The evil Rudd

June 12th, 2013 at 1:00 pm by David Farrar

News.com.au reports:

During an appearance on the ABC’sQ&A on Monday night, Mr Latham accused Mr Rudd of sabotaging the party’s election campaign in 2010 and preparing to do it again for this year’s election.

Mr Latham said Mr Rudd’s ego is out of control and he must not be rewarded.

Despite his denials, Rudd is clearly campaigning for the leadership again. He is arranging supporters to turn up to public meetings and appear to be normal members of the public giving him a hero’s welcome. It is a cleverly crafted campaign to try and persuade people he is Labor’s only hope.

“He knows that every day he gets in the media cycle he’s knocking Gillard down a notch or two in the polls. This is a program, a jihad of revenge, the like of which we have never seen before in the history of Australian politics. And it goes beyond the normal human reaction of revenge. You are getting into the realm of evil.”

Despite polls that indicate Mr Rudd would give Labor a better chance in the election than , Mr Latham said the party would better off “dying on its feet”.

Latham is a bit mad, but still to have one former ALP leader call another “evil” is extraordinary. They may be in opposition for a very long time.

Malcom Farr looks at the pros and cons of a change:

The basic contest is Ms Gillard against the man she deposed in June 2010, . But there is no official contest. Unlike other leadership bouts, no one has presented themselves as a combatant.

Mr Rudd has repeated past pledges that he will not challenge the Prime Minister and would not accept a draft. He expects Ms Gillard to take the party into the election.

That’s his talk, but Labor MPs are also watching his walk through dozens of marginal Labor electorates where he has been asked to help colleagues, and in the process has shown he can draw a happy crowd. Be mobbed by them, in fact, more like a minor celebrity than a former Prime Minister.

By contrast, Julia Gillard is seen to be so personally unpopular with voters the entire government is suffering, and in certain areas that is true. In western Sydney community and business sources have told news.com.au of their surprise at the number of times locals have, unprompted, raised their dislike of the Prime Minister.

As I say, the Labor MPs have to choose between a leader the public hates and a leader the caucus hates.

This has put the focus on Employment Minister Bill Shorten, a senior Victorian right MP who helped Ms Gillard into the job in 2010, as did the union he once led, the Australian Workers’ Union.

Mr Shorten has been conscripted by the mutterers as the man who could force or persuade Ms Gillard to step aside for Mr Rudd. It’s not a job he sought and, going by his renewed backing of the Prime Minister, not a job he wants.

He faces a grinding personal choice. He might have his CV forever marked as the Labor man who brought down two Labor Prime Ministers. Or on September 15 he might be confronted by colleagues who lost their seats and blame him for not bringing about a leadership change.

If Mr Rudd were to take over he might inherit a depleted front bench as ministers such as Treasurer Wayne Swan would find it hard to serve under him.

Rudd PM might go to an election as soon as possible, maybe August 3, the earliest date possible without breaking the link between the House of Representatives and the Senate. Go early while they still adore me, might be his reasoning.

But much would need to happen before that point, and the wait now is for the return of Parliament for its final two weeks before the election next week.

And the next Newspoll.

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14 Responses to “The evil Rudd”

  1. Sector 7g (237 comments) says:

    Labor doesn’t have a chance in hell either way. Labor has nothing positive to campaign on. They have fallen into the same old same old leftist tactic of an election campaign based purely on character assassination of the opposition leader. Remind you of someone?
    Never before have I seen a politician so toxic as Julia Gillard. Every word she speaks or scandal she breaks, ends up making her look bitter and worse off in the polls than she was. Great to watch really.

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  2. PaulL (5,983 comments) says:

    A few random things.

    Firstly, Shorten wants the top job after they lose the election. But if he doesn’t show leadership now, then will he be ready for leadership after the election? My guess is that the loss will be so large that they’re going to overlook that, Gillard and Swan will have to go, Rudd can’t take the leadership (he’ll be yesterday’s man), so Shorten gets it. Or perhaps Rudd for a couple years before it turns out he can’t win the next election either, then Shorten can get the long-term job instead of being a short-term seat warmer.

    Secondly, Gillard’s new ploy today on gender politics, straight from the UK election playbook (remembering her advisor came across from the UK) is backfiring. I don’t expect that to help, many of those in the Labor caucus don’t like her playing that card.

    Thirdly, whilst Gillard is unpopular, don’t overlook that Abbott’s PR is equally poor – many people viscerally dislike him, particularly women. Most of that seems to have nothing to do with what he’s done, and more to do with what they read in the lefty media, but nevertheless it’s a problem for him.

    An interesting wild card would be if the independents vote no confidence in the next two weeks, and then go to an early election. It could happen in the current environment.

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  3. Manolo (13,517 comments) says:

    Rudd is as egotistical, selfish and vain as the venal pensioner Winston Peters on this side of the Tasman.
    The saving grace is he is damaging the Labor Party, a good thing for Australia.

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  4. iMP (2,345 comments) says:

    He is Labour’s only hope.

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  5. Adolf Fiinkensein (2,834 comments) says:

    PaulL

    If Gillard loses a vote of confidence in the house then I think it is inevitable that the machine will replace her with Rudd. That’s the excuse Shorten needs.

    Rudd won’t win but he will reduce the damage.

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  6. PaulL (5,983 comments) says:

    @Adolf. I’m not sure. I think that people tell pollsters that they like Rudd more because they see Gillard all the time (and dislike her whining voice and lecturing/hectoring tone), and hardly ever see Rudd. But perhaps when/if he’s back in charge, they’ll remember why they didn’t like him – the inability to give a straight answer to anything, the esoteric thinking, the control-freakery, the lack of consultation, and the general stupid policies. Perhaps going straight to an election would minimise the time for people to remember this, but I reckon it wouldn’t take long for people to suddenly go “ah, that’s right”.

    I think Gillard will probably lead them to the election. It’s too close, and changing would just make the Labor party look even more incompetent.

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  7. Harriet (4,622 comments) says:

    Less than 100 days to go!

    Here in QLD they once got the baseball bats out for Keating and gave him a fucken good hiding, but as is being now said:

    “We’re putting condoms on them this time and we’re gonna give it to them properly.”

    Rudd will be the only one in QLD who will keep his seat – I hate the prick – but I’d love to see him get 100% of his electorate vote just to stick it right up that deceitful bitch!

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  8. Zapper (968 comments) says:

    Gillard’s only campaign plan is to cry sexism.

    http://www.theaustralian.com.au/national-affairs/women-banished-under-a-coalition-government-julia-gillard-claims/story-fn59niix-1226661839065

    I had the misfortune to see this on TV at the gym this morning. Imagine Tony Abbott doing the same thing, with every gender reference reversed. Yet Gillard thinks this is acceptable. At least if Rudd came back it would be about more than Gillard inventing misogyny.

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  9. PaulL (5,983 comments) says:

    @Harriet, that’s really not a nice statement. Particularly in light of some of the stuff going on in Australia today about people saying inappropriate things.

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  10. gravedodger (1,528 comments) says:

    @ imp 1 47, if you are referring to Rudd there is no u in labor over the ditch it is all about me and to hell with everything else.

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  11. Andronicus (219 comments) says:

    Latham is more than a bit mad, he is totally loopy.

    Rudd may be more popular than Gillard (who isn’t?) but was hopeless as PM. He is a foul mouthed micromanager, people find him impossible to work for. Labor will lose heavily, and deserve the trouncing. But the alternative may prove even worse.

    If Latham is loopy, then so is Abbott. As a youngster he indulged in amateur boxing and photos show him not using any head protection. The possibility of a brain injury is very real.

    This could explain some of his bizarre behaviour, such as sprinting to try to get out of a sitting of Parliament to nullify Craig Thomson’s vote, or the lengthy, silent, manic stare at a TV interviewer when asked an awkward question. He is also the only politician I know who admits he can’t be trusted unless it is in writing.

    The thought of that man in The Lodge is scary.

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  12. Bad__Cat (140 comments) says:

    “As I say, the Labor MPs have to choose between a leader the public hates and a leader the caucus hates.”
    Sound familiar? Change one word ( Labor to Labour)

    Not that we mind! Yay, Sheep, hang in there.

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  13. jackkerouacsnephew (27 comments) says:

    I see PaulL sees Gillard leading into the election. I think so also.
    It makes me wonder why on earth Rudd would even want to take over to certain loss.
    It is strange also for the lucky country to have two leaders neither of whom are liked by Australians

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  14. ChardonnayGuy (1,190 comments) says:

    Poisoned chalice time. Whoever leads the ALP, it will be into a disastrous defeat at the September federal election. Oddly enough, within another heavily factionalised governing party elsewhere (ie the British Tories), exactly the same could be said. The moral of this story is that factionalism reaps its own bitter reward…whatever one’s political persuasion. And bloody hell, are the Aussies ever backward when it comes to female leadership! No wonder Bronwyn Bishop’s never made it to the top of the Liberals, despite her obvious talents. (I don’t know enough about Julie Bishop to comment).

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