Have you read “The signal and the noise, The art of science and prediction”

No, but I might. Thanks.

Don’t blame the weathermen, they try their best and it’s getting better each year since the first man who thought about trying to predict it from WW1.

Have you read “The signal and the noise, The art of science and prediction”

It’s a specialized game of hit and miss and no one, and i mean no one can give us the time and date and the total amount of literage of rain that will fall on any given day a year from now.

Unless someone can state that they have a comp model that can track every particle in the atmosphere we don’t have anything that can properly predict certain weather patterns anywhere and since we are now experiencing extreme weather events it’s just going to make it harder.

We’re getting better though.

A prudent man would say that

1. warming in the Arctic could/would allow navigation in summertime.
2. global warming impacts on climate, but climate systems are complex and the outcomes are variable around the world. Historic weather patterns could/would be affected.

So with this in mind, we can note that there is man-made warming and the extent of this compared to other warming (uncreased solar cycle activity) is uncertain. This complicates effort to identify the extent to which human activity is warming the globe and thus problematic to forecasting future impact – or quantify what we would have to do to slow the rate of warming.

We don’t even know if the increasing solar activity of recent times will continue. Having identified it as a factor, it is also now a factor in forecasting global temperature.

The other variable factor is volcanic activity and smog levels causing cooling (is there more smog than in the past and if so, what impact is it having – especially as Chinese/Indian production increases).

Weathermen have a sorry history of getting it wrong. It is not really science, its guessing.

7:32PM Saturday Jan 12, 2013
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Environment

New high reached during great heatwave

Date
January 12, 2013 – 5:58PM

435 reading now

Peter Hannam
Peter Hannam
Carbon economy editor

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Record temperatures are being recorded across the country with the mercury still rising.

Hot hot hot … New high temperatures are being recorded across the country. Photo: Greg Wood

A new temperature high for the great heatwave cooking much of the continent has been set with Moomba clocking up 49.6 degrees today.

Regions ‘primed to go’
Fire dangers far from over

The scorching conditions, which saw the mercury peak at 3.42pm, local time, at the remote South Australian gas region, also sent temperatures soaring in other parts of the eastern interior. The 49.6 reading is the highest for the location and the hottest recorded during the fortnight-long heat spell.

Other temperatures of note today include the north-western NSW town of Bourke, which hit 48.3, while Birdsville on the Queensland section of Corner Country touched 48.6 degrees.

Read more: http://www.smh.com.au/environment/weather/new-high-reached-during-great-heatwave-20130112-2cmbw.html#ixzz2HkSRv0Zw

Why can’t they just keep their stupid traps shut? Why all the ‘trash talking’ when you are playing the best team in the World?

Ozone holes are natural but human activity contriuted to them. Since we began to reduce the contribution the ozone holes are now returning to to the size they naturally were/are.

Want to inform the writer of the blog that the ozone holes over the Antarctic break up and travel over New Zealand?