Labour hits new low

August 15th, 2014 at 6:36 am by David Farrar

No we’re not talking their tactics, but their poll ratings.

The latest Fairfax Ipsos poll has Labour down to 22.5%. I’e blogged the summary at Curiablog.

The gap between the right and left blocs is 27 seats.

Labour’s support by demographic is:

  • Men 18%
  • Women 27%
  • Auckland 25%
  • Upper NI 16%
  • Wellington 23%
  • Lower NI 30%
  • Canterbury 14%
  • SI 27%
  • Under 30s 26%
  • 30 to 44 25%
  • 45 to 64 21%
  • 65+ 19%

Note this poll was taken after their announcement of free GP visits for elderly New Zealanders, and after their campaign launch which is meant to be what gives you a boost in the .

There’s going to some very nervous Labour List MPs on this result, who will be cursing the unions and activists for their choice of leader.

Tags:

64 Responses to “Labour hits new low”

  1. Keeping Stock (10,440 comments) says:

    Labour would be down to 29 MP’s at this level of support. Would this get them ANY List MP’s DPF?

    Vote: Thumb up 13 Thumb down 1 You need to be logged in to vote
  2. Manolo (14,074 comments) says:

    Dow with the buggers until the socialist party sinks forever!

    Vote: Thumb up 16 Thumb down 2 You need to be logged in to vote
  3. MT_Tinman (3,259 comments) says:

    Not an overly good result.

    NZ needs a quality opposition and if this poll was the final one a full 14% plus (assuming all electorate seats remain the same) of parliament would be comunist/racist/scum – plus, of course, the Maori party with their own form of apartheid..

    That’s a big hunk of losers to be fighting over who’s going to “keep the bastards honest”.

    Vote: Thumb up 9 Thumb down 1 You need to be logged in to vote
  4. Nukuleka (347 comments) says:

    The left’s line, of course, will be ‘Wait till the next polls when the fall-out from the Hager ‘revelations’ kick in.’ It’s going to be very important that John Key continues to handle the situation with the sense of calm and diplomacy that we have come to associate with him. The left hate that side of him, of course, but the general public admire him for it.

    It is a shame that Slater’s less admirable side has been revealed for all of New Zealand to see, particularly the unnecessary comments about ‘West Coast ferals’ and Christchurch earthquake ‘scum’. No matter how much such remarks may have been made in jest (?) they aren’t a good look with the media pushing the connections between Slater and National.

    Popular. Like or Dislike: Thumb up 27 Thumb down 1 You need to be logged in to vote
  5. Short Shriveled and Slightly to the Left (786 comments) says:

    The Stuff comments should be a lot of fun today

    Vote: Thumb up 11 Thumb down 0 You need to be logged in to vote
  6. tvb (4,517 comments) says:

    I want to see the Labour Party’s political destruction become permanent. Strong enough to be a potential force to keep National honest but basically in opposition forever.

    Vote: Thumb up 16 Thumb down 1 You need to be logged in to vote
  7. duggledog (1,589 comments) says:

    Very good news but let’s wait and see what the fallout is over Hager’s book. If it doesn’t make a difference to the polls (I suspect 2 – 3%) then I will unpack my bags.

    Vote: Thumb up 10 Thumb down 0 You need to be logged in to vote
  8. Harriet (5,143 comments) says:

    » Lower NI 30%

    That’s the highest % of the lot. Wellington!

    Those pricks are voting to maintain a fucken city full of useless public service bludgers – to keep the money flowing in Wellington so as to maintain their own lifestyles.

    They don’t give a fuck about the rest of the country – or it’s problems. How the fuck can so many educated people vote for Labour?

    Give your party vote to the Conservatives for smaller government – and help turn the tap off in Wellington.

    Hot debate. What do you think? Thumb up 21 Thumb down 6 You need to be logged in to vote
  9. OneTrack (3,233 comments) says:

    Only 3 more percent to go.

    Vote: Thumb up 9 Thumb down 0 You need to be logged in to vote
  10. OneTrack (3,233 comments) says:

    “NZ needs a quality opposition..”

    Except all we have is Cunliffe and Turei.

    Vote: Thumb up 16 Thumb down 0 You need to be logged in to vote
  11. publicwatchdog (2,823 comments) says:

    Hidden due to low comment rating. Click here to see.

    Unpopular. Like or Dislike: Thumb up 3 Thumb down 40 You need to be logged in to vote
  12. Pita (374 comments) says:

    No doubt this poll result would have both Cunliffe and Norman stating that “The majority of Kiwi’s are looking for a change in government”

    Vote: Thumb up 15 Thumb down 0 You need to be logged in to vote
  13. Harriet (5,143 comments) says:

    Kind regards

    Why are you always being so cynical Penny?

    Vote: Thumb up 13 Thumb down 2 You need to be logged in to vote
  14. m@tt (631 comments) says:

    @tvb
    Labour is a fucking joke right now, but what you’re calling for is an abomination. A one party state is not what New Zealand wants or needs.
    In any case, have a proper think about what happens if/when Labour is confirmed as being no longer the clear dominant opposition party, there will almost certainly be a rationalisation and a rejigging on the left and IF they get it right the result is likely to be a more cohesive left bloc than we have seen for some time. Are you really (not just in a throw away ‘oh they are muppets anyway’ kind of way) willing to roll the dice on that?
    I’d strongly suggest the last thing the real thinkers in National want is the destruction of Labour.

    Vote: Thumb up 10 Thumb down 1 You need to be logged in to vote
  15. IGM (527 comments) says:

    The dirty slimey bastards are getting their just desserts. Notice the Hager book was printed by a left-wing supporting printer in Wellington, this being a kick in the teeth for businesses that have supported this company for many years, possibly unaware that they have gone out of their way to accommodate many unions, weirdos, and losers, in an attempt to remain viable. Hopefully, those that have supported this company, will pull their contracts. By the way, any standing artwork, plates, film, etc., are the property of the client, and must be returned to them in good condition at no cost.

    Vote: Thumb up 16 Thumb down 4 You need to be logged in to vote
  16. polemic (460 comments) says:

    Yes NZ does need an opposition but this then brings into stark relief who would make up that opposition.

    So for undecided voters is that have lost faith in NZL/Greens what is the best way to use you party vote if you dont want Internet Mana to be around.

    NZF = Old fashioned spent force?
    Conservatives = A safe Coalition Partner? a bit wacky but New and family friendly?
    Maori Party = Stable Coalition Partner even though a bit wacky and extreme but not high numbers.

    Vote: Thumb up 8 Thumb down 0 You need to be logged in to vote
  17. Pete George (23,687 comments) says:

    Is it any wonder Labour are struggling for support when even The Standard tries to disown the party?

    Lynn Prentice, in Irritated and up early,

    Apart from denying Standard links to Labour (bizarre) lprent manages to insult me by likening me to Steven Joyce.

    Steven Joyce on Morning Report and the obsessively self-aggrandizing commenter Pete George come to mind as being particularly ignorant about the blogging world and its participants.

    Prentice quoted to Radio New Zealand:

    He says bloggers on the site get their information almost entirely from public sources, library research, or their own knowledge from being in political parties for decades.

    That’s hilarious.

    He must be very irritated. Even more so when I show more ignorance of the authors at The Standard – Prentice irritated by Labour links.

    With friends like Prentice who needs Nicky Hager.

    Vote: Thumb up 13 Thumb down 1 You need to be logged in to vote
  18. bringbackdemocracy (428 comments) says:

    Great result for the Conservatives, they have momentum.
    In the Faifax poll immediately before the 2011 election, the Conservatives got 1.0%

    Vote: Thumb up 14 Thumb down 2 You need to be logged in to vote
  19. mister nui (1,030 comments) says:

    If the left activists put in as much energy to getting their own house in order, as they do on trying to destroy the right through dirty methods, then they could quite well be a force to be reckoned with.

    Thankfully no one on the left is that smart to work it out.

    Vote: Thumb up 12 Thumb down 0 You need to be logged in to vote
  20. mister nui (1,030 comments) says:

    I’d strongly suggest the last thing the real thinkers in National want is the destruction of Labour.

    Yes, I do. National has taken over Labour’s position anyway, so effectively there is no point in having Labour. If Labour were strong, they would likely only drag National further to the left. Fuck that.

    I very much doubt that a strong Labour would see a return to their pro-business, pro-free enterprise days of the 80’s, so there is no point in having them exist.

    What we need is a strong party to the right of National – ideally, I would like this to be ACT, but because our luvvies in the media are too stupid to understand the actual outcome of ACT’s policies, they will continue to try and kill them off. Maybe the Conservatives, but they would need to be a small “c” Conservatives.

    Vote: Thumb up 5 Thumb down 1 You need to be logged in to vote
  21. FeralScrote (226 comments) says:

    Labour are in freefall, Lynn and Matt need to tell Cunliffe to flap harder if he wants a soft landing.

    Vote: Thumb up 11 Thumb down 0 You need to be logged in to vote
  22. Daniel (215 comments) says:

    I wonder if this will be enough for Kelvin Davis to actually try to win this seat.

    Vote: Thumb up 12 Thumb down 0 You need to be logged in to vote
  23. Yogibear (372 comments) says:

    Harriet

    The 30% for Labour is Rest of Lower North Island EXCLUDING Wellington (hint, the Wellington link is directly above the one you clicked and says “Wellington”)

    Vote: Thumb up 2 Thumb down 0 You need to be logged in to vote
  24. Manolo (14,074 comments) says:

    Actually, Matt is doing his best to sink his boss.
    The unionist tax cheat has been a disaster for Labour and undermined Silent T‘s campaign all along.

    Vote: Thumb up 9 Thumb down 1 You need to be logged in to vote
  25. Ross12 (1,456 comments) says:

    I suspect that the book was KDC’s “bomb” and I would not be surprised if Hagar is on the KDC payroll. ( all speculation on my part !!) . Labour probably knew the poll drop had not stopped so the book launch was bought forward.

    Vote: Thumb up 12 Thumb down 1 You need to be logged in to vote
  26. Harriet (5,143 comments) says:

    Yogi.

    Yeah your right. My mistake. Thanks.

    Vote: Thumb up 4 Thumb down 0 You need to be logged in to vote
  27. DJP6-25 (1,389 comments) says:

    That’s bad news for the left, and good news for the rest of New-Zealand. Maybe over the course of the next few electoral cycles ACT and the Conservatives will become the opposition. The Conservatives can expect to attract many former NZ First voters when Winston Peters eventually leaves the stage. If ACT and the Conservatives have any sense at all, they’ll push to have ‘public broadcasting’ sold, or de funded. Don’t hold your breath waiting for National to do that. If there’s a National led government in 2017, charter schools will be here to stay.

    Vote: Thumb up 4 Thumb down 1 You need to be logged in to vote
  28. iMP (2,422 comments) says:

    The more interesting result in this poll is this:

    NZF 3.4%
    Conservs 3.4%

    At the same time last election. Consvs were at 1%. Upps the pressure on Epsom and ECB.

    Vote: Thumb up 14 Thumb down 2 You need to be logged in to vote
  29. smttc (763 comments) says:

    Yes John. Peters and Craig cancelling each other out. How delicious.

    Vote: Thumb up 7 Thumb down 4 You need to be logged in to vote
  30. Monty (980 comments) says:

    Penny Bright – the reason why Labour is doing so bad in all polls is threefold.
    1. The left is dominated by an activist base who are out of touch with the vast majority of NZers. I went to a candidates meeting in Wellington last night. the room was full of leftist activists. It was a very good meeting but I am firmly of the view that such meeting provide a false impression to the left candidates. This is where Labour can truthfully talk about what they are hearing on the ground. Reality is that most voters stay away from such meetings
    2. The parties of the left – in particular Mana, Internet, Winston and the Greens who say roughly comprise 20% of support are toxic to the remaining 80% of voters. They are toxic for a number of reasons, and they drive moderate swinging voters to National is droves. Take a look at yourself – you are a hate filled banchee. people like you make the moderates fear that you will ever be close to the reins of power (and pay your rates)

    3. National inspite of the left activists, is deemed to be doing a great job of managing the economy and the contry wants the same direction to be maintained.

    Vote: Thumb up 17 Thumb down 1 You need to be logged in to vote
  31. dime (10,131 comments) says:

    DPF – i cant see them being that low on the day… but if they were.. are we looking at an overhang? More electorate MP’s than the Party vote entitles them for?

    Vote: Thumb up 5 Thumb down 0 You need to be logged in to vote
  32. NK (1,257 comments) says:

    Terrible poll for the Conservatives. They are failing to take any votes from National supporters despite their rhetoric, and are simply picking it up from angry old Winston Peters supporters.

    They won’t win a seat and won’t get 5%. A complete waste.

    Vote: Thumb up 3 Thumb down 10 You need to be logged in to vote
  33. dime (10,131 comments) says:

    NK Conservatives @ 3.5% is a solid effort.

    If they had JK’s endorsement like winnie has they may hit the 5.

    starting to wonder what sort of garbage MP is 70th on Nationals list. another embarrassment?

    i just hope Jacinda “never won a seat” Adern gets the boot. Back to some euro think tank (lol) with her comrades no doubt. or the UN. same shit

    Vote: Thumb up 10 Thumb down 0 You need to be logged in to vote
  34. bringbackdemocracy (428 comments) says:

    NK NK Time to wake up

    Conservatives are taking votes from National, Labour and NZ First.
    They have momentum.
    Epsom voters are jumping ship, they know a party on the rise.

    Vote: Thumb up 4 Thumb down 3 You need to be logged in to vote
  35. Phil (128 comments) says:

    » Canterbury 14%

    Wasn’t Canterbury supposed to rise up en-masse for Labour this year?
    I’m quite pleased to see the south recognise that dissatisaftion with the Insurance industry and EQC is not the same thing as dissatisfaction with the Government.

    Vote: Thumb up 6 Thumb down 0 You need to be logged in to vote
  36. NK (1,257 comments) says:

    @ dime – The problem with your theory is that National doesn’t need to give any endorsement to the Conservatives because National is on 55%.

    @ bringbackdemocracy – If you seriously believe David Seymour won’t win Epsom there is little point in debating with you.

    The problem for both Act and the Conservatives is that Labour is polling so badly that people who might want to vote strategically with their party vote may feel they don’t need to because the Left has no chance of winning. Once the polls narrow between the Left bloc and the Right bloc, and once people realise David Seymour is a shoo-in in Epsom, we will see different poll results. There is still plenty of time for that to happen, and I am confident it will happen. These current results are common to every MMP election.

    Vote: Thumb up 2 Thumb down 2 You need to be logged in to vote
  37. emmess (1,433 comments) says:

    Terrible poll for the Conservatives. They are failing to take any votes from National supporters despite their rhetoric, and are simply picking it up from angry old Winston Peters supporters.

    They won’t win a seat and won’t get 5%. A complete waste.

    I fail to see the problem with that.
    If they don’t make it National get about half of the wasted vote.
    If they do, then they are definitely a party National can do business with.

    Either way, at best they could kill off NZ First or at worst drain votes from them, who could still potentially go with Labour.

    Vote: Thumb up 3 Thumb down 1 You need to be logged in to vote
  38. Colinxy (25 comments) says:

    “I want to see the Labour Party’s political destruction become permanent. Strong enough to be a potential force to keep National honest but basically in opposition forever.”

    I don’t. The growing power on the Left are the Greens, and if Labour keeps going the way it is, the Greens will become the opposition and eventually the government. I’d rather have Labour thanks. At least they aren’t a bunch of nihilists or totalitarians.* A strong Labour party could destroy the Greens much like National has destroyed ACT.

    * Based on the facts the a.) they bed down with people who hypocritically don’t like humans and b.) similarly have amongst their ranks people who believe “Democracy should be suspended for a while [to fix so-called environmental problems.]”

    Vote: Thumb up 4 Thumb down 0 You need to be logged in to vote
  39. dime (10,131 comments) says:

    “@ dime – The problem with your theory is that National doesn’t need to give any endorsement to the Conservatives because National is on 55%.”

    then why give it to winnie? the dude is a whore like dung.

    im happy for the consveratives to go it alone. they pissed me off trying to mess epsom up.

    Vote: Thumb up 3 Thumb down 0 You need to be logged in to vote
  40. NK (1,257 comments) says:

    @ emmess, sure – they’re valid views. But I don’t think Colin Craig and the party want to fail after spending so much money and after putting so much work in. They are going to really, really struggle. Labour cannot drop any lower than 22% I don’t believe, so any socially conservative Labour voters are probably reflected in this poll for the Conservatives. In other words, I don’t believe that can gain many more votes from that sector. Therefore they need to get them from “angry Nats”, and that’s not happening, as I’ve just pointed out.

    Vote: Thumb up 2 Thumb down 2 You need to be logged in to vote
  41. Ross12 (1,456 comments) says:

    I’m wondering now if the factor that involves people not wanting to back an obvious loser or alternatively “we want to be with winning crowd” will come into play. That is, no matter that a person is a long time Labour supporter , it has got so bad they will not want to been seen to support a sinking ship.
    If there is anything in this then I suspect it will show up in the numbers not turning up to vote.

    Vote: Thumb up 2 Thumb down 0 You need to be logged in to vote
  42. NK (1,257 comments) says:

    Upps the pressure on Epsom and ECB.

    Why? The Nats are on 55%. This puts no pressure on the Nats to give a seat to the Conservatives.

    Vote: Thumb up 4 Thumb down 3 You need to be logged in to vote
  43. Boris Piscina (53 comments) says:

    Easy, people. Undecideds are 15% and Fairfax extrapolates the results based on definite answers only. Nats are nowhere near 55%, let’s not be complacent. The last poll that had Nat at 56% had fewer actual yes votes than the one before it which had Nats at 49%. Undecideds go up and so does everyone else.

    Just saying.

    Vote: Thumb up 7 Thumb down 0 You need to be logged in to vote
  44. ross411 (880 comments) says:

    I can’t wait to see how “non-Labour voter” Judith gets her hackles up about this. She might even get so upset as to slip out of troll mode. But her attitude and the attitude of the average The Standard poster is part and parcel of the reason Labour is in this position. Keep on digging comrades.

    Vote: Thumb up 9 Thumb down 0 You need to be logged in to vote
  45. ross411 (880 comments) says:

    publicwatchdog (2,142 comments) says:
    August 15th, 2014 at 7:26 am
    A week is LONG time in politics …..

    Kind regards

    Penny Bright

    The last six months of declining poll numbers is an even longer time Penny..

    Let me tell you a joke:

    Two cows were standing on top of a hill. One said to the other, “aren’t you afraid of this mad cow thing that’s going around?” The other chewed it’s cud for a minute then eyed up the first, and said “Afraid? Why would I be afraid? I’m a helicopter.?

    You’re the second cow. Not in the misogynistic sense, but rather in the similar position sense. Not that I apologise for David Cunliffe being a man.

    Vote: Thumb up 7 Thumb down 0 You need to be logged in to vote
  46. ross411 (880 comments) says:

    Phil (126 comments) says:
    August 15th, 2014 at 9:43 am
    » Canterbury 14%

    Wasn’t Canterbury supposed to rise up en-masse for Labour this year?
    I’m quite pleased to see the south recognise that dissatisaftion with the Insurance industry and EQC is not the same thing as dissatisfaction with the Government.

    Well, I don’t imagine seeing Lianne Dalziel flail around all over them with self serving rulership has been a wise move.

    Vote: Thumb up 5 Thumb down 0 You need to be logged in to vote
  47. Hugh Pavletich (379 comments) says:

    It is most interesting Canterbury, New Zealand, is at a remarkably low 14% Labour support.

    Christchurch had long been referred to as “The Peoples Republic of Christchurch”. This poll (mirroring a The Press poll mid 2013) would suggest the brutality and constant incompetence dealt to people through the earthquake events by the public bureaucracies, may have had some considerable effect on public opinion … refer below with hyperlinked earlier articles …

    Christchurch: The Way Forward | Hugh Pavletich | Scoop News

    http://www.scoop.co.nz/stories/AK1206/S00251/christchurch-the-way-forward.htm

    Current polling of the Christchurch electorates would be most interesting.

    Further to this, the Left’s problems run much deeper than just current New Zealand Labour Leader David Cunliffe and the Labour Party.

    There is a deepening sense internationally that Government is not the solution … but is instead is the problem … as Allister Heath explained some time ago in the UK Telegraph …

    Voters have had enough of bloated and dysfunctional Governments … Allister Heath …. UK Telegraph

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/economics/10844203/Voters-have-had-enough-of-bloated-and-dysfunctional-governments.html

    … and as a recent NBC / WSJ poll in the United States found …

    Americans Fed Up … NBC / WSJ Poll

    http://www.nbcnews.com/politics/first-read/americas-fed-obama-approval-rating-hits-all-time-low-poll-n173271

    Clearly … the Left needs to reinvent itself.

    Vote: Thumb up 4 Thumb down 0 You need to be logged in to vote
  48. hj (7,067 comments) says:

    Current polling of the Christchurch electorates would be most interesting.

    Further to this, the Left’s problems run much deeper than just current New Zealand Labour Leader David Cunliffe and the Labour Party.

    There is a deepening sense internationally that Government is not the solution … but is instead is the problem … as Allister Heath explained some time ago in the UK Telegraph …

    Voters have had enough of bloated and dysfunctional Governments … Allister Heath …. UK Telegraph

    ============

    1. Stop all development anywhere near me. 79% of Americans want no new development projects in their communities. Now that does not mean they are against development. They are not. They just do not want it anywhere near them. They want new jobs, local tax dollars and new shopping opportunities, but it should be over there and not right here.
    2. All development is political.84% of American say a candidate’s position on development is important when they decide for whom they will vote, so development takes an increasingly prominent role in local politics
    3. The system is broken. 64% of Americans say the relationship between developers and elected officials makes the process unfair. They believe the game is rigged for developers and politicians and it makes them angry and frustrated.
    6. Traffic is destroying our quality of life. From our experience in projects across three countries, it is the Achilles heel of most projects, and it is the item most likely to scare residents and mobilize opposition. It is very hard to address  because no one believes mitigation measures will actually work.

    9. Jobs and new tax dollars are not enough. It used to be that politicians ran for reelection bragging about the economic development projects they brought home to their districts. They took credit for the new jobs, tax revenue and local investment that came from new development, but that is gone now. It is not enough anymore. Now it is far more politically advantageous to stand with the opponents of development and fight against new projects.
    We have seen the landscape for development fundamentally changed over the past 20 years, and it is increasingly difficult to get anything approved.

    http://ht.ly/vBOqX

    Vote: Thumb up 1 Thumb down 2 You need to be logged in to vote
  49. hj (7,067 comments) says:

    I think Labour was bankrupted by the fifth labour government (the LPrent factor):

    Dr Bryce Edwards discussing interview with David Cunliffe on the Nation (TV3).

    “Absolutely, there is a wider disconnect between what he said and what the wider public think. Among the Labour Party and liberal left in NZ there are two ideologies that are really important to them and that’s this ideology of identity politics and rape culture. Political threat lists or identity politics is where what you are (man or women, gay your ethnicity) is more important than what you say and do. Rape culture holds that collectively there is this misogynist attitude amongst males that enables others to rape and commit crime.”

    http://www.3news.co.nz/Panel-Willie-Jackson-Bryce-Edwards–Trish-Sherson/tabid/1348/articleID/351457/Default.aspx

    Also they are still unreliable, so you see Chris Trotter saying they wouldn’t stop farm sales to foreigners without fully explaining why (I think it is the “progressive of the internationalist tradition” faction in Labour).

    The polls don’t show nearly enough of what people think of issues.

    Vote: Thumb up 1 Thumb down 0 You need to be logged in to vote
  50. Pete George (23,687 comments) says:

    The latest Stuff.co.nz/Ipsos poll has his party neck and neck with NZ First’s Winston Peters, with both on 3.4 per cent.

    That’s the Conservatives’ highest ever register on this poll and a solid leap from last month’s showing, which had it on 1.3 per cent.

    NZ First were up from 2.6% in the last post – curiously they have both risen.

    National was flat, both Greens and Labour are down. Internet-Mana with 2.1% won’t be too enthused – they don’t seem to have tweeted that result.

    Vote: Thumb up 0 Thumb down 0 You need to be logged in to vote
  51. kowtow (8,780 comments) says:

    “Clearly … the Left needs to reinvent itself.”

    Maybe that’s part of the problm,the “right” has moved so far to the left.

    The right has reinvented itself on the left while what’s left of the left is forced further to the left to differentaite itself from the “right”.

    Vote: Thumb up 3 Thumb down 1 You need to be logged in to vote
  52. Southern Raider (1,831 comments) says:

    Based on the demographic breakdown is there a case to change the rules so only men should be allowed to vote?

    Vote: Thumb up 1 Thumb down 0 You need to be logged in to vote
  53. Evadne (88 comments) says:

    Don’t suggest anything like that Southern Raider: we’re more likely to end up with enforced gender quotas: at least 50% of votes must be from women. Once 50% masculine votes are reached, all others will be binned.

    Vote: Thumb up 3 Thumb down 0 You need to be logged in to vote
  54. ShawnLH (5,757 comments) says:

    National 55.1% (+0.3%)
    Labour 22.5% (-2.4%)
    Green 11.3% (-1.1%)
    NZ First 3.4% (+0.8%)
    Maori 1.0% (+0.1%)
    United Future 0.0% (-0.2%)
    ACT 0.2% (+0.1%)
    Mana 2.1% (+0.9%)
    Conservative 3.4% (+2.1%)

    This is a fantastic result. National is crushing Labour. Both Labour and the Greens are down. ACT up and the Conservatives on 3.4%

    Great result! :)

    Vote: Thumb up 6 Thumb down 0 You need to be logged in to vote
  55. thor42 (971 comments) says:

    Interesting trend by age-group.
    The younger ones being sucked in by Labour’s lolly-scramble.
    The older ones knowing that Labour’s policies are nonsense.

    Vote: Thumb up 7 Thumb down 1 You need to be logged in to vote
  56. thor42 (971 comments) says:

    @hj – “There is a deepening sense internationally that Government is not the solution…”

    Agreed hj – you get an upvote from me!

    Big, bloated government with nanny-state hand-holding policies is out.

    Small government with –
    * very focused and minimal spending
    * encouraging people to *get off their backsides and help themselves*
    * public-private partnerships

    … is *in*.

    You just *can’t* run a country with “mummy government” hovering over everyone and saving them from their stupid mistakes.

    Vote: Thumb up 3 Thumb down 0 You need to be logged in to vote
  57. goldnkiwi (1,545 comments) says:

    Streuth, don’t visit any leftist blogs or sites, you might be accused of hacking especially if you click on links lol

    Vote: Thumb up 2 Thumb down 1 You need to be logged in to vote
  58. Grizz (611 comments) says:

    I have an issue with this poll. Just feel it is far to favourable to National. It tends to give them 5% more than other polls. I get nervous that people are taking false reassurance from this poll.

    Question, is CCCP really taking votes off Winston? Suspect these 2 are going to have their own little mini battle.

    Vote: Thumb up 3 Thumb down 0 You need to be logged in to vote
  59. DJP6-25 (1,389 comments) says:

    If the Conservatives make it into parliament, they’ll be here to stay. They have a couple of high profile candidates who could lead the party if Colin Craig was no longer there for whatever reason. NZ First doesn’t. Three years in parliament will give them a track record, and invaluable experience. Like all the other parties, it has a down side. Over time some policies will be dropped, others will be added, or moderated. Hopefully, they will become more consistent.

    Vote: Thumb up 0 Thumb down 0 You need to be logged in to vote
  60. Sir Cullen's Sidekick (895 comments) says:

    Well well well – Messiah has spoken. While refusing to take his head which is buried deep in the sand, Labour leader David Cunliffe was reluctant to talk on the poll figures this afternoon, choosing not to believe the figures.

    “I’m not actually putting any weight at all on that particular poll, it’s completely out of line with others that we’ve taken and other recently published polls, and I feel that there have been a very positive couple of weeks for Labour and I’ll be keen to see what comes out in future.”

    Cunliffe said once voters had wrapped their heads around the content of Hager’s book, they would desert National “in droves”.

    “I would imagine it would probably shift hundreds of thousands but that is a matter for New Zealanders. This is a crossroad for New Zealanders. Is this what we what our country to become?

    “I think New Zealanders are getting their heads around a bunch of issues that are important to them – the need for better jobs, better wages, the need for better education policies, better access to healthcare and opportunities for all our families.

    “If New Zealanders get their head around this stuff, it’ll turn them off [National] in droves. It’s the sort of thing that you don’t even want to talk about because it is just so disgusting.”

    Vote: Thumb up 2 Thumb down 0 You need to be logged in to vote
  61. Grizz (611 comments) says:

    Garth McVicar (not sure if spelt correctly) in Hawkes Bay is an interesting one. I think Colin Craig messed up here. Instead of trying to parachute someone into Epsom or ECB, he should have started drumming up support for Garth months ago. Colin Craig and Rankin have too much baggage to ever be considered serious contenders. However Garth has far more appeal in conservative rural NZ, particularly in a seat without an incumbant.

    Vote: Thumb up 0 Thumb down 3 You need to be logged in to vote
  62. publicwatchdog (2,823 comments) says:

    Gee David – how do you think those of us who don’t do ‘secret squirrel’ stuff,and have no history of violent offending feel about not being able to get copies of SIS files or GCSB files?

    Which tends to suggest we’re ‘persons of interest’ to the State?

    Fascinating wee contradiction to be given an award for outstanding service to the community?

    So – if one is a ‘friend of the people’ but some sort of ‘enemy of the State’ – then whose side is the State on

    Sink your goldfish gums into THAT one Kiwibloggers!

    Kind regards

    Penny Bright (who at least puts her name to her posts :)

    Vote: Thumb up 0 Thumb down 4 You need to be logged in to vote
  63. deadrightkev (532 comments) says:

    Labour hits new low.

    But also worthy of mention is Conservatives hit new high don’t you think DPF? A bit of balance is called for here.

    Grizz – what total horseshit. Precisely what baggage do Craig and Rankin have in your opinion? Trial by media? That’s a badge of honour in NZ.

    McVicar has support anywhere and everywhere criminals have gone unpunished. That’s all over NZ.

    Vote: Thumb up 3 Thumb down 0 You need to be logged in to vote
  64. Shazzadude (531 comments) says:

    The Ipsos poll has yet to be tested against an election result, so should be taken with a grain of salt.

    Vote: Thumb up 0 Thumb down 0 You need to be logged in to vote