Latest poll

February 24th, 2013 at 6:26 pm by David Farrar

I’ve blogged at Curiablog the results of the latest 3 News Reid Research poll.

Note that the poll was done after the release of the Auditor-General report into the proposed Sky City convention centre.

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27 Responses to “Latest poll”

  1. liarbors a joke (1,069 comments) says:

    yadda yadda…same ole same..Key up, Shearer down…next poll reverse…trouble is National have no credible opposition..just a train smash resurrected .

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  2. peterwn (2,938 comments) says:

    A swallow does not make spring, but I wonder if the opposition parties have not ‘cried wolf’ too much over alleged ‘wrongs’ of the PM and Ministers, especially when Labour and NZ First had similar sorts of issues when in government and at present the opposition parties have little to offer.

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  3. Graeme Edgeler (3,222 comments) says:

    Have you considered showing these results as a range based on the 95% margin for each value?

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  4. martinh (836 comments) says:

    Its funny how cheap nz is when a poll of 1000 people is supposedly representative of millions.
    maybe they should poll the same people again.
    What a cheap country

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  5. frankdb (150 comments) says:

    Its funny how cheap nz is when a poll of 1000 people is supposedly representative of millions.

    Yeah it is so GAYBO

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  6. PhilP (140 comments) says:

    That’s 2 polls in a row now with National up and Liarbour down, they will really be tearing their hair out at the Strandard now.
    Will they say it’s another rogue poll?

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  7. frankdb (150 comments) says:

    Excellent Philp, three will mark the end of the summer whine.

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  8. stigie (645 comments) says:

    This is great news for the Nats. I can only imagine the left sobbing

    and saying, “Where have we gone wrong”.

    Trevor is the go to man, “Ask him”.

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  9. martinh (836 comments) says:

    Frankdb
    Whats gaybo mean? this some part of your street talk bro?
    I bet this poll came out after Solid Energy revealed it iss going to cost hundreds and hundreds of miliions. What sort of a PM cant see reducing prices eh Frank? Would he let that happen to whoever is guarding his millions mate?

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  10. frankdb (150 comments) says:

    Gaybo?

    http://www.whaleoil.co.nz/2013/02/gaybo-farrar-rejected-by-9-year-old/

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  11. stigie (645 comments) says:

    @ PhilP I dont think they will mention it over at the Strandard !

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  12. martinh (836 comments) says:

    Still dont get it Frank
    explain it in your own terms then

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  13. martinh (836 comments) says:

    Still dont get it Frank,
    explain it in your own terms then

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  14. PhilP (140 comments) says:

    @ Stigie
    I guess u r right there but it will give the left something to think about even if they don’t report it there. wait for the next positive poll for the left and they will have a major wank fest.

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  15. stigie (645 comments) says:

    @ PhilP

    ” Thats right “

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  16. bhudson (4,720 comments) says:

    How long till the calls come out to ditch the Labour leader?

    Let’s see it at over 50% for three consecutive polls before we get too excited, but at least we can have a chuckle over the angsting in both Labour and the Greens (they’ll be fuming at a drop to 10-odd percent.)

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  17. slijmbal (1,134 comments) says:

    “Its funny how cheap nz is when a poll of 1000 people is supposedly representative of millions.”

    In theory, a poll of 1000 has about a margin of error of about 3% – basic stats – there are world of assumptions around that – many of which while not true are true enough to add a couple of per cent to the accuracy figure. So the inaccuracy can easily be 5%. The accumulation of polls is a much better figure.

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  18. tristanb (1,133 comments) says:

    My (completely unjustified, with very little thought) theory:
    National are finally doing some of the things that “mean Tories” are meant to do – “cracking down” on beneficiaries.

    Now, I know they haven’t cracked down at all, they’ve barely done a thing, but the majority of the public doesn’t want partners of beneficiaries to get away with being complicit in ripping off the taxpayer.

    The bonus is that Labour knows these moves are popular, so you get a vague, stupid sounding “we agree with the princ.. uh, um, needs to.. uh be, further checks and…” when they try to argue against it.

    John Key needs to actually start with some of the more “populist” policies that “right-wingers” are said to have. Increasing penalties for violent crime is a good one, and extending the BeneCard to beneficiaries with drug convictions would be another.

    Unfortunately he’s in a coalition with a racist party, and is trying to pass the most misunderstood and emotive issue (“asset sales”) at the same time having to bribe the Maori Party – and has made nearly no progress!

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  19. Manolo (12,637 comments) says:

    John Key needs to actually start with some of the more “populist” policies that “right-wingers” are said to have.

    Growing a pair, for starters. The same applies to his party of wimps and catamites.

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  20. Adolf Fiinkensein (2,681 comments) says:

    Is this not the very same poll about which the Bilious Bitch famously declared:-

    (Bugger it, I can’t get my voice down deep enough.)

    ‘It’s the only poll which is accurate.’????????

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  21. rg (190 comments) says:

    Why would the left be upset by this? National is left wing enough I would have thought. I bet they are secretly happy because National si doing as good a job as any Labour Party ever has to redistribute the wealth created by the few tp give to the many and in so doing stuff the economy.

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  22. krazykiwi (9,188 comments) says:

    These polls have become meaningless in a long term sense.

    Our political spectrum has swung so far to the left that the style of government we elect only determines how fast we head towards total economic meltdown.

    Our political parties are only differentiated by the scale and focus of their re-distributive largesse, not by any policy of substance, designed to build a better country for for children and grandchildren.

    A democracy cannot exist as a permanent form of government. It can only exist until the majority discovers it can vote itself largess out of the public treasury. After that, the majority always votes for the candidate promising the most benefits with the result the democracy collapses because of the loose fiscal policy ensuing, always to be followed by a dictatorship, then a monarchy.

    Quote credited to Alaxander Fraser Tytler, but this is disputed

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  23. hj (5,703 comments) says:

    “I am the most popular PM ever” HC.

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  24. tvb (3,945 comments) says:

    John Key has started the year with a much tighter grip on his Government. But the hapless Ms Parata still has the capacity to lose National the election with her arrogant mishandling of the education portfolio.

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  25. Pete George (21,826 comments) says:

    Andrea Vance wrote about poll volatility, and quotes David Shearer making valid points:

    “They [the polls] are all over the place at the moment. My sense is that there are two reasons.

    “People are not terribly interested at the moment, and there is a great deal of softening of the vote, which is showing up dramatically different in some polls.”

    If there was a poll choices for
    - Something better than what’s on offer
    - I can’t be bothered with politics at the moment
    they would probably score quite well. Poll volatility – Shearer could be right

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  26. muggins (2,903 comments) says:

    I said it re the last poll and I say it again.
    Political polls should be limited to two a year maximum and none in the last six months prior to an election.
    They are a total waste of time.
    And what about the last election. Right up until just before the election took place NZ First wasn’t polling high enough to get a seat. The media are still trying to work out what happened on polling day.

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  27. pq (728 comments) says:

    muggins (2,262) Says:
    February 25th, 2013 at 5:38 pm
    I said it re the last poll and I say it again.
    Political polls should be limited to two a year maximum and none in the last six months prior to an election.
    They are a total waste of time.
    And what about the last election. Right up until just before the election took place NZ First wasn’t polling high enough to get a seat. The media are still trying to work out what happened on polling day.

    pq says you have to get real muggins

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