Auckland mayoralty polling

October 4th, 2013 at 10:00 am by David Farrar

Horizon have released a exit poll showing John Palino only 4% behind Len Brown in the Auckland mayoralty.

Before people get too excited by this, I would point out Horizon’s final pre-election poll in 2011 had Labour winning the general election and only 5% behind National (in fact they got 20% behind National).

An August UMR poll had the gap at 23% (47% to 14%).

Could things have changed that much in the last six weeks? We’ll find out in a week when the results come in.

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18 Responses to “Auckland mayoralty polling”

  1. Alan (1,087 comments) says:

    Horizon is a joke because it’s panel is self selecting.

    Len will win by a massive margin, the rights failure to stand a viable candidate to run our largest city was an admission that Len was unbeatable.

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  2. Redbaiter (10,464 comments) says:

    That Auckland is so misinformed at to think that a Communist is the best choice for Mayor is a good indication as to how the right in New Zealand has been outflanked. Having charlatans like John Banks or soft leftists like John Key stand as its representatives sends a message of capitulation. NZ’s needs political leaders with conviction, like Tony Abbot and Ted Cruz and Daniel Hannan. If we keep putting up compromise candidates the left will keep winning.

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  3. nickb (3,696 comments) says:

    Notice how Len Brown is funding his enormous borrowing and spending by raising rates far higher on the people who wouldn’t vote for him anyway?

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  4. Sir Cullen's Sidekick (900 comments) says:

    Thanks for the Friday morning comedy news. Much appreciated.

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  5. Sir Cullen's Sidekick (900 comments) says:

    Alan says – “the rights failure to stand a viable candidate to run our largest city was an admission that Len was unbeatable”.

    So true. The same applies to the Christchurch by-election also. By selecting a nobody to run against the Labour candidate, John Key has given up winning Christchurch. I get a feeling that after Cunliffe’s selection as the Labour leader, John Key seems to have lost his touch and given up on winning the 2014 election. The recent opinion polls are all pointing to a heavy win for Labour-Green.

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  6. Doc (81 comments) says:

    Well, I’ll be voting for Palino :-) (and my wife will be as well)

    …don’t know the first thing about him other than that he’s not Len Brown!!!

    We just bought out first house a few years ago. We’ve had 10% pa rates increases ever since! And for all that, we have to pay another company to supply us with water and sewerage services. We have to pay by the bag for our refuse to be collected …and pay yet another company to collect our garden waste. Now we are faced with paying another company still to maintain the council land in front of our place… (and are forecast to receive another 10% rates hike next year)

    Len Brown can shove his rail loops, white water rafting centres and unitary plan. His council have abdicated nearly all of their core responsibilities in favour of idealism and populist crap. (and damn the expense!)

    I’d sooner vote for John Minto than Len Brown…

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  7. peterwn (3,337 comments) says:

    National needs Len as Auckland Mayor in the run-up to the 2014 election. With a centre-right Mayor, National will get blamed for Auckland’s issues and shortcomings.

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  8. Camryn (481 comments) says:

    peterwn – I doubt that. The public won’t blame National for Auckland’s issues any more or less than they do now. Some blame always flows to the national level, irrespective of the stripe of the mayor. Plus, a new mayor would only have been in power for a short time by the next national election.

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  9. RRM (10,104 comments) says:

    and Penny Bright 2%

    :lol:

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  10. timmydevo (53 comments) says:

    I’m so excited by this!

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  11. Rich Prick (1,750 comments) says:

    RRM, I’m concerned for the welfare of that 2%, we need to find them and get them back on their medication.

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  12. OneTrack (3,374 comments) says:

    “Notice how Len Brown is funding his enormous borrowing and spending by raising rates far higher on the people who wouldn’t vote for him anyway?”

    The lefts standard operating procedure.

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  13. OneTrack (3,374 comments) says:

    “The recent opinion polls are all pointing to a heavy win for Labour-Green.” – and a heavy loss for New Zealand (soon to be Aotearoa) Inc.

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  14. Samuel Smith (276 comments) says:

    Palino, Romney, same dif.

    Right-wing media pretends they have a chance, but no show in reality.

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  15. bhudson (4,741 comments) says:

    Oh you’re such a Ham, Samuel

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  16. liarbors a joke (1,069 comments) says:

    hey just vote Penny Bright for shits and giggles…what ya got to lose?

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  17. bhudson (4,741 comments) says:

    ^^ Your mind?

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  18. rosscalverley (83 comments) says:

    http://www.horizonpoll.co.nz/page/189/commentary-predictions-for-the-2011-general-election

    David, nice try at selling the lie, but you are completely wrong.

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