Clinton now more unpopular than Trump

The latest ABC poll finds:

  • Trump 39% favourable and 58% unfavourable for a -19% net favourability
  • Clinton 38% favourable and 60% unfavourable for a -22% net favourability

The net favourabilities in October of election year for recent candidates has been:

  1. Obama (2008) +29%
  2. Reagan (1984) +22%
  3. Clinton (1996) +20%
  4. Clinton (1992) +20%
  5. Bush (1988) +17%
  6. McCain +13%
  7. Bush (2000) +12%
  8. Dole +12%
  9. Gore +7%
  10. Obama (2012) +6%
  11. Romney -4%
  12. Bush (2004) +3%
  13. Kerry +2%
  14. Dukakis +1%
  15. Bush (1992) -6%
  16. Mondale -11%
  17. Trump – 19%
  18. Clinton (2016) -22%

Every other winning candidate has been elected (for first term) with at least a +12% approval, and Clinton is at -22%.

Clinton’s unfavourables by demographics are:

  • Nonwhites +22%
  • College grads -10%
  • Women -11%
  • All – 22%
  • White women -25%
  • Non grads -29%
  • Men -35%
  • Whites -36%
  • White men -51%

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