Curia’s monthly newsletter is out. The summary is below:
Curia’s Polling Newsletter – Issue 97, May 2016
There were two political voting polls in May 2016 – a Roy Morgan and a Newshub Reid Research.
The average of the public polls has National 16% ahead of Labour in May, down 3% from April. The current seat projection is centre-right 58 seats, centre-left 51 which would see NZ First hold the balance of power.
We show the current New Zealand poll averages for party vote, country direction and preferred PM compared to three months ago, a year ago, three years ago and nine years ago. This allows easy comparisons between terms and Governments.
In the United States Clinton’s chances improved in May with a projected 126 elector lead in the Electoral College. Overall satisfaction with the direction of the US remains extremely low at a net -40%.
In the UK Remain is at 65% and Leave at 35% in the prediction markets. Brexit trails by 3% in the average of the polls.
In Australia The election is on a knife edge with the current seat projection being the Coalition having a one seat majority only.
In Canada Liberals remain sky high in the polls and confidence of the country direction has reached a new high of +27%.
We also carry details of polls on the Kermadecs, housing and US ship visits plus the normal business and consumer confidence polls.
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