Some current iPredict probabilities

Some interesting prices and probabilities on iPredict at the moment. They include:

  • Green male co-leadership: James Shaw 65%, Kevin Hague 37%
  • Wellington Councils amalgamate this year – 4%
  • 2017 election: National PM 59%, Labour PM 39%
  • NZ First: If hold balance of power 35% chance support National, 205 chance Labour
  • TPP signed in 2015: 8%
  • 2016 US Presidential Election: Democrats 60%, Republicans 40%