February polls

March 3rd, 2014 at 2:00 pm by David Farrar

feb14polls

 

As one can see, February saw significant movement in the , as shown in the above average of the public .

The monthly newsletter is out today. The executive summary is:

There were four political polls in February – a One News Colmar Brunton poll, a Fairfax Ipsos poll and two Roy Morgan poll

 The average of the public polls has National 17% ahead of Labour in January, up a large 6% from January. The current seat projection is centre-right 65 seats, centre-left 55 which would see National form a Government.

Tony Abbott’s approval ratings has plunged in Australia.

In the United States President Obama’s numbers continue to slowly recover from his terrible end to 2013.

In the UK David Cameron’s ratings also drop after a poor Government response to recent floods.

 In Canada the Conservatives are static with the Liberals remaining in the lead.

The normal two tables are provided comparing the country direction sentiment and head of government approval sentiment for the five countries. The mood in Australia has dropped significantly in the last month, while New Zealand improves.

We also carry details of polls in New Zealand on the NZ Flag, religion in schools, Winston Peters, the most important issues, Labour’s baby bonus, higher taxes plus the normal business and consumer confidence polls.

 This newsletter is normally only available by e-mail.  If you would like to receive future issues, please go to http://listserver.actrix.co.nz/cgi-bin/mailman/listinfo/polling-newsletter to subscribe yourself.

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22 Responses to “February polls”

  1. Sir Cullen's Sidekick (783 comments) says:

    In the next Roy Morgan poll due out soon, the Labour-Green block will overtake National. Game over.

    Hot debate. What do you think? Thumb up 4 Thumb down 21 You need to be logged in to vote
  2. stigie (888 comments) says:

    Surely you gest SCS. Its all good from here on in for National !~

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  3. s.russell (1,559 comments) says:

    In the next Roy Morgan poll due out soon, the moon will be made of cream cheese. Game over.

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  4. labrator (1,744 comments) says:

    The best thing about these polls is the good news stories have barely filtered out to the masses. The ammo for an incredible run into the election is now a small arsenal.

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  5. Lance (2,439 comments) says:

    @Sir Cullen’s Sidekick
    Did Ken Ring tell you that?

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  6. Sir Cullen's Sidekick (783 comments) says:

    I can see all of you attacking me and thinking I am crazy. Just wait for few more days for the poll to come out and then let us discuss the results.

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  7. labrator (1,744 comments) says:

    The best parody accounts are the ones where most people don’t know they’re not parody accounts.

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  8. Harriet (4,496 comments) says:

    “…..Tony Abbott’s approval ratings has plunged in Australia….”

    You can’t take the Aussie leadership polls seriously.

    When the ‘offical’ polls come out and Abbott has dropped slightly – the rest of the MSM rush in with “should Malcolm Turnball lead the Liberal party?” – people from all sides of politics then vote on these nonsense tv polls – which then leads into further low polling for Abbott at the next ‘offical’ poll as people are influenced by them; as Abbott APPEARS to be unliked and therefor no good as PM.

    Abbott is constantly and purposely undermined by the MSM in Aussie in this way.

    - IF – Abbott was sinking fast in the polls, then it is a fair question to put to the public – but at present it is just typical mischief making by the lefty MSM.

    Most Liberal voters want Abbott- and Abbott alone as leader. Turnball is a commie metrosexual to most liberals.

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  9. dirty harry (416 comments) says:

    Sir Cullens Dropkick…flag the crack , its making you say silly things..

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  10. iMP (2,231 comments) says:

    The election year gun has sounded. Round one, a debate between..

    Winston Peters
    Colin Craig
    Shane Jones
    Jamie Whyte
    Gareth Hughes

    6 March, 6.30pm Fisher & Paykel Business School auditorium. That’ll be fun.

    But Seven Sharp will be in Hamilton, filming if people can light their own farts.

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  11. Neil (555 comments) says:

    Turnbull’s approval ratings are boosted by Labor voters who have NO intention of voting for Turnbull.They just want to bloody Tony Abbots nose !
    Turnbull is a rich person using his money to push himself. Remember also, he was head of the Australian Republican movement back in 1999. He was one of the few Liberals in Australia who was gung ho for the Australian Republic.
    He is what I call a “silver tail”
    Tony Abbot has given Turnbull an impossible task of delivering the National Broadband scheme which has already blown out and seems to be likely to reveal spending boondoggles on the way.

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  12. Harriet (4,496 comments) says:

    “…..We also carry details of polls in New Zealand on the NZ Flag, religion in schools…’

    The Australian Federal Parliment has voted a week or so ago to keep the Parlimentry Prayer after the Greens asked to have it changed.

    The reasons were very sound “……The very Juedeo Christian values that the Green’s want removed are the very same values that have given the Green’s the oportunity to stand here in a safe democratic parliment and ask for that change, it would serve no-one to then have them removed………..”

    That’s the problem with the Greens – as true lefties they climb the ladder of success that their forefathers have left to them, and then lift the ladder up behind them so no one else can climb it.

    They’re fucken pathetic – but Key will support them as he doesn’t have the courage to say no to any secular humanist demand!

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  13. Ryan Sproull (7,025 comments) says:

    That’s the problem with the Greens – as true lefties they climb the ladder of success that their forefathers have left to them, and then lift the ladder up behind them so no one else can climb it.

    Dude, you wouldn’t even have maths if it weren’t for Muslim scholars in the Dark Ages.

    Just because you wouldn’t be where you are now if it wasn’t for people in the past, doesn’t mean you have to blindly agree with them forever.

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  14. gravedodger (1,506 comments) says:

    Was that Islamic scholars or traders, f*ck Mohammad couldnt even calculate how many Mothers in Law he would end up with and as for even a reasonable guess as to how long his next wife had been around before he took her in, sheesh.

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  15. mandk (816 comments) says:

    “Dude, you wouldn’t even have maths if it weren’t for Muslim scholars in the Dark Ages”

    Not sure how that relates to Harriet’s point, but its a curious argument. Does it mean that we wouldn’t have calculus without Newton, knowledge about the circulation of blood without Harvey, and understanding of the structure of atoms without Thomson?

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  16. Harriet (4,496 comments) says:

    “…..Just because you wouldn’t be where you are now if it wasn’t for people in the past, doesn’t mean you have to blindly agree with them forever….”

    I’m not blindly agreeing with anyone Ryan.

    As Bill English more or less said “….it gives Atheists ect 15 minutes each morning to reflect on their job in this busy place…..”

    ANZAC Day is when pacifists can reflect upon war too.

    And pacifists wouldn’t be listened to by anyone if they said that ANZAC day should be fundamantally changed to reflect NZ’s current make-up.

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  17. Harriet (4,496 comments) says:

    “….Dude, you wouldn’t even have maths if it weren’t for Muslim scholars in the Dark Ages….”

    Dude if it wasn’t for the Queens English then some sodomites would think they are having sex.

    You seem to want it both ways Ryan: somethings to stay the same because they prove to work [maths] – but other things that also prove to work [english] – should be changed; ‘gay’ ‘gender’ [which is really about words being masculine or feminen - not humans!]

    Make your mind up Ryan. :cool:

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  18. Don the Kiwi (1,580 comments) says:

    “Dude, you wouldn’t even have maths if it weren’t for Muslim scholars in the Dark Ages.”

    Utter bullshit Ryan.

    So Archimedes, Pythagoras and all those other brilliant ancient Greeks got it wrong, and a thousand years later the Muslims put them straight?

    What is your profession again?

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  19. Colville (2,058 comments) says:

    Hmmm… them Romans were kinda good at building arches and bridges!

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  20. Mobile Michael (410 comments) says:

    National are this months winners, Greens are the losers. At least Mojo Mathers is having a good month, name recognition has gone up 10000%

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  21. RF (1,260 comments) says:

    What do the communists want now. Removal of the parliamentary prayer. ? Evil little shits who will try anything to gain some traction in the polls. Just keep showing the boy child trying to be a man on TV and the gweens will never be in a position of power.

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  22. slijmbal (1,210 comments) says:

    Whilst wary of making conclusions from a graph with a potentially arbitrary start point it does look like Labour have nicked a couple of points off the Greens since Jan 2012. Good news in a way as it implies people understanding that the Greens are Marxists in disguise but also means Labour look better and able to steal votes from the centre in theory.

    On average National look to be flat on a little over 45% (ignoring the recent bump as it may be temporary).

    National sustaining such support when in government is pretty impressive

    Of course Winston 1st are at the threshold of getting the t**t in!!

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