Lake Waikaremoana Track Day 4

Day 4 was a fairly short 7 kms to the water taxi pick up. But we left early again as it was now a 10 am pick up. Again a bit undulating.

A nice view of the last hut as we went around the track.

Nice and easy track here.

Opening up a bit.

Again so many beautiful lakeside views.

This is where the water taxi picks us up. I went swimming for around 20 minutes before it arrived and wow was it a great way to end the tramp – very refreshing.

This is the view from the water taxi of the climb on Day 1.

Got back to the holiday park where I had a much needed ice cream and pie!

The original plan was to get the water taxi at 4 pm and stay overnight in Wairoa. But as I got out at 10.30 am I decided to just drive back to Wellington that day. I offered to pay for the night I had booked at Vista Motor Lodge (where I had left spare luggage) but the owner kindly refused and said they were just glad I had a great time. Definitely a good place to stay at in Wairoa.

I went into the tramp with similar views to many that the Great Walk was going to be inferior to others, and this was due to the Tuhoe taking over management of the Ureweras. But I was pleasantly surprised by how good the track was, and I actually really enjoyed hearing from the Tuhoe wardens and water taxi skipper about the area.

Like many I was aghast at the removal of private huts in the area (they explained they want to plan where huts are needed in the future, but my view is they should leave the current huts in place until they have such a plan), but this didn’t extend to the Great Walk, and despite tensions the partnership between DOC and Tuhoe in running it is working.

I would definitely recommend doing the track. I’d happily go back and do it again.

Next summer is Great Walk No 10 – the Routeburn!

Which party were these Youth MPs from?

The Herald reports:

Several cases of potentially defamatory comments, breaches of privacy and unsupported assertions were found in Youth MPs’ draft speeches by officials tasked with reviewing them before delivery during a Youth Parliament overshadowed by censorship claims earlier this year. 

For example, edits were suggested after speeches implied MPs were “accepting bribes or promotion in exchange for supporting certain policies” or made “accusations that funding was misappropriated”, according to the Ministry of Youth Development (MYD).

So some Youth MPs were planning to make defamatory allegations of bribery and theft. No prizes for guessing which party the MPs they were representing would have been from.

General Debate 19 January 2026

We’re still better off than ever before

Steven Pinker wrote at the Free Press:

Human progress continues, with some backsliding.

Since publishing two books on human progress (The Better Angels of Our Nature, 2011, and Enlightenment Now, 2018), every year I update my graphs on the major dimensions of human well-being. Most people think everything’s gotten worse, but that can be a misleading impression from following headlines, a nonrandom sample of the worst things happening anywhere on earth. The data show that, after the pandemic blip, global life expectancyaffluence, and literacy are at all-time highs, while extreme poverty and violent crime are at all-time lows. The world has backslid in democracy and war deaths, taking us back to levels in the late 1990s—though we’re still better than at any time in the 20th century since relevant data were recorded.

Worth remembering how much things have improved (especially for those in the third world) in recent decades.

Fran on India FTA

Fran O’Sullivan writes:

Bold ambition and fearless execution – that’s what it has taken to get intense bilateral negotiations between India and New Zealand finalised so a trade deal could be announced just before the country broke for Christmas.

Bold ambition by Prime Minister Christopher Luxon who faced down his detractors and pledged he would get an agreement in place during his Government’s first term in office.

Fearless execution by Trade Minister Todd McLay, who the PM empowered to deliver the deal and who brought it home within nine months of Luxon’s four-day visit to India earlier this year.

The relationship with India was regarded as almost broken under the previous Government.

Even back in 2018, Fonterra was forecasting that over the next seven years, the demand for dairy from Indian consumers is set to increase by 82 billion litres – seven times the forecast growth for China.

The country’s young population was looking to level up its dairy consumption with new products that met with their expectations of higher quality and nutrition.

There are opportunities now to invest in food manufacturing, infrastructure – including digital services and more to meet market demands.

One of the more interesting aspects is the ability to form joint-venture manufacturing facilities in India for exporting product into third markets.

Chinese dairy firms have exploited a similar regime in New Zealand to produce product for export to South East Asia.

Lots of opportunitiies.

General Debate 18 January 2026

Lake Waikaremona Track Day 3

Forgot to mention on Day 2, that the Tuhoe hut warden at Waiopaoa Hut was superb. She told us some of the history of the area, the legends about Lake Waikaremona, and also opened it up to general questions. An hour later she finally finished and commented she had never had so many. One of the questions was on pest control, and she explained that Tuhoe are trying to train up Tuhoe members in traditional trapping methods and that while there are fewer traps around the area, they are committed to protecting the birdlife etc.

The warden also allowed us to change our hut bookings for the next night. Really great to have such flexibility.

Today was going to be a long 18 to 20 km day so we set off around 7 am.

Many views of the lake as we walked alongside it.

Day 3 is euphemistically described as mainly flat. In reality is is quite undulating and you still do a fair bit of up and down. But nothing like Day 1.

This is a private hut between Korokoro and Maraunui campsites. It has potable water from a spring and trampers are welcome to fill up their bottles there, which is great of them. Even more important as Maraunui Hut had no working water supply from the hut, so anyone staying there has to fill up from the lake.

This large field is where Maraunui Hut is.

I had a very nice lunch at Maraunui Hut, and was soon joined by around a dozen King’s College students during their Duke of Edinburgh Award. It is an old and small hut and I strongly recommend to anyone doing the track to bypass this hut. even though it is in a convenient location.

The track was generally in good condition. It was muddy in places, but nothing out of the ordinary. In a couple of places some boardwalks would be nice, but far from essential.

During the final stage it started to rain, and then to my surprise it turned into hail. Can’t recall the last time I’d tramped in hail. Didn’t last too long, but my sunhat proved useful in protecting my head!

Finally got to Waiharuru Hut around 3.30 pm. Pretty tired after 20 kms but very glad we changed our plans and carried on. There are actually two huge huts here. The left hand one is sleeping quarters for 40 people – all with individual bunk beds. The right hand one is the communal dining and socialising hall.

This hut also had a Tuhoe warden, and again he was great. After dinner he introduced himself and his background and then asked each table to do the same. Was really nice to hear everyone talk about their groups. The Scottish trampers even sang Scotland the Brave. The warden touched on some of the issues between them and DOC (they were not happy a hut was put on Mt Panekire without consulting them as they regard it as sacred, but they said now it is there they will support it). We actually saw this warden on day 1 also when he was fixing parts of the track up there. He often walks much of the track most days, while the other warden comes in by boat.

I’ve stayed in dozens of other DOC huts with many friendly wardens. But there was something special about having the Tuhoe wardens share the history of the area and make you feel so welcome in what is effectively their home.

RIP Garrick Tremain

The Taxpayers’ Union released:

The Taxpayers’ Union today mourns the passing of Garrick Tremain, widely regarded as New Zealand’s finest and most influential political cartoonist of the contemporary era.

Garrick Tremain and Tom Scott are the two political cartoonists who stood out for me. Both so talented at their ability to puncture pomposity and make you laugh.

The Great, and Developing, City of Auckland

Last night I had the beautiful privilege of going to a remarkable concert at Vector Arena in Auckland.

My beautiful wife and I drove in from Dairy Flat with only minor delays, near the port, due to the ASB Classic Tennis – which was clearly pumping.

We had a superb dinner at Gerome in Parnell and then made our way to the concert and parked easily nearby.

Vector Arena was almost sold out for the great David Byrne of Talking Heads – and solo career – fame. He – as they say in the biz – killed it – and broke a couple of legs! I even danced, in a limited way.

When we left we had choices of how we drove back to beautiful Dairy Flat and the traffic management was superb.

We choose to drive via the new hospitality developments near the viaduct and the place was simply humming. Lit up and loads of punters.

We were just 40 minutes after leaving our seats to home – and without time to say “congestion”.

Auckland may just be on the way … and just wait until the CRL opens.

[email protected]

General Debate 17 January 2026

Lake Waikaremoana Track Day 2

Day 2 was a downhill day. Started off high up in typical NZ bush.

There were around 250 steps going down. I was glad we had them down, not up. I much prefer a sloping track to steps.

Even when there are no views of the lake, it is still beautiful terrain.

We got to Waiopaoa Hut by 11.30 am. It is down next to the lake and was in very good condition.

The original plan was to tramp to Waiharuru Hut on Day 3 with a side trip to the Korokoro Falls. But we decided to bypass Waiharuru Hut making Day 3 a very long day, so decided to do the side trip to Korokoro Falls on Day 2.

This was a very pleasant 3.5 kms (each way) to Korokoro campsite and 1.5 kms up to the falls, so a 10 km side trip! But we had all afternoon so enjoyed it.

I wasn’t expecting lupins, but this section of the track had lots of them. Felt like Central Otago!

The track from the turnoff up to Korokoro Falls is slightly challenging, including a stream crossing where there is a useful metal cable to help you balance over the rocks.

The Korokoro Falls. In hindsight I should have have a shower in them!

Me with the falls as background.

Back at the hut, this is the view of the lake. Most of us went swimming in the lake and I was surprised by how warm it was. Was a great way to refresh after 18 kms of tramping.

NZ not too bad

An article at The Conversation has how NZ has fared in various international rankings. They are:

  • 2nd: Civil Liberties
  • 3rd: Security
  • 4th: Corruption
  • 5th: Gender equality, Rule of law
  • 6th: Terrorism
  • 7th: Quality of life
  • 11th: Economic freedom
  • 12th: Happiness
  • 16th: Media freedom
  • 17th: Foreign aid
  • 26th: Innovation
  • 31st: Competitiveness, Economic Performance
  • 32nd: Youth mental health
  • 43rd: AI regulation
  • 44th: Climate change

There are around 200 countries in the world. Not all rankings are of all 200 though.

Silence on Iran’s murder of its own people: more hypocrisy from anti-Israel protesters

It is reported that Iran has massacred 12,000 pro-freedom protesters in less than a fortnight: https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/least-12-000-possibly-20-185320083.html Where is everyone who has been protesting Israel’s actions weekly over the past two years?

The Palestine Solidarity Network Aotearoa accused Israel of genocide three days after the Iranian-funded massacre of Israeli civilians on October 7, before Israel had even started its military response in Gaza. But needless to say it has said nothing about Iran’s murder of its own people. Peace Action Wellington continued to call for sanctions on Israel on its Facebook page on 14 January 2026, yet has not at the time of writing called for sanctions on Iran or said anything about the massacre.

I also have yet to see a single media outlet describe Iran’s actions towards its own people as a “genocide”, even though the total death toll in Iran now in the space of a fortnight comes to 20% of the total death toll in Gaza over a two year period including combatants (according to Hamas’ own figures).

The hypocrisy is limitless.

General Debate 16 January 2026

Lake Waikaremoana Track Day 1

In December I did my 9th NZ Great Walk. I plan to do all 11. I drove up from Wellington to Wairoa the day before.

The river in Wairoa was pleasant, and very friendly accomodation at Vista Motor Lodge. The highlight of Wairoa was seeing the small size (a two story building) of the Wairoa District Council and thinking all councils should be forced to fit into a similar size building 🙂

The next morning drove for around an hour to the Waikaremoana Holiday Park where we had a water taxi booked for 8 am. The pilot (universally referred to as Captain Jack Sparrow) was super friendly, and even allowed us to change the time for our pickup on the last day. He took us to Onepoto where we started the track.

The first day is a lot of uphill. You go up to around 1200 metres and it is pretty hard work. Some people say they prefer to leave the uphill until later in the tramp when the pack is lighter, but I prefer getting it out of the way on Day 1 when fully rested.

You get some great views of the lake as you ascend.

This is the view from where we stopped for lunch. Amazing.

Quite a lot of what people call goblin forest higher up. Always beautiful.

Got to Panekire Hut around 2 pm. Great views from the lawn outside it, so spent much time there meeting other trampers. Many were following same timetable as us, so got to know quite well almost a dozen trampers. The hut is one of the older ones. and unusually has triple bunks. So lots of climbing up ladders for those at the top.

These huts don’t have gas cookers, so this was the first tramp for a while where I had to bring in a Primus. Had a passable dehydrated meal for dinner.

Hard to overstate how beautiful the views of the lake are, from so high up.

A consensus for Bish

The Herald’s Thomas Coughlan on Politician of the Year:

That leaves, by a whisker, the winner: Chris Bishop (it’s a good year for Chrises from the Hutt).

Associate Finance Minister, Transport Minister, Housing Minister, RMA Reform Minister, Bishop has very obviously donned the mantle of “minister of everything”.

Bishop is perhaps the Government’s busiest reformer, with the transport, housing and RMA reform portfolios each being enough to burden most ordinary ministers. The staggered, tactical approach to RMA reform has been a success, and while Bishop is clearly standing on David Parker’s shoulders when it comes to the structure of some of the Government’s reforms, it’s impressive what he’s managed to accomplish in two years.

The Post politics team:

Chris Bishop is the main character of New Zealand politics. At press time he was not the leader of any major party (those are the other Christophers) but he often made more headlines than the rest of them put together. Bishop was the person most integral to all of the government’s most ambitious reforms, from the replacement of the RMA to rates capping to tolled roads of national significance.

Tova O’Brien:

Politician of the year goes to… Shihad-esque drum roll please… Minister for Everything, Chris Bishop. Congratulations.

Newsroom picks a few people also, but notes:

You’d have to recognise Chris Bishop for sheer workload

A clear victory for the MP for Hutt South!

Guest Post: No, the Supreme Court Didn’t Hand Climate Activists a Victory.  It was an own goal.

A guest post by Sean Rush:

If you’ve read the headlines about Climate Clinic Aotearoa v Minister of Energy, you might believe a group of law students marched into the Supreme Court and reshaped New Zealand’s climate policy. The popular narrative suggests a solid victory to the students, with reports that the students created new law, that climate is now a mandatory consideration when offering petroleum permits. But the reality is the decision lands as an own goal against climate activism.

As an adviser to one of the oil companies involved during the permit award phase (the “block offer”), I can confirm the students lost. Completely. The case was dismissed at every stage from the High Court through to the highest court in the land, a result that would typically attract a substantial costs award against the plaintiffs for wasting valuable court time and Crown legal resources. Yet, in this instance, the Crown chose not to seek costs, despite the financial burden on taxpayers and the economic consequences for the energy sector.  The claim was that the Minister of Energy was required to consider climate in the permit award process.  It is a wholly irrelevant question because the Minister did consider climate.  She had received extensive briefings on climate issues, and this was acknowledged by the Supreme Court. The Court went further, noting that while climate change is a mandatory consideration at the block offer stage, it is not the sole or controlling factor in the decision-making process.  In some ways this is an own goal against the students and climate activism.  The Supreme Court has determined that other, more pressing issues, should be the Minister’s primary focus. Ministers Bishop and Jones and businesses involved in fast-track projects will welcome this determination from the Supreme Court.  What the law requires is a balanced approach, weighing climate impacts with other controlling imperatives, such as energy security and economic prosperity.

This case was less about the Minister’s decision and more about a manufactured plaintiff giving eager lawyers a test case. A group of law students formed an incorporated society for the sole purpose of litigation, led by James Shaw’s brother-in-law, Dr James Every-Palmer KC.  He admitted to the Court of Appeal he was providing legal services “pro bono” i.e.  for free. With the Crown declining to seek costs, the exercise became a risk-free political punt to undermine the former Government’s clear intent: to award onshore exploration permits despite climate change.

In the High Court, Dr Every-Palmer KC argued that climate change is an “existential threat” that must be inferred into the statutory scheme. This statement went unchallenged, even though the plaintiffs’ own expert witness acknowledged that climate change is not an existential threat to humanity—a point echoed by leading scientists but omitted from court submissions.

While some have framed the case as symbolic, its consequences are tangible. Two small oil and gas companies seeking to supply gas to Taranaki were caught in the crossfire. One planned to complete drilling by 2024. Had they been allowed to proceed, New Zealand could already be benefiting from additional domestic gas supply. Instead, the economic fallout from our gas shortage is visible in lost jobs, shuttered businesses, and rising electricity prices.

Despite the clear judicial rejection of the students’ arguments, the decision has largely been portrayed as a victory for climate activism. This is misleading. The Court’s decision was a rejection of a clever legal argument that never stacked up on the facts. Because the Crown approached the litigation with kid gloves—no costs, no challenge to the existential-threat narrative, no scrutiny of the manufactured plaintiff—the students walk away ready to fight Government policy in the courts another day.

The risk-free precedent this strategy sets is not good news for any “fast-track” project or for the lawful activities that underpin New Zealand’s energy security and economic prosperity.  This was not a victory. It was a loss—total, deserved, and costly, but not to the losers, but to the winners who have to pick up the pieces and try and make a go of it, five years later. Unless the Crown stops indulging this style of litigation, we will see more of it, with the real-world consequence that the policy arising from our democratically elected Government, may be stymied by a minority who win even when they lose.


Sean Rush is a petroleum lawyer and former Wellington City Councillor.  He holds a Masters in Petroleum Law and Policy and a Masters in Climate Change Science and Policy.  He is an expert reviewer for the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.


Word Count – ~700

References:

General Debate 15 January 2026

Cunning Israelis

Wow those Israelis are good. It’s one thing to sell rigged pagers to Hezbollah, but quite another to get Matt Gaetz to pay women for sex!

Endangered Republicans at Yale

The NY Post reports:

recent report from the Buckley Institute found that there are no Republican faculty members across 27 departments at Yale University. …

It found that nearly 83% of faculty are registered Democrats or primarily support Democratic candidates.

More than 15% identify as independent, and fewer than 3% are Republicans, according to the report.

Most notably, 27 of 43 undergraduate departments had zero registered Republicans on their faculty.

Overall in the US there are equal numbers of registered republicans and democrats – 30% and 29%. At Yale democrats run-number republicans on faculty by a factor of 27!

Malpass on the India FTA

Luke Malpass writes:

When Christopher Luxon promised in a TVNZ debate in 2023 that he would get a trade deal within his first term of government, it seemed fantastical. Trade talks with India had more or less been shelved for a decade. …

And it looks pretty good. It covers a huge amount of goods (plus essentially all services) and delivers steadily lower tariff barriers over the coming decades.

Better than I expected.

In a deal like this there is no downside — just relative upside. For sheep products, tariffs are slashed to zero from day one, as they are for forestry. For dairy, high-end products and ingredients for Indian export are the main winners. That is, frankly, more than most would have expected, given India’s political sensitivity around dairy.

Lowering tariffs is a win-win for both countries.

But stepping back for a moment, at the start of 2025 virtually no one — or probably absolutely no one — would have thought New Zealand could wring this good a deal out of India, let alone in nine months.

This is unambiguously good news for New Zealand. The sheer size of India’s population, and its messy democratic path to growth, is something worth a small trading nation hitching its wagon to.

The China Free Trade Agreement outperformed expectations, and so will the Indian deal.

Yes. We have linked ourselves economically to the most populous country on Earth. We will never get a FTA with the US, but we now have ones with China, Canada, Australia, UK, EU and now India.

This also partly explains the relatively small number of three-year skilled worker visas New Zealand agreed to — just under 1700 per year — as well as the provision allowing Indian postgraduate students to stay and work in New Zealand for two or three years under the deal.

This represents just 0.03% of our population. As a percentage of current inwards migration is is a tiny 1.5% increase.

But at first blush at least, full credit is due to Christopher Luxon and Todd McClay for getting this done. It looks a real achievement. The Luxon promise was treated with scepticism at best and outright derision at worst. Without their single-minded focus, it would probably have continued to languish in the too-hard trade basket.

It’s called delivery. Something the previous government had difficulty spelling.

General Debate 14 January 2026

NZDF portrayal is concerning

From a press release:

 Independent investigative reporters Penny Marie and Rachel Scott have released a new video and accompanying Substack articles revealing NZ Defence Force (NZDF) training materials that depict “Christian extremists” as the opposing force on a map clearly modelled on New Zealand’s South Island. 

Leaked NZDF documents, reportedly used during exercises at Burnham Military Camp, describe a fictional group called the Visayan People’s Front – a “Christian extremist” organisation said to be recruiting indigenous youth under the banner of “a return to the traditional ways of a Christian nation.” Place names including Murchison, Nelson, St Arnaud, and Rainbow Ski Field appear throughout the exercise scenario. 

Could you imagine the outrage if NZDF did an exercise where the opposing force was:

  • Visayan People’s Front – a “Muslim extremist” organisation said to be recruiting indigenous youth under the banner of “a traditional Islamic state.”
  • Visayan People’s Front – a “Maori extremist” organisation said to be recruiting indigenous youth under the banner of “a return to the traditional ways of a pre-colonisation nation.”

It would be a media shitstorm that would not stop until NZDF changed it. But when you do Christians, you know the media won’t care.

The black market crisis in tobacco

A comprehensive article in the SST about the rise in black market tobacco sales in NZ. Some extracts:

  • Organised crime groups are increasingly adding tobacco to drug and money-laundering operations due to high prices
  • Dairy owner says his own legitimate cigarette sales have this year dropped from $8,000 a week to $800 a week
  • Dairies that sell legal cigarettes are being force to move over to black market sales, otherwise they lose all their customers

This is again a reminder that prohibition doesn’t work, and neither does trying to tax something so much to prohibit it.

Blocking a procession is not free speech

The Free Speech Union released:

The confrontation between Destiny Church supporters and a lawful Sikh Nagar Kirtan parade in South Auckland raises questions about where legitimate protest ends and intimidation begins, says Jillaine Heather, Chief Executive of the Free Speech Union. 

“Peaceful protest and counter-protest are crucial elements in a functioning democracy,” said Heather. “New Zealand’s strength is that we protect everyone’s right to express their views, even when those views make others uncomfortable. That includes Brian Tamaki’s right to disagree with immigration policy or criticise other religions. 

“But physically interfering with parades, speeches, or communities exercising their rights to freedom of expression and association crosses a line. When 50 people form a barrier to stop a Nagar Kirtan procession, that’s not counter-protest – it’s obstruction that limits others’ legal expression. 

“The test is simple: can both groups exercise their rights at the same time? A Sikh community walking in lawful parade doesn’t prevent Destiny Church from stating its views. But physically blocking that parade does prevent Sikhs from exercising theirs. 

I think this is right. Destiny Church has every right to protest a Sikh procession as it passes by. But they do not have the right to block it.