Guest Post: Justin Lester on Wellington alive and kicking

A guest post by Deputy Mayor :

When I was first elected to Wellington City Council in 2010 the prevailing mind-set was that Wellington was facing a challenging time and the Council should batten down the hatches. Council was subject to comments that Wellington was stagnating or even dying. The advice was to consider implementing service cuts like closing libraries and swimming pools and to keep any new investment to a minimum.

I disagreed.  I thought the city needed to take a good look at itself and where its comparative advantages lay. Wellington needed to be bold and adopt a counter-intuitive Keynesian approach, like it had done in the 1990s. The reality was that if Government was prioritising it’s investment in Auckland and Christchurch and private business was contracting, then local government needed to step up.

Which is what we have done. It was from this that the Council’s economic growth agenda emerged.  The agenda was designed to stimulate jobs and growth. When I was appointed Deputy Mayor in 2013 I sought the role of Chair of the annual and long-term planning process, where my focus was to help set out the Council’s 10 year vision and investment programme and work towards its implementation.

We have reached a critical first achievement of this vision.

Movie Museum and Convention Centre

Recently Wellington City Council announced its intention to proceed with a combined Movie Museum and Convention Centre on Cable St.

The Movie Museum, backed and inspired by Sir Peter Jackson and Sir Richard Taylor, is a monumental project for our city. It will be an international drawcard and is could feasibly rival Te Papa, the Cake Tin or any other undertaking in Wellington’s recent history. In the 150 years since Wellington became New Zealand’s Capital, I can only think of a handful of moments that have been as significant.

To put it in context, 50 years after the release of the Sound of Music 300,000 people visit Salzburg to see the film’s shooting locations. New Zealand has had a similar experience with The Lord of the Rings. This year, in the unlikely location of Matamata, 400,000 mainly international tourists will descend upon Hobbiton. They will take selfies in the Shire and have a beer at the Green Dragon. Many will then head to Rotorua, Queenstown and probably fly straight back home via Auckland.

The Movie Museum will change tourism behaviour in New Zealand. It will become the most popular man-made attraction in New Zealand and Wellington will be front and centre on every tourist’s map.

Our new Convention Centre will act as a neat foil to Movie Museum’s lure given the co-location of the two sites.  It will provide a hosting facility for local, national and international delegates in the city. If we didn’t build it we could have lost $17m a year from our existing conventions market and by co-locating the two facilities I believe we will stimulate additional visitor growth and spending, which will in turn boost local businesses and generate jobs.

Can Wellington afford this and other proposed projects?

Wellington is in a very strong financial position. Of course, you might think, he would say that. But this isn’t my opinion; it comes from Standard and Poor’s (S&P).

S&P recently confirmed its AA credit rating of Wellington City Council and, for a second year in a row, considered Council’s credit rating to be higher than that of the Crown’s. S&P stated: “We view Wellington City’s stand-alone credit profile to be higher than the New Zealand sovereign, but have capped the ratings at the sovereign level. The ratings reflect our views of the council’s very strong financial management and budgetary flexibility, strong liquidity, and low contingent liabilities.” Officially, it is impossible for a council to outrank the crown, hence the equal rating.

The S&P rating also allows to borrow at low interest rates and save a significant amount that would otherwise be spent on interest.

Regarding debt levels, At the end of the 2014/15 financial year Wellington City Council’s debt was 84 per cent of revenue based on net debt of $346 million against operating revenue of $451m. Wellington City Council also has investments valued at $381m.

In comparison, gross government debt was $86.1 billion on revenue of $66.6b and debt as a percentage of revenue was 130 per cent. The 2014/15 Auckland City Council annual report shows it had debt of $7.3b against operating income of $3.6b. Debt as a percentage of income in Auckland was 202 per cent.

The table below also shows how Wellington fares financially when compared with Auckland:

Auckland Wellington
GDP per Capita 2014 US$43,700 US$70,000
Economic growth 2.6%pa. 2.4%pa.
Population 1,529,000 206,000
Rate payers 518,784 75,613
Average rate $2,636 $2,163
Operating surplus/revenue 13.6% 17%
Operating + capital deficit as % of revenue (29%) 2011-2015

(19%) 2013-2017

(2.8%)

(6.6%)

Debt forecast 2017 $8,176m $446m
Debt as a % of Revenue 2017 257% 107%
Interest as a % of Revenue 2017 14.5% 6.4%

The comparison shows Wellington has a very robust balance sheet and a solid financial platform from which we can invest prudently in projects that further stimulate Wellington’s growth, boost business and create jobs.

But we also need an effective, cohesive Council that can push through our economic programme. In future I look forward to helping make Wellington perform even better.

 

 

 

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