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	<title>Kiwiblog &#187; Hunua</title>
	<atom:link href="http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/tag/hunua/feed" rel="self" type="application/rss+xml" />
	<link>http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz</link>
	<description>DPF&#039;s Kiwiblog - Fomenting Happy Mischief since 2003</description>
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		<title>The Central North Island Seats</title>
		<link>http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/2008/11/the_central_north_island_seats.html</link>
		<comments>http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/2008/11/the_central_north_island_seats.html#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 12 Nov 2008 11:15:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>David Farrar</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Uncategorized]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Anne Tolley]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bay of Plenty]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Chris Tremain]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Coromandel]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[David Bennett]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[East Coast]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Election 2008]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hamilton East]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hamilton West]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Harry Duynhoven]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hunua]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jonathan Young]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jordan Carter]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Lindsay Tisch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Louise Upston]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mark Burton]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Napier]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[New Plymouth]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Paul Hutchison]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Roger Douglas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rotorua]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Russell Fairbrother]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sandra Goudie]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Shane Ardern]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Simon Bridges]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Taranaki-King Country]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Taupo]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tauranga]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tim Macindoe]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Todd McClay]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tony Ryall]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Waikato]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Winston First]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/?p=28722</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Oh I do like that solid blue look. And in 2002 only a handful were blue. Hunua is a new seat. The party vote is another 60:20 type solid seat. On the electorate vote Paul Hutchison narrowly beat Jordan Carter by 14,738 votes and Roger Douglas another 2,700 votes behind Jordan. Waikato is 58% to [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/wp-content/uploads/2008/11/cni.jpg"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-28723" title="cni" src="http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/wp-content/uploads/2008/11/cni.jpg" alt="" width="500" height="344" /></a></p>
<p>Oh I do like that solid blue look. And in 2002 only a handful were blue.</p>
<p><strong>Hunua</strong> is a new seat. The party vote is another 60:20 type solid seat. On the electorate vote Paul Hutchison narrowly beat Jordan Carter by 14,738 votes and Roger Douglas another 2,700 votes behind Jordan.</p>
<p><strong>Waikato</strong> is 58% to 22% on the party vote. And Lindsay Tisch drove his majority from 7,000 to almost 12,000.</p>
<p><strong>Coromandel</strong> went from 45% to 31% up to 51% to 26%. And Sandra Goudie scored a 13,400 majority for the seat she won in 2005.</p>
<p>The two Hamilton seats are no longer marginal weathervanes. <strong>Hamilton East</strong> went from a 9% party vote lead for National to a 19% lead. And David Bennett turned a 5,300 majority into one of over 8.000. <strong>Hamilton West</strong> saw an 11% lead in the party vote for National after being 2% behind in 2005. And Tim Macindoe turned his 1,100 loss in 2005 to a 1,500 victory in 2008.</p>
<p><strong>Bay of Plenty</strong> is another 60:20 seat on the party vote. and Tony Ryall got a massive 16,500 majority up from 11,000 in 2005.</p>
<p>In 2005 in <strong>Tauranga</strong>, National had a 15% lead in the party vote. In 2008 the lead was 32%. Bob Clarkson beat Winston Peters by 730 votes in 2005. This time Simon Bridges beat him by 10,700. Simon will be happy to be the Member of Tauranga for some time.</p>
<p><strong>Rotorua</strong> saw National lift the party vote from 43% to 51%, and Todd McClay scored a majority of almost 5,000 over a sitting Minister.</p>
<p><strong>Taupo</strong> saw a party vote victory of 15% and Louise Upston beat Mark Burton by almost 6,000 votes. She ran a good campaign and for a big enough majority to make it safe for National. Burton got 2300 more  votes than Labour so even harder for any future Labour candidate.  I also heard a rumour that Louise held the first meeting of her 2011 campaign committee at 8.15 am on Sunday morning <img src='http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_smile.gif' alt=':-)' class='wp-smiley' /> </p>
<p>The <strong>East Coast</strong> had a 15% lead in the party vote (the graphic has it wrong) and on the electorate vote Anne Tolley turned a 2,500 majority into a 6,000 majority.</p>
<p>The growing seat of <strong>Napier</strong> saw National go from a 1% lead in the party vote to a 12% lead. And Chris Tremain drove his 3,300 victory over Russell Fairbrother in 2005 to a 8,400 margin. Remember this is a seat Labour held for all but three years from 1928 to 2005 and Tremain is building John Carter or Nick Smith type majorities as a brilliant local MP who owns his  seat.</p>
<p>Over on the west coast, we have the huge <strong>Taranaki-King Country</strong> seat which is another of those lovely 60:20 seats.  And the 12,000 majority motors up to 14,500.</p>
<p>Finally we have <strong>New Plymouth</strong>. National was ahead on the party vote last time by 8% and this time it was 20%. And it was too much for Harry Duynhoven who lost the seat by 300 votes. In 2005 he held it by almost 5,000 votes and in 2002 his majority was a staggering 15,000. New candidate Jonathan Young will be watching the special votes though.</p>
<p>Labour will struggle to form a Government again, while so many seats have them getting just 1 in 5 party votes. Every seat in this region had at least an 11% gap in the party vote, with many having a 40% gap.</p>

	Tags: <a href="http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/tag/anne_tolley" title="Anne Tolley" rel="tag">Anne Tolley</a>, <a href="http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/tag/bay_of_plenty" title="Bay of Plenty" rel="tag">Bay of Plenty</a>, <a href="http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/tag/chris_tremain" title="Chris Tremain" rel="tag">Chris Tremain</a>, <a href="http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/tag/coromandel" title="Coromandel" rel="tag">Coromandel</a>, <a href="http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/tag/david_bennett" title="David Bennett" rel="tag">David Bennett</a>, <a href="http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/tag/east_coast" title="East Coast" rel="tag">East Coast</a>, <a href="http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/tag/election_2008" title="Election 2008" rel="tag">Election 2008</a>, <a href="http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/tag/hamilton_east" title="Hamilton East" rel="tag">Hamilton East</a>, <a href="http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/tag/hamilton_west" title="Hamilton West" rel="tag">Hamilton West</a>, <a href="http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/tag/harry_duynhoven" title="Harry Duynhoven" rel="tag">Harry Duynhoven</a>, <a href="http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/tag/hunua" title="Hunua" rel="tag">Hunua</a>, <a href="http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/tag/jonathan_young" title="Jonathan Young" rel="tag">Jonathan Young</a>, <a href="http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/tag/jordan_carter" title="Jordan Carter" rel="tag">Jordan Carter</a>, <a href="http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/tag/lindsay_tisch" title="Lindsay Tisch" rel="tag">Lindsay Tisch</a>, <a href="http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/tag/louise_upston" title="Louise Upston" rel="tag">Louise Upston</a>, <a href="http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/tag/mark_burton" title="Mark Burton" rel="tag">Mark Burton</a>, <a href="http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/tag/napier" title="Napier" rel="tag">Napier</a>, <a href="http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/tag/new_plymouth" title="New Plymouth" rel="tag">New Plymouth</a>, <a href="http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/tag/paul_hutchison" title="Paul Hutchison" rel="tag">Paul Hutchison</a>, <a href="http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/tag/roger_douglas" title="Roger Douglas" rel="tag">Roger Douglas</a>, <a href="http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/tag/rotorua" title="Rotorua" rel="tag">Rotorua</a>, <a href="http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/tag/russell_fairbrother" title="Russell Fairbrother" rel="tag">Russell Fairbrother</a>, <a href="http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/tag/sandra_goudie" title="Sandra Goudie" rel="tag">Sandra Goudie</a>, <a href="http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/tag/shane_ardern" title="Shane Ardern" rel="tag">Shane Ardern</a>, <a href="http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/tag/simon_bridges" title="Simon Bridges" rel="tag">Simon Bridges</a>, <a href="http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/tag/taranaki-king_country" title="Taranaki-King Country" rel="tag">Taranaki-King Country</a>, <a href="http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/tag/taupo" title="Taupo" rel="tag">Taupo</a>, <a href="http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/tag/tauranga" title="Tauranga" rel="tag">Tauranga</a>, <a href="http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/tag/tim_macindoe" title="Tim Macindoe" rel="tag">Tim Macindoe</a>, <a href="http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/tag/todd_mcclay" title="Todd McClay" rel="tag">Todd McClay</a>, <a href="http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/tag/tony_ryall" title="Tony Ryall" rel="tag">Tony Ryall</a>, <a href="http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/tag/waikato" title="Waikato" rel="tag">Waikato</a>, <a href="http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/tag/winston_first" title="Winston First" rel="tag">Winston First</a><br />
]]></content:encoded>
			<wfw:commentRss>http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/2008/11/the_central_north_island_seats.html/feed</wfw:commentRss>
		<slash:comments>8</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Sir Roger&#8217;s return</title>
		<link>http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/2008/06/sir_rogers_return.html</link>
		<comments>http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/2008/06/sir_rogers_return.html#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sun, 08 Jun 2008 18:26:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>David Farrar</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[NZ Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ACT]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Heather Roy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hunua]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Rodney Hide]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Roger Douglas]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/?p=23920</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Two announcements were made yesterday regarding Sir Roger Douglas. The minor one was regarding which seat he would stand in, and the decision to choose Hunua is no surprise as he lives there. His brother, Malcolm Douglas, is a former MP for Hunua and will be his campaign manager. The more significant announcement is that [...]]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Two announcements were made yesterday regarding Sir Roger Douglas. The minor one was regarding which seat he would stand in, and the decision to <a href="http://www.nzherald.co.nz/section/1/story.cfm?c_id=1&amp;objectid=10515163">choose Hunua</a> is no surprise as he lives there. His brother, Malcolm Douglas, is a former MP for Hunua and will be his campaign manager.</p>
<p>The more significant announcement is that he accept whatever list ranking the members give him. Previously indications are he would be lower down the list to give ACT supporters a target to work towards (such as &#8220;If we get 5% we get Sir Roger back), but now it seems Sir Roger will be No 3 or maybe even No 2.</p>
<p>To get three MPs ACT needs around 2.5% of the vote which is certainly plausible.</p>
<p>Who from ACT would become a Minister, if an agreement with National can be achieved, would be interesting. You see if you do only have three MPs, then they won&#8217;t all get to be Ministers. In fact realistically only one of them would be. So would Rodney (who would be in his 5th term) and Heather be content being backbenchers if they push Sir Roger to take up a ministerial role? And the converse also goes &#8211; would Sir Roger be content being a backbencher with Rodney in Cabinet?</p>

	Tags: <a href="http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/tag/act" title="ACT" rel="tag">ACT</a>, <a href="http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/tag/heather_roy" title="Heather Roy" rel="tag">Heather Roy</a>, <a href="http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/tag/hunua" title="Hunua" rel="tag">Hunua</a>, <a href="http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/tag/rodney_hide" title="Rodney Hide" rel="tag">Rodney Hide</a>, <a href="http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/tag/roger_douglas" title="Roger Douglas" rel="tag">Roger Douglas</a><br />
]]></content:encoded>
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		<slash:comments>48</slash:comments>
		</item>
		<item>
		<title>Douglas for Hunua</title>
		<link>http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/2008/03/douglas_for_hunua.html</link>
		<comments>http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/2008/03/douglas_for_hunua.html#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 15 Mar 2008 22:46:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>David Farrar</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[NZ Politics]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[ACT]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Hunua]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Roger Douglas]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wages]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/2008/03/douglas_for_hunua.html</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Roger Douglas is interviewed in the HoS, and they suggest he may stand in Hunua, where he lives. His motivation for standing is closing the economic growth and wage gap with Australia by 2020. Tags: ACT, Hunua, Roger Douglas, Wages]]></description>
			<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Roger <a href="http://www.nzherald.co.nz/section/1/story.cfm?c_id=1&amp;objectid=10498462">Douglas is interviewed in the HoS</a>, and they suggest he may stand in Hunua, where he lives.</p>
<p>His motivation for standing is closing the economic growth and wage gap with Australia by 2020.</p>

	Tags: <a href="http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/tag/act" title="ACT" rel="tag">ACT</a>, <a href="http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/tag/hunua" title="Hunua" rel="tag">Hunua</a>, <a href="http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/tag/roger_douglas" title="Roger Douglas" rel="tag">Roger Douglas</a>, <a href="http://www.kiwiblog.co.nz/tag/wages" title="Wages" rel="tag">Wages</a><br />
]]></content:encoded>
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		<slash:comments>19</slash:comments>
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