Can National pick up electorate seats?

June 30th, 2014 at 3:00 pm by David Farrar

Normally when a Government is seeking a third term, they’re not looking to pick up any seats, just defend them. For example Labour in 2005 lost 10 to .

But Stuff reports it may be different this time:

National is gunning for vulnerable Labour MPs in four seats in a move that could further rattle its opponent.

Hundreds of National Party faithful are gathered in Wellington this weekend for the party’s annual conference, where Prime Minister John Key will attempt to talk them down from a buoyant mood by warning that complacency could see National turfed from power.

With a string of polls showing National around 50 per cent, Key will warn them that voter turnout could be the decider and not to assume the election is a done deal.

‘‘I will reiterate the message that while National is doing very well in the polls in reality this is going to be a very tight election,’’ Key said yesterday.

‘‘This is a race to 61 seats and despite the fact Labour is polling very poorly it could still hold hands with the Greens and NZ First, potentially Internet-Mana, and form a government. So there is no room for complacency within National.’’ 

In a sign that National is taking nothing for granted sources say it has also targeted four Labour MPs in seats it thinks it can win – Trevor Mallard in Hutt South, Ruth Dyson in Port Hills, Damien O’Connor in West Coast and Iain Lees-Galloway in Palmerston North.

The first two seats have big boundary changes, and the latter two have Mayors or former Mayors standing for National.

National’s strategy could disrupt Labour’s efforts to maximise the party vote, given that the survival of those MPs could hinge on them campaigning for the electorate vote instead to keep their political careers afloat.

Dyson and Mallard are not on the list, so if they lose they’re gone.

O’Connor is 22 and Lees-Galloway 24 on Labour’s list. If they lost their seats then they’d only make it back if Labour gets around 29% to 30% party vote.

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76 Responses to “Can National pick up electorate seats?”

  1. jocko (111 comments) says:

    Makes sense to target some electorate seats. If present polling were repeated for the election then there’s a risk of overhang(!) given Labour’s % of seats won could well exceed % party vote…! Thereby altering the balance in Parliament.
    Thus necessary to target winnable labour seats to minimise that risk.
    NB Perhaps useful to identify extent of possible overhang vs current polls & likely seats Labour could win?

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  2. thor42 (971 comments) says:

    This election has *SO* many *really interesting* battles! The ones mentioned above and the Te Tai Tokerau seat where Kelvin Davis will be battling Hone and his fat German offsider. It’ll be fuuuuun……..

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  3. chris (644 comments) says:

    They should also target Cunliffe’s seat :)

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  4. gravedodger (1,552 comments) says:

    What are they willing to pay?

    Schmitz Got a maori one for around 3 million.

    Put Hutt South On Trademe with no reserve eh Trev, might be better than scalping

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  5. s.russell (1,616 comments) says:

    jocko,
    Labour won 22 electorates in 2011, and on paper start with 22 in 2014.
    But iPredict is picking Labour will pick up
    * Port Hills (held by Ruth Dyson, but boundary changes give Nats 800-odd majority)
    * Christchurch Central (National’s Nicky Wagner is incumbent by has paper majority of only 300-odd)
    * Waimakariri (National held with small majority but Kate Wilkinson retiring and ex-MP Cosgrove standing for Labour)
    * Napier, where Chris Tremain is retiring (had 3000-odd majority) and Labour has strong candidate in Stuart Nash
    * Te Tai Hauauru, where Tariana Turia is retiring; and
    * Tamaki Makaurau, where Pita Sharples is retiring.
    Make your own guess as to what will really happen…
    But DPF and Matthew Hooten in seperate calculations have suggested that at 23% (as per Fairfax poll) then Labour would get zero list MPs if they win all these seats.

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  6. iMP (2,364 comments) says:

    Dyson has moved to stem the flow, by going Electorate Vote only in Port Hills and not on List. This ups her chances of securing the seat among Labour voters.

    I think the polls as they are, are actually the worst news for National in the current timeline. The incentive to get the vote out is minimising for the Nats, and complacency may cost them dearly as Matt McCart whips his socialists out to vote, and the Internet $3mill attracts a few disaffected or ignorant uni students who vote on media celebrity fantasies.

    Also, the electorate may ‘re-balalnce’ National seen to be soaring too far ahead. I would expect Lab. to pull back hard on election day and draw much closer to the National vote, but still behind. That could give 2014 to the C-Left. Key is right on about this.

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  7. Jaffa (87 comments) says:

    It doesn’t matter.
    They could win ALL the electorate seats and still lose the election!
    MMP!

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  8. Fox (206 comments) says:

    Dyson and Mallard are not on the list, so if they lose they’re gone.

    If this doesn’t motivate even the most lethargic of right-leaning voters in these electorates to wrench their backsides off their couches and head out to vote on election day, then honestly, NOTHING will!

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  9. Pete George (23,474 comments) says:

    An interesting twist to Hutt South – Holly Walker has announced she’s withdrawing from the Green list for family reasons but she will still stand and campaign for the Green Party vote in the electorate.

    Don’t know what she would do if she won the seat.

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  10. Nukuleka (307 comments) says:

    I would expect that National would be working hard to secure Christchurch Central for Nick Wagner. Her Labour opposition is yet another member of the rainbow coalition who is being foisted upon the good folk of Christchurch Central- seems that Labour hasn’t leant the lesson of Tim Barnett, best remembered for his self serving work in getting the civil union bill through- and then championing the cause of prostitution. He doesn’t appear to be making much of a fist of his current Labour Party job either.

    The Labour candidate is a little known lightweight with little name recognition in the city, and so with some good campaigning National can hold this seat. Nicky has worked tirelessly for the electorate and deserves all the plugs to be pulled out by National to help her to an electorate win in September.

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  11. dubya (229 comments) says:

    “Don’t know what she would do if she won the seat”

    Sweet fuck all, like she currently does?

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  12. Unity (526 comments) says:

    MMP makes the whole scenario very unpredictable. It’s a real crock and we need to get rid of it asap. It skews everything and there are far too many politicians for the size of our country anyway.

    What is necessary is for all of those who feel ‘what’s the use of voting because the politicians just don’t listen’ need to get out there, find a Party and politician that looks reasonably acceptable, and vote. If they don’t they can’t complain if everything turns to custard and the unthinkable happens with a Labour/Green Government coming to power.

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  13. adamsmith1922 (890 comments) says:

    Pete

    I think you will find that Holly has left the list, but will campaign for Party Vote and not electorate vote

    Quote below from Stuff

    ” Walker will stay on as the Green Party candidate for the Hutt South electorate, campaigning for the party vote.

    She said she would not campaign for the electorate vote.”

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  14. Ed Snack (1,848 comments) says:

    In Napier, I don’t see Nash as particularly strong, he has stood and failed before. But where he will make seriosu inroads is that he is opposing regional amalgamation. That may be half popular in Hastings, it is NOT popular in Napier as Napier sees itself as “a cut above” the rest of HB. If whoever National stands in Napier also comes out strongly against amalgamation, or at least in favour of letting Napier vote as it will, then Nash’s surge could be blunted.

    It’s a pretty local issue, but it also has resonance in Wairoa and in CHB; amalgamation is just not seen as a good deal for anyone but the professional bureaucrats and time-wasters.

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  15. Pete George (23,474 comments) says:

    adamsmith1922 – people who campaign for the party vote and not for an electorate stand on the list only, like Gareth Hughes.

    I know many candidates – including Greens – stand in electorates with no intention of winning them, but generally if they thought they had a chance they would go for it. Campaigning for the party vote and saying or implying “please don’t vote for me” is pretty much what Paul Goldsmith does in Epsom. It’s a bit of a sham.

    It’s a very strange way of doing democracy where people stand for an election having said they don’t want to be elected.

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  16. mikenmild (11,247 comments) says:

    I thought all Green electorate candidates were there to promote the party list. And why not? They have no chance of winning an electorate seat. Standing electorate candidates is just another way of raising profile.

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  17. iMP (2,364 comments) says:

    Nukuleka…”making much of a fist of his current Labour Party job either.”

    AHEM..Freudian slip there, although The Rev Dean Fitzpatrick used to wear the slip I think.

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  18. adamsmith1922 (890 comments) says:

    Pete

    It is one of the many instances where the values the Greens claim to espouse are shown to be flexible to say the least and blatant balderdash in reality.

    Others are more open about it and do not adopt the Greens sanctimonious attitude of virginal purity.

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  19. publicwatchdog (2,516 comments) says:

    Hidden due to low comment rating. Click here to see.

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  20. seanmaitland (500 comments) says:

    Everyone always says that National polling too well results in less National voters turning up on Election day. Surely, the same effect would be had on the left’s voters, of them not bothering to vote because of the certain defeat?

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  21. 3-coil (1,215 comments) says:

    Savvy National supporters I know in Hutt South have said they’re voting for Trev, and National for the party vote. Trev’s presence in the Labour caucus will help foment disruption and conflict within their ranks, and stymie the much needed rejuvenation the party needs.

    I like it! Strategic voting with a difference.

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  22. OneTrack (3,020 comments) says:

    Pete – Hutt South sounds like a cup of tea to me. Its ok when the left does it though.

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  23. alloytoo (530 comments) says:

    Penny, why not stand against David “Asleep at the wheel” Cunliffe, you might actually have a chance there.

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  24. seanmaitland (500 comments) says:

    @publicwatchdog – how are you a “tradie”? What is your line of work? e.g. plumbing, electrician, plasterer etc?

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  25. Ed Snack (1,848 comments) says:

    At least Penny has a sense of humour. You’ll be lucky to get 3 votes Penny, really.

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  26. OneTrack (3,020 comments) says:

    Mike – ” Standing electorate candidates is just another way of raising profile”

    So she is just wasting peoples time then?

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  27. lilman (953 comments) says:

    Penny Bright have you paid your rates yet?

    Nut bar.

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  28. Alan (1,087 comments) says:

    I’m not convinced that working to elect a local mp depresses party vote to any extent; If people like Mallard are driving turnout up to save their arse, then it follows that the bulk of these people will also party vote Labour or Green (effectively the same thing, left wing votes).

    National are right to be worried about getting their vote out, they fell 7 pts during the 2011 election campaign. An additional 10k votes for the left last time out would have given the balance of power to the Maori party.

    It’s often thought that National won well in 2011 but in fact Labours victory in Tei Ta Tonga reduced the overhang by 1 seat. If they’d lost this seat, the Maori Party would have gone to 4 seats and would have been in a position to put Phill Goff into office as Pm.

    The Koha required to be paid by either Goff or Key would have been staggering, probably the entrenchment of the treaty as supreme law.

    It was staggering close last time, National were higher in the polls 3 months out than they are now, plus we have Kims money.

    It’s too close to call.

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  29. Judith (8,534 comments) says:

    Strategy, lies, manipulation and dishonesty. Nothing about letting the best ‘man’ win or anything remotely like letting the people listen to the candidates and decide for themselves.

    And it’s certainly NOTHING like the team with the best policies winning by merit alone.

    Obviously if it it came down to an honest fight, you know you’d lose.

    Muppets!!

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  30. CrazyIvan (88 comments) says:

    Another interesting seat will be Waiariki – there’s no guarantee that Te Ururoa Flavell will hold it, especially if the IMP flood some money in to support Annette Sykes. Flavell only has a 1,900 majority. A collapse in the Maori Party vote could either see Labour come in or Sykes pick it up

    CrazyIvan’s crazy prediction – Hone loses Te Tai Tokerau to Kelvin Davis but Sykes wins Waiariki. IMP win enough votes for two seats but Laila misses out…

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  31. RF (1,380 comments) says:

    Nukuleka. Tony Milne is a lightweight scared of his own shadow. Timmy barnett looked after him when Milne was floundering around in the Rakaia electorate.

    I believe Nicky will be OK in ChCh Central.

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  32. OneTrack (3,020 comments) says:

    Alan – “we” have Kims money?

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  33. OneTrack (3,020 comments) says:

    “Obviously if it it came down to an honest fight, you know you’d lose.”

    It is an honest fight, and Cunners is losing badly.

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  34. Keeping Stock (10,291 comments) says:

    Where have you been Penny? John Key IS the National Party candidate for Helensville, so he’s certainly not running away from you. Given that he enjoys a majority of 21,066, I doubt that he lies awake at night worrying about your candidacy.

    https://www.nationalparty.org.nz/team/candidates-2014/page/2

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  35. altiora (261 comments) says:

    LOL @ 3-coil. I suspect that this is more PR exercise on National’s part to show that they have not become smug, complacent and comfortable but rather are behaving as if they are a “hungry” opposition party who means business.

    That said, I do wonder if they are also doing this so as to make Labour pour lots of campaign cash into these electorates, and thereby doing damage to Labour’s ability to finance their 2017 election campaign.

    Which reminds me: can political parties declare bankruptcy? Labour are running out of cash, they’re about to face an election, its ability to raise substantial funds from wealthy private donors has been seriously imperiled and out of government it can’t raid taxpayer funds a la Pledge Card, so I wonder how financially viable Labour will continue to be?

    I suspect after next election, there will be renewed calls for state funding of political parties, Labour MPs will be tithed heavily by HQ, and Parliamentary funds will be raided and used against the rules.

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  36. publicwatchdog (2,516 comments) says:

    Here are my qualifications:

    I have Advanced Trade in Sheetmetal Engineering, and was New Zealand’s first CBIP ticketed woman Welding Inspector.
    For 9 years I was also a Welding Tutor at Manukau Institute of Technology.
    My specialty area was Gas Tungsten Arc Welding (GTAW) of stainless steel.

    http://www.pennybright4mayor.org.nz/qualifications/

    Kind regards,

    Penny Bright

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  37. Manolo (13,571 comments) says:

    What about Ohariu? Labour Lite should give the leaky fantasist the flick and support its own Brett Hudson!
    That would be loyalty to its own people rather than having to deal with a self-serving trougher.

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  38. Manolo (13,571 comments) says:

    Miss Dim, the only gases you know are the fetid vapours that come out of your mouth.

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  39. Alan (1,087 comments) says:

    “Alan – “we” have Kims money?”

    “We” the people of New Zealand have it as a factor in our election.

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  40. publicwatchdog (2,516 comments) says:

    Using the election process to make a fuss about the issues to help increase public awareness, is very effective, in my considered opinion.

    How many Aucklanders would have been made aware of who is REALLY running the Auckland region – the hugely powerful ‘invitation-only’ private lobby group – the ‘Committee for Auckland’ – had I not drawn this to the attention of voters through my 150 word ‘candidate’s statement’- which went out to 1.4 million voters?

    http://www.committeeforauckland.co.nz

    Campaigning against corruption for the 2013 Auckland Mayoralty, I obtained nearly 12,000 votes and polled 4th, with very limited resources.

    What should be of concern for John Key, should he decide to stand again in Helensville, is that those electoral boundaries are within the Auckland ‘Supercity’ boundaries.

    So – if folks in Helensville – want to show their opposition to the corrupt, corporate-controlled Auckland ‘Super Ripoff’ – they can ELECTORATE ‘protest’ vote Penny Bright.

    If Helensville voters want to Party vote National – that’s up to them – but why waste an electorate vote on John Key when he’s Number One on National’s Party list?

    Even if not one single person gave John Key an electorate vote in Helensville – he’d still get in – because of his Number One National Party list position.

    So – by giving me their electorate vote – Helensville folk would still get ‘two for one’ as it were :)

    (A small technical point would be that PM Key and PM (Penelope Mary) Bright, are on different galaxies, when it comes to proven track records and policies, but the concept of ‘two for one’ still applies?

    I’m not going for any ‘Party vote’ because I’m not a member of any political party, and am a FIERCELY Independent proven ‘Public Watchdog’.

    Here’s what I’m campaigning on:

    http://www.pennybright4mayor.org.nz/wp-content/uploads/2013/08/ANTI-CORRUPTION-WHITE-COLLAR-CRIME-CORPORATE-WELFARE-ACTION-PLAN-Ak-Mayoral-campaign-19-July-2013-2.pdf

    Any other political parties or candidates got such clear, transparent ‘anti-corruption’ policies?

    (If you haven’t – help yourself :)

    Kind regards,

    Penny Bright

    PS: Remember?

    http://www.dodgyjohnHASgone.com

    (Now – who predicted THAT? :)

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  41. Colville (2,261 comments) says:

    Penny, a certifiable tin basher and childrens welding instructor.
    Awesome.

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  42. publicwatchdog (2,516 comments) says:

    errr…… KEEP UP ‘keeping stock’!

    National have not yet announced their Party list.

    Always good to ‘get your facts straight’!

    (Meant of course in a caring way :)

    Penny Bright

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  43. publicwatchdog (2,516 comments) says:

    ahhh …BOYolo – gumming away ,,,,,,,,,,

    You see – you silly wee thing – you are one of my political ‘barometers’.

    If you feel moved enough to comment in your customary nasty, derogatory, gutless, anonymous way – I know that I must be on the right track (as it were), and am being effective :)

    So BOYolo – keep going!

    Have a lovely evening – you’ve certainly helped to make mine :)

    Kind regards

    Penny Bright

    (Who at least puts her name to her posts)

    http://www.dodgyjohnHASgone.com

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  44. altiora (261 comments) says:

    @ Nukuleka: I am divided as to whether National should waste too many resources in support of Nicky Wagner. He tenure has been mediocre to say the least. That said, Tony Milne is just revolting; met him years ago at varsity: came across as shifty and easily threatened. He has always aspired to be a MP: all his post-university activities have been aimed at achieving this goal; he is yet another Labour candidate with a well-developed sense of entitlement to a political “career”. So I pity Christchurch Central for having a choice between Nicky and Tony. They deserve better.

    A taste of the ghastliness that is Mr Tony Milne (viewer discretion advised):

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  45. Manolo (13,571 comments) says:

    Tony Milne: another candidate of Labour’s Rainbow Branch, prepared to select on gender and sexual orientation to fill quotas rather than competence.

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  46. RRM (9,826 comments) says:

    We’ll start taking you seriously when your rates are paid up to date like everyone else’s penny.

    Until then you are just a sponge.

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  47. Mobile Michael (445 comments) says:

    Mallard not got the safety of a list place? Does that mean that Chris Bishop will have lots of, um, unexpected help from Labour affiliates during the campaign?

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  48. wiseowl (869 comments) says:

    Manolo@6.05pm
    Yeah, National should put up a strong candidate in Ohariu so they don’t have to do deals with someone who represents no-one.

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  49. Colville (2,261 comments) says:

    wiseowl ? @ 6.54
    That would be extreeemly dumb.
    Really a soundbite from that redbaiter playbook.
    Ohariu is a freebie overhang seat so why oh why contest it?

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  50. noskire (839 comments) says:

    publicwatchdog (1,999 comments) says:
    June 30th, 2014 at 5:53 pm
    Here are my qualifications:

    I have Advanced Trade in Sheetmetal Engineering, and was New Zealand’s first CBIP ticketed woman Welding Inspector.
    For 9 years I was also a Welding Tutor at Manukau Institute of Technology.
    My specialty area was Gas Tungsten Arc Welding (GTAW) of stainless steel.

    Thanks Penny, it all falls into place now.

    Although the cause of Parkinson’s disease remains unknown, many believe that environmental factors are to blame, especially since welders tend to develop Parkinson’s at a higher rate than others. A recent study of 20,000 welders determined that 10 percent had developed Parkinson’s disease as compared to only one percent of the general population.

    Parkinson’s disease is a neurological disorder that damages brain cells in the midbrain or substantia nigra. This area produces dopamine, a chemical that helps to transmit signals in the brain. Dopamine loss can cause slow and unsteady body movements, stiff limbs, poor balance and tremors. Other classic symptoms include:

    drooling;
    fixed gaze;
    gait changes;
    loss of facial expressions;
    slow reflexes.

    Also, the onset of the disease in welders tends to occur around age 46, about 17 years earlier than in other Parkinson’s patients. Many assert that exposure to manganese welding fumes is directly responsible for the elevated rate of Parkinson’s disease among welders.

    Source: http://www.asse.org/practicespecialties/articles/weldingfumes.php

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  51. mister nui (1,027 comments) says:

    Hi Trevor (I know you’re reading this),

    You’re fucked.

    sincerely,
    the right

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  52. Colville (2,261 comments) says:

    noskire.
    Those 10% of welders are all boat builders.
    Sucking in alum powder/fumes from upturned hulls.
    Death sentance but hopefully your brain rots away first.

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  53. wiseowl (869 comments) says:

    Colville.
    It’s a bit like ABC,

    ABD

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  54. Keeping Stock (10,291 comments) says:

    Do keep up Penny. John Key is standing as National’s candidate in Helensville. He will, as leader, be #1 on National’s list, but wherever he is is irrelevant, because he will retain his seat, in which he is already confirmed as the candidate.

    You seem not to understand the basics of MMP, but then you don’t understand why law-abiding people should pay their rates either, so I guess that’s no surprise.

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  55. burt (8,232 comments) says:

    Seriously, voters actually get a chance to turf Mallard out… Makes me consider moving into that electorate in time for the election. He should have resigned years ago….

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  56. publicwatchdog (2,516 comments) says:

    What happens when it is Auckland Council that is not ‘law-abiding’ and is not complying with the Public records Act ‘Keeping Stock’?

    Just be a good sheep and do as you’re told?

    You may not be interested in ‘transparency’ or Auckland Council being held accountable to their statutory duties – but I am.

    You silly person – I’m actually defending YOUR lawful rights to ‘open, transparent and democratically-accountable’ local government.

    Kind regards,

    Penny Bright

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  57. burt (8,232 comments) says:

    Penny

    What’s this nonsense about your rates, are you refusing to pay them ?

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  58. publicwatchdog (2,516 comments) says:

    Really Noskire – is that the best you can do?

    Keep going …….

    Kind regards,

    Penny Bright

    http://www.dodgyjohnHASgone.com

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  59. Colville (2,261 comments) says:

    Penny
    You are not even accountable for your own shit.
    Someone else pays to have that processed!

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  60. noskire (839 comments) says:

    OK Penny, just for you, in the nicest way possible of course.

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  61. lilman (953 comments) says:

    Pay your rates so I can read your posts Penny!!!!!!

    Dishonesty and denial are no excuse for doing the right thing.

    Pay your rates Penny.

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  62. lilman (953 comments) says:

    Hey TWEVOR,you were a useless teacher,from a past colleague that used to teach with you,you were a useless Minister,from a past PPTA head and now your going to be a unemployed MP and you will be useless at that.

    Common thread,your bloody USELESS.

    Mallard,King,Cunliffe,Little,Maroney,Fenton,Shearer just to name a few,who in their right mind would let them near the benches of power.

    Seriously some shitty talent across the board.

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  63. publicwatchdog (2,516 comments) says:

    In my view – helping to hold Auckland Council accountable by refusing to pay rates when citizens and ratepayers aren’t being told EXACTLY where our monies are being spent – is the right thing.

    You may not believe in ‘transparency’ LittleMan – I do.

    You may be a gutless sheep – but I am not.

    (Meant of course in a caring way :)

    Kind regards,

    Penny Bright

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  64. smttc (740 comments) says:

    Just shows you how piss weak Labour is that you can get back on the list at a mere 29-30% party vote. Pathetic.

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  65. noskire (839 comments) says:

    Penny, what do you mean when you say you’re a “proven representative of the 99%”?

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  66. pejhay (28 comments) says:

    Puny Unbright, the vandal…

    http://www.google.co.nz/url?sa=i&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=images&cd=&cad=rja&uact=8&docid=J46_MQgYnd8MeM&tbnid=L0geN65M5bB7gM:&ved=0CAUQjRw&url=http%3A%2F%2Fwww.whaleoil.co.nz%2F2011%2F11%2Fpenny-bright-sign-vandal%2F&ei=jEmxU67_EYyekwWU14CYDA&bvm=bv.69837884,d.dGI&psig=AFQjCNGDFLoqzIkAZooUqn6HReBZZKV5Dg&ust=1404214026022552

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  67. altiora (261 comments) says:

    Penny just why do you threadjack in order to propagate some deluded “crusader” meme? It only confirms our view that you suffer from a narcissistic disorder.

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  68. pejhay (28 comments) says:

    By not paying her rates, Penny Bright expects to receive Council services like roads, rubbish, water and waste at no cost, much like the unemployed masses expect to receive all their services from central government for free like healthcare, WINZ, education etc…

    What a LEACH !

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  69. lilman (953 comments) says:

    Pay up you nut bar.
    God I hope you havent bred.

    Nope,impossible I’ve seen you.

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  70. noskire (839 comments) says:

    At least update your website Penny. And maybe pay your rates…oops, that’s right, you represent the 99%.

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  71. SPC (5,595 comments) says:

    Won’t they first determine on losing East Coast Bays, Epsom and Ohariu?

    And in Epsom that means saying a National government would not end school zoning even if ACT and the Epsom MP wanted this. Demonstrating what a rort the whole coat tailing and seat gift charade really is.

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  72. Sir Cullen's Sidekick (876 comments) says:

    Bros – Listen.

    We will all know the point at which Labour panics. Watch out for the moment, Cunliffe and Chief Matt knee cap Kelvin Davis to let Horny Hone win. Without Horny Hone’s win, Labour and Greens will have no chance…..

    Cunliffe will issue a statement saying Mana party is a key member of Centre-Left Government and represents Maori people blah blah…..wait for it…

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  73. tvb (4,360 comments) says:

    A Wellington seat for National would be a big prize, especially if it is Mallard. But these contests matter little in the overall scheme of things., I would rather Kelvin Davis win TTT for Labour. That would be a scalp worth having.

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  74. igm (1,413 comments) says:

    I would love to see the editor of “Manawatu Standard”, the effeminate Lees-Galloway, arsed out good and proper . . . he is a weasel like Parker, the type one could whack without remorse.

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  75. ShawnLH (4,600 comments) says:

    Penny and Judith should form their own party. they are both equally delusional.

    Oh, and Penny, I’m not in the one percent, and you sure as hell do not represent me.

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  76. Unity (526 comments) says:

    I saw John Key on (can’t remember which) either Q+A or The Nation last Sunday and thought what a brilliant interview it was. He really is polished and knows how to handle the media. I was almost thinking perhaps I will give National my Party vote after all and then he ended the interview with the words (something like this) ‘my first job if we are re-elected will be to change New Zealand’s flag’. The wind went completely out of my sails and brought me back to reality. I then thought of the most important wrong he is doing to this country and that is dividing us racially, creating an apartheid state and giving special privilege to people based on race, all courtesy of giving that dreadful Chris Finlayson who has a gross conflict of interest with his portfolios, carte blanche to do whatever he wants from his office without ever having to go to Court. None of us even have the right of appeal for what he is doing and anyone who has delved into our true history will know what a huge wrong he is doing to the rest of us with his fraudulent settlements.

    So it certainly pays to keep things in perspective and not allow the very presentable Key’s smiling face to beguile us into losing sight of what really is wrong with this country and fearing for the future we are going to be leaving our children.

    Having said that my local National candidate will get my vote because I’m impressed with her but National won’t get my Party vote because I’m not impressed with them and I want another Party in coalition with them to help bring some common sense into play.

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