German Election Results

September 28th, 2009 at 9:53 am by David Farrar

Election geeks can get the results directly here.

It looks good for Merkel with 233 268 289/299 results received. So far the party vote (previous figures were electorate vote by mistake) is:

  • CDU/CSU 34.6% 34.1%
  • FDP 14.8% 14.6%
  • SPD 22.8% 22.9%
  • Greens 10.6%
  • The Left 11.2% 11.8%

The CDU/CSU and FDP are on 48.7% so can probably form a Government. The SPD and the Greens have only 33.4%. The SPD have ruled out coalition with The Left.

Unless the combined CDU/CSU + FDP vote falls under 48%, they will form the Government. If it falls away then it might be another grand coalition.

For those not up with German politics the CDU are basically the conservative party and the CSU is their equivalent in Bavaria. The CSU tend to be more conservative on social issues and less liberal on economic issues.

The FDP are a liberal party – on both social and economic issues. In the past they have had long spells in Government with both the CDU and SPD but since the mid 1980s have really only sided with the CDU.

The SPD is the social democratic party, or main party of the left. The Greens are similiar to the Greens here but significantly more rational. For example the supported NATO action in Kosovo and German troops to Afghanistan and in Hamburg are in coalition with the CDU.

The Left is the most hardcore left party, and hence ruled out of coalition by the SDP. It is the successor to the former East German ruling party until 1989. They have done relatively well of late due to the SDP being in a grand coalition with the CDU/CSU. This is one of the problems of grand coalitions – it helps the extreme parties.

Thought of the Day

September 25th, 2009 at 7:22 am by David Farrar

I might be wrong, but I suspect Helen Clark hated that her first meeting with Barack Obama was having John Key introduce her as his predecessor, after Obama goes out of his way to say hi to Key.

We sometimes forget what a great reputation our country has overseas as a place to live:

Mr Obama had a friend living in New Zealand who had raved about the country praising its golf courses, skiing and lifestyle for families.

If Obama does visit at some stage, he’ll be a lot more popular than he is back home. UMR released a poll yesterday on NZers views of world leaders. The net positive ratings were:

  1. Barack Obama +82% (88% favourable, 6% unfavourable)
  2. Kevin Rudd +45%
  3. Angela Merkel +15%
  4. Nicolas Sarkozy +2%
  5. Gordon Brown -1%
  6. Silvio Berlusconi -16%
  7. Vladimir Putin -19%

Angela Merkel

August 26th, 2009 at 9:06 am by David Farrar

The NZ Herald has an informative profile on German Chancellor Angela Merkel. A good read.

The German election is on 27 September, and I will probably coverit  a few times.

There is probably going to be an International Young Democrat Union Freedom Forum in Berlin in November 2009 – on the 20th anniversary of the fall of the Berlin Wall. Not sure I will be able to make it – flying to Europe is a nightmare and not worth doing unless you are going to stay for a decent period. And November is not exactly summer in Germany. Temperatures normally range from 2°C to 7°C.

On the other hand I regard the collapse of the Berlin Wall as the most important world event in my lifetime, and marking the 20th anniversary in Berlin would be cool.