December 17, 2015 2:00pm by David Farrar

Scoring my 2015 predictions

In December 2014 I did my normal 20 predictions for the year, being a mixture of serious and fun. So how did I go?

  1. There will be a by-election in 2015 – 1/1
  2. There will be no changes to the composition of the Key Ministry in 2015 – 0/1
  3. Two Labour List MPs will leave Parliament in 2015 – 0/1
  4. The Government will post a small surplus for the 2014/15 fiscal year – 1/1
  5. Andrew Little will remain Labour Party Leader – 1/1
  6. Jacinda Ardern will be annointed Labour Party Deputy Leader – 0/1
  7. Four of the original five charter schools will get good reviews, but one will close – 1/1 (announced this week)
  8. Not a single members’ bill will pass into law in 2015 0/1 (two passed including the Rugby World Cup bars bill)
  9. At least one person on Labour’s list, will waive taking up their spot in Parliament, when vacancies occur – 0/1
  10. An MP will announce their engagement – 0/1
  11. Helen Clark will not stand for UN Secretary-General – 1/1 (no candidacy yet, if at all)
  12. Labour will reach 30% in at least one poll in 2015 – 1/1
  13. Trevor Mallard will throw Winston Peters out of the House for disorderly conduct – 0/1
  14. An MP will get pregnant in 2015 – 0/1
  15. Whatever decision the Government makes on helping combat the Islamic State, it will be condemned by the Greens – 1/1
  16. No ACT MP will be charged with a crime in 2015 – 1/1
  17. A visit to NZ by David Cameron will be announced in 2015 – 0/1
  18. The winning design in the first flag referendum (to decide which goes off against the current one) will have a Silver Fern on it – 1/1
  19. Claire Trevett will hold onto power as Chair of the Press Gallery, defeating the ABT faction once again – 1/1
  20. The Government will not give a cent to Sky City for the convention centre – 1/1

So overall I score myself 11/20! Just passed.