Poll shows Rudd would help ALP win in Queensland

February 24th, 2013 at 11:00 am by David Farrar

News.com.au reports:

would catapult Labor into an election-winning position if he was to be reinstalled as leader, according to a new Galaxy poll.

A comeback by the former prime minister would deliver a 14 per cent boost to Labor’s primary vote in Queensland, putting it in line to seize two-thirds of the state’s seats.

The poll of 800 Queenslanders, taken on the evenings of February 20 and 21, found that federal Labor’s support, with Prime Minister Julia Gillard at the helm, was stuck on 33 per cent – close to the primary vote Labor received at the last election.

This would see Tony Abbott lead the Coalition to victory by 55 per cent to 45 per cent on a two-party preferred basis in Queensland if preferences flowed as they did in 2010.

But Labor’s primary vote would soar to 47 per cent in Queensland if Mr Rudd returned to the leadership and faced off against Mr Abbott, the poll found.

Rudd is effectively campaigning full-time to gain the leadership back off Gillard. It will come to a head in March probably.

I’m not sure Rudd will win though. Generally MPs will vote for their own surivival, but a fair few Labor MPs would rather lose their seats than have Rudd back as Leader.

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14 Responses to “Poll shows Rudd would help ALP win in Queensland”

  1. Warren Murray (293 comments) says:

    If Labour is facing a thrashing like it experienced at the last Queensland state election, panic could take over. Then there is the NSW result. Anything is possible.

    But isnt the battleground in NSW and Vic?

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  2. Harriet (4,626 comments) says:

    It’s also been reported over here DPF-

    “The Rudd ‘sugar fix’ would not last too long with the public as they would soon remember what they would be returning to.”

    Before Keating got tossed out in huge numbers, Labour had a secret plan which was called behind Keating’s back “The roof top plan” as it referred to the US leaving their Embassy in Vietnam.

    That plan as I saw reported yesterday, is all really about taking a smaller loss at the election under Rudd than winning it under Rudd.

    It is based around Labour’s belief that they can return to office in 2-3 elections. Labour came back into government just 8 yrs after Keating’s hiding.

    I didn’t like Rudd at all, but like most QLDers, I feel bloody sorry for him being stabbed in the back by an ‘underachiever’.

    Labour are hated for that here.

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  3. ChardonnayGuy (1,190 comments) says:

    What is it with the Aussie Liberals and the ALP anyway?! Every so often, each party seems to become engulfed in fratricidal infighting between past and present leadership contenders during their periods of late incumbent government or opposition, worsening the party’s prospects of retaining or attaining power. Hawke/Keating, Howard/Costello, Rudd/Gillard…
    Abbott/Turnbull…??? I suspect we’ll see the latter several years down the road.

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  4. kowtow (7,977 comments) says:

    Just goes to show how stupid Labor voters are ,Rudd is the architect of this disaster.

    http://blogs.news.com.au/heraldsun/andrewbolt/index.php/heraldsun/comments/overrun_by_what_the_press_council_says_i_cannot_call_illegal_immigrants/

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  5. Harriet (4,626 comments) says:

    “……What is it with the Aussie Liberals…..?! Every so often, each party seems to become engulfed in fratricidal infighting between past and present leadership contenders….. Howard/Costello, …..
    Abbott/Turnbull…??? I suspect we’ll see the latter several years down the road.

    Bullshit!

    Costello had the chance to run for the leadership and decided not to. – All this was because the lefty MSM ‘talked up’ a leadership ‘challenge’ because Howard was polling low. The media simply puts a mic in front of Costello and asks “Are you going to challenge?” And the rest of the left jump into social media and claim ‘I’ve always supported the Libs…but not any more because of Howard….I want Costello.’

    Turnball fucked up as leader under the ‘Gonsky Affair’ – where he was lied to by a Federal public servant. Gonsky admitted that later in a federal enquiry. But it again showed up Turnballs ‘poor’ judgement. Turnball had previously announced his ‘belief’ in climate change, when all the Liberal voters didn’t, and he supported positions that the Greens were taking.

    Abbott then won that public leadership challenge under the slogan “Climate change is crap!”

    I can assure you Chardy, that Abbott will become one of Australia’s finest MP’s. He has a moral compass:

    “….Abortion should be safe, legal, and rare…”

    He is also a Rhodes Scholar – those who will do what is best for their Nation.

    Drowning kids & their mothers at sea -courtesy of Labor immigration policy- is not what Abbott would ever do.

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  6. Manolo (13,517 comments) says:

    Any infighting within the ALP is welcome. The bloodier it gets, the better for Australia.

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  7. Redbaiter (8,042 comments) says:

    The difference between left and right.

    If we use an animal metaphor. The right wants to run free in the forests. The left want to run reserves and keep us all in cages or under the care of wardens (them of course).

    The right struggle to stay free of the left’s nets and traps.

    The left schemes and plots to entrap us all. Usually deceit is their main tool.

    One day average Australians will wake up to how their entrapment by the left has crippled economic growth in that country.

    More so in NZ.

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  8. ChardonnayGuy (1,190 comments) says:

    Really, I couldn’t give a toss either way. I don’t care who’s in charge of Oz, as I never intend to emigrate to it. As soon as the recession’s over, I might head off to Europe or Canada. But not the repressed and racist continent nextdoor. Howard really poisoned its culture during his time in office, and Rudd and Gillard have done virtually nothing to remedy the situation.

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  9. dime (9,690 comments) says:

    “but a fair few Labor MPs would rather lose their seats than have Rudd back as Leader.”

    hmm really? and do what? go back to their teaching jobs? or back to being a low rent union boss?

    labour mps arent usually that valuable in the marketplace.

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  10. Redbaiter (8,042 comments) says:

    “Really, I couldn’t give a toss either way. I don’t care who’s in charge of Oz, as I never intend to emigrate to it. As soon as the recession’s over, I might head off to Europe or Canada.”

    Four uses of the personal pronoun in three sentences. Remarkable.

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  11. thedavincimode (6,591 comments) says:

    Gosh, it’s Tool Time.

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  12. pq (728 comments) says:

    Queensland and West owns Australia, and will vote conservative, drive there for ten weeks or so like I did and soon find out. There is all the money and real power
    Eventually Melbourne girls soputh can suck egg

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  13. Warren Murray (293 comments) says:

    What are u talking about Harriet, wrt Keating?. He won what was expected to be an unwinable in election in 1993 after he took the leadership. Hewsons blunder perhaps. But when Howard won in 1996, he held office for eleven years, not eight as you state.

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  14. Harriet (4,626 comments) says:

    W Murray#

    Yes you are right about Howard and 11 yrs. However, they may have said in Saturday’s Courier Mail “They[Labor] believed they may get back within 8yrs of a Keating defeat. The figure 8 was quoted but I might have since then got confused what it was exactly for.[I read the paper at a mates and can't refer back to it. I think it was Denis Atkins artical.]

    With Keating’s election I’m talking about the one where he was beaten by Howard. Prior to that election, Labor had the ‘roof top plan’ because they saw that they would get a hiding. Except for Keating.

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