Northland Provisional Results

The in order were:

  1. Peters 54.0% 15,359
  2. Osborne 39.9% 11,347
  3. 4.6% 1,315
  4. Carr 0.4% 107
  5. Herbert 0.3% 85
  6. Grieve 0.2% 66
  7. Porter 0.2% 55
  8. Painting 0.1% 38
  9. Rogan 0.1% 22
  10. Bonner 0.1% 17
  11. Holland 0.0% 14

A massive victory to Winston, inline with the polls.

The margin is 14% overall, but of interest is that in advance voting it was only 11.3% while for voting on the day it was 16.5%.

Of the 97 booths, Peters won 82 and Osborne just 15.

Of the larger booths Osborne did best in Kerikeri, winning there by 4.5%. Also did well in Paihia and Wellsford.

Peters won by a massive 36.7% margin in Kaikohe, 29.0% in Kaitaia and 23.0% in Dargaville.

The size of the victory is such that First must be favoured to hold it in 2017, wither with Peters as the candidate, or with Shane Jones.

Not all bad news for though. The polls showed National still had close to 50% support in the party vote. So having the Leader in a seat that strongly votes National in the party vote makes it somewhat less likely he's going to put the Greens into Government anytime soon,

 

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