National closes the gender gap

June 6th, 2013 at 2:00 pm by David Farrar

An interesting academic paper by Hilde Coffe:

This paper investigates gender differences in voting for the two major parties (Labour and ) and the two main small parties (Green and New Zealand First) at the 2011 New Zealand general election. In contrast to the gender gap found in many post-industrial societies with women being more likely to lean towards the left than men, this study reveals limited differences in party preferences among men and women in New Zealand.

The only substantial gender difference is found in relation to voting for New Zealand First, with women being substantially less supportive of the populist party than men. This gap is robust and remains substantial even when gender differences in socioeconomic characteristics and issue positions related to the role of government, the welfare state and the presence of immigrants are taken into account.

Interestingly, while no gender gap occurs at first sight in support for the mainstream right-wing party National, a gap does arise once gender differences in policy issue positions are controlled for, with women being more likely to support National than men.

As the author states, it is usual for women to vote more left than men. In NZ at the last election, this did not occur. In fact National arguably gets more support from women than men. Why? The obvious answer was the appeal of John Key, but the author included that as a variable – and there was still a difference.

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15 Responses to “National closes the gender gap”

  1. James Stephenson (2,097 comments) says:

    The obvious answer, is the National have earned their tag of “Labour lite” and it’s not just a figment of the “kiwiblog hive-mind”

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  2. iMP (2,345 comments) says:

    This abstract gap is on paper only (usually academic paper). It means little in reality. Mother Theresa was a woman, so was Myra Hindley. So what?

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  3. kowtow (7,976 comments) says:

    Universal suffrage,isn’t it marvellous? Women vote left or for personalities…….so much for an “educated” electorate.

    Gender gap? The gap is between their fucken ears!

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  4. Redbaiter (8,042 comments) says:

    James Stephenson is right.

    Woman who habitually vote left are happy voting for the far left National Party of John Key. The Nats have merely moved left and taken the ground of the Labour party.

    And there’s still so many people here applauding this weak and treacherous capitulation.

    If Key only had half the balls of Margaret Thatcher.

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  5. SPC (5,473 comments) says:

    Er kowtow, the paper indicated that while women issues meant that they had cause to side with the left, because over a range of policies there was support for National this evened out.

    The women’s vote for Clark 1999-2005 was balanced by men who voted her out in 2008.

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  6. SPC (5,473 comments) says:

    Typically redbaiter fails to get what Key is doing, by doing things moderately Key is trying to reassure women voters.

    Moving to the right slowly is only remaining to the left of those who are travelling rightward at a faster speed (doing so without taking the electorate with them is called “night vision blindness” of the lone drummer).

    Women have an aversion to the “ld’s” with “nvb”.

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  7. b1gdaddynz (279 comments) says:

    Could be that IMO the John Key National Government is very pragmatic and centrist in policy making! It has been my experience that women tend to favor these over extreme measures!

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  8. RRM (9,670 comments) says:

    the far left National Party of John Key.

    I would have thought the Communist Party of the Soviet Union was a far left party…?
    You should change your handle to Red Hyperbole Weddy, you’re hardly baiting anyone these days.

    And the whole western world is to your far left. Ask yourself if the reason is you, or the whole western world?

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  9. RRM (9,670 comments) says:

    b1gdaddynz –

    FWIW I think you’re dead right.

    I’m wracking my brains to think of all the people I know personally in the real world, who are passionately interested in politics and hold strident political views. All of them are men.

    Women tend to be more interested in real life than in lofty / pie in the sky political theories…

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  10. dime (9,690 comments) says:

    im with kea, they shouldnt be voting at all :D

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  11. The Scorned (719 comments) says:

    A Woman in a voting booth means an empty kitchen somewhere….grump! >;-(

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  12. Harriet (4,626 comments) says:

    It may not be evidence that God exists.But it is the next best thing:

    Evidence that Redbaiter has been right all along! :cool:

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  13. Johnboy (15,602 comments) says:

    Women know that powerful men have dicks in proportion to the length of their nose’s.

    Signed:……. Johnbignoseboy! :)

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  14. Grant Michael McKenna (1,157 comments) says:

    Women are more likely than men to do the family shopping- maybe there is a connection?

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  15. Sponge (156 comments) says:

    Johnbignoseboy. The saying is “Big nose – big hose”

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