Hide on Key

January 27th, 2014 at 2:00 pm by David Farrar

writes in the HoS:

One of the more common and basic mistakes to make in politics is to underestimate your opponent. It’s an easy thing to do. Your opponents are doing it all wrong and so must be either stupid or crooked and perhaps both.

Your team readily agrees and the trap is easy to fall into. And so it is with Labour and .

Labour continues to dismiss Key as a political lightweight who would sell his own mother, in Labour leader David Cunliffe’s words.

They overlook that Key toppled Labour’s best and strongest leader, has seen off Phil Goff and David Shearer, and who Cunliffe has yet to dent. That’s no political lightweight.

Indeed.

Labour pooh-poohed Key’s credentials in foreign policy. He now has David Cameron’s number on speed dial.

Previous New Zealand prime ministers were ecstatic for our future trade prospects with a two-minute “pull aside” at a formal meeting. Key plays golf with the President of the United States on his holidays.

Key, with no fuss, has turned over 13 of his own MPs in just two years to refresh the party. That’s rare political power and skill.

Cunliffe, meanwhile, is stuck with the team that didn’t want him and which includes ministers from the 1980s plus the party’s two previous leaders.

Over a quarter of Labour’s caucus entered Parliament in the 1980s or 1990s.

Clark was a very popular prime minister. Her average in the preferred prime minister stakes was almost 2 times her predecessor Jim Bolger’s. That’s an extraordinary achievement. But Key’s is even more extraordinary. His average is fully 10 percentage points above Clark’s.

That’s a 25 per cent advantage.

Labour has taken to calling Key lucky. They persist in underestimating him. It’s like they just have to wait until his luck runs out.

I got to work with Key. It’s not luck. This is a man who is smart, who works hard and who understands people.

National needs to poll mid 40s or high 40s to win a third term. This would be unprecedented as under MMP no other party has ever got higher than low 40s – even for their first term. But if anyone can do it, Key will.

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16 Responses to “Hide on Key”

  1. martinh (1,272 comments) says:

    Labours policy today is enough to make me swing back to National.

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  2. ross69 (3,652 comments) says:

    He now has David Cameron’s number on speed dial.

    Goodness, that will help to reduce child poverty and income inequality and improve educational achievement.

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  3. ross69 (3,652 comments) says:

    Key, with no fuss, has turned over 13 of his own MPs in just two years to refresh the party.

    And 11 or more National MPs are throwing in the towel before the election.

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  4. Harriet (5,201 comments) says:

    “…..But if anyone can do it, Key will….”

    Well there is the point where 80% of kiwis sort their rubbish – while the carbon tax stands around doing nothing!

    And parents who smack their kids are now publicly ridiculed and described as violent criminals!

    And that wholesome Marriages are the equivilent to gay relations!

    If anyone won’t do it, Tony Abbott won’t.

    Comparing Key to Cunliffe & Clarke….such fucken low standards…..no conservative voter will fall for that bullshit! :cool:

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  5. igm (1,413 comments) says:

    ross69: You are delusional; there is not, and never has been, child poverty in this country. It is a figment of the left’s pathetic imagination. Take a look where these so-called poverty-stricken kids are coming from: State houses, unemployed families, solo parents, all scrounging everything they can get without lifting a hand to support themselves, because fools such as you give into their disgusting demands. We need a real hard-line right-wing party in this country to sort these leeches out once and for all . . . taxpayers cannot, and should not, be hammered to keep them.

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  6. Grendel (1,013 comments) says:

    What Child poverty? no one in NZ lives on less than $1.25 USD a day, which is the measure of actual poverty.

    i assume of course that you are so concerned about all this poverty that you restrict yourself to the ‘living wage’ and give every dollar over that away to all those ‘poor’ people.

    unless of course you are a hypocrite lefty only interested in giving away other peoples money? you? never…

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  7. Joanne (177 comments) says:

    Key comes across as a genuinely nice guy. He can play golf with the US President and he can engage with kids. At the same time he knows the economy.

    I think because Key is so likeable, the opposition underestimates him.

    Cunliffe comes across as swarmy. Cunliffe has stuffed it with today’s state of the nation speech. Between the Greens and Labour our economy is going to be the new Zimbabwe.

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  8. Colville (2,318 comments) says:

    You are delusional; there is, and never has been, child poverty in this country.

    Yes there has. But it was back when some New Zealanders were running about in flax skirts and eating each other.

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  9. Colville (2,318 comments) says:

    Joanne @2.15.

    They HATE Key because he is likeable.
    They (continue to) underestimate him because they are stupid :-)

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  10. hj (7,184 comments) says:

    Labour continues to dismiss Key as a political lightweight who would sell his own mother, in Labour leader David Cunliffe’s words.
    ……………………
    How could he come up with that conclusion?

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  11. srylands (438 comments) says:

    “And 11 or more National MPs are throwing in the towel before the election.”

    You really think this is a negative? Explain.

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  12. Adolf Fiinkensein (2,705 comments) says:

    Harriet, will you please learn how to fuckin’ spell?

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  13. Harriet (5,201 comments) says:

    Adolf#

    So I got the rest right then?

    Vote: /3 X8

    With that much flack I must be right on target at national blog. :cool:

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  14. Paulus (2,712 comments) says:

    New Labour Policy today – $60 per week to breed more ferals.
    Called a breeding fund.
    As long as you don’t earn over $150,000 a year.
    The TAB, Pokies, tinny houses and the booze barns will love it.
    Wow how naïve can you get.

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  15. OneTrack (3,376 comments) says:

    “Wow how naïve can you get.”

    What’s the problem? Buying votes from people who want “free” stuff with money taken by force from nett taxpayers. High five.

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  16. jonnycomelately (19 comments) says:

    And what’s more – he spent 5 hours one on one with Obama playing golf and nobody heard him gloat.

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