NCEA/UE Stats for 2020

The NCEA Summary for 2020 was released today.

Credit (excuse the pun) where credit is due – with the give away of standards and plenty of hard work by NZ teachers and students the overall results have been – maintained and in many cases improved.


The very big deal is still equity with the ethnicity, regional and decile gaps remaining huge and very hard for the future.
Please keep in mind that this is not inevitable – grads for outlier schools such at South Auckland Middle School – get NCEA L1 at 86% – very counter trend for Maori/Pasifika/Decile 1.


Also keep in mind – these results measure students that remain in schools and do their assessments. In a range of NZ schools they have lost up to 40% of their Year 9 cohort by the age of 17 – where others have nearly 95% left. Analysis on a school leaver basis – more important that measuring the survivors – comes later in the year and tends to give an even graver picture on inequity and progress that needs to be made.

With the decline in our University standings internationally, TIMMS, PISA and the trend for Labour politicians to talk “appropriate pathways” for sectors of our system I have this horrible picture of Ardern and Hipkins holding hands and knocking at the door of the third world and asking for our future generations to be let in.

ps – sorry for the slightly misshapen formatting below – it all lined up in the editor.


Quick response at UE level (our most important school qualification)
Year 13 UE Asian          2020   64.1%            2019  59.3%
Year 13 UE European    2020  59%               2019 55.1%
Year 13 UE Maori          2020  34.1%             2019  29.9%
Year 13 Pacific Peoples 2020   33.7%            2019  30.3%

– Asian – Maori gap 2019 = 29.4%      2020 = 30%- Asian – Pasifika gap 2019 = 29%     2020 = 30.7%

Quick Response L2
Level 2 Asian          2020   80%            2019  78.3%
Level 2 European    2020  83.2%           2019 81.1%
Level 2 Maori          2020  71.9%           2019  68.9%
Level 2 Pacific Peoples 2020   77.1%          2019 77.1%

Quick Response L1
Level 1 Asian          2020   73.1%          2019  73.9%
Level 1 European    2020  75.8%          2019 76%
Level 1 Maori          2020  60.8%        2019  57.7%
Level 1 Pacific Peoples 2020   68.2%          2019 61.8%

Quick Response By Decile
Decile 1 – 3
Level 1        2020   64.7%          2019  58.6%
Level 2        2020  73.7%           2019 69.7%
Level 3        2020  66.9%           2019  59.4%
UE              2020   32.7%          2019 29.8%

Decile 4 – 7
Level 1        2020   76.5%          2019  73.7%
Level 2        2020  83.9%           2019 80.2%
Level 3        2020  73.1%           2019  67.5%
UE              2020   51.6%          2019 46.6%

Decile 8 – 10
Level 1        2020   75.5%          2019  78.8%
Level 2        2020  86%             2019 84.2%
Level 3        2020  80.9%          2019  76.9%
UE              2020   69.9%%      2019 65.4%

Northland vs Auckland
Northland
Level 1  2020 58.8%               2019  58.3%
Level 2    2020 79.4%              2019  77.4%
Level 3    2020  66.2%            2019  60.7%
UE           2020   40.7%            2019  38.3%
Auckland
Level 1  2020 69.9%               2019  69.2%
Level 2   2020 79.7%              2019  76.6%
Level 3   2020  76.1%            2019  69.7%
UE          2020   57.3%            2019  52.5%

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