I don’t think the question anymore is whether Tony Abbott has lost the next election, and the Coalition will be a one term Government.
I think the question is now how many terms in opposition will they have?
The only way they might recover is a change in leader. The trouble is Hockey is equally damaged and most of the caucus hate Malcolm Turnbull (but the public love him). Could Turnbull end up Prime Minister? Let’s see how bad the polls go in the next six months.