The January Curia newsletter is out. The summary is:
Curia’s Polling Newsletter – Issue 93, January 2016
There was one political voting poll in January – a Roy Morgan.
The average of the public polls has National 19% ahead of Labour in January, down 1% from December. The current seat projection is centre-right 59 seats, centre-left 51 which would see the Maori Party hold the balance of power.
We show the current New Zealand poll averages for party vote, country direction and preferred PM compared to three months ago, a year ago, three years ago and nine years ago. This allows easy comparisons between terms and Governments.
In the United States as voting in primaries is about to start Donald Trump leads by 7% in Iowa, 215 in New Hampshire, 16% in South Carolina and 14% in Nevada.
On the Democratic side Clinton leads by 4% in Iowa, Sanders by 13% in New Hampshire and Clinton by 30% in South Carolina.
In the UK there is only a 6% chance of a Labour-led Government.
In Australia since the accession of Malcolm Turnbull, the Coalition has maintained a strong lead over Labor, with an election due within the year.
In Canada despite gloomy economic news, a plurality of Canadians think Canada is heading in the right direction.
We also carry details of polls on US ship visits plus the normal business and consumer confidence polls.
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