Secretly Mana probably hopes it’s on the losing side. Easier to make a lot of noise but harder to turn it into any real action on the battlefeild. If Mana do lose they can continue to play the grievance game and cry that the white colonialist’s mofos have stacked the deck against them once again.
Don’t like either grouping but Davis has more brains and is more presentable.
However I have a question. If Davis gets in, does someone from Labours list comes in to take Davis’s position.
But what about the Maori Party ? With Harawira leaving the Maori Party will the Maori Party get a replacement from the list.
I have thought this through and my pygmy brain has no answer.
Neil: if Kelvin Davis wins, he becomes the member for Te Tai Tokerau, with no further consequences for the Maori party: Hone was an electroate MP, not from the list.
However, because Kelvin Davis is a list MP, his election to Te Tai Tokerau will create a list vacancy. And we all know who is next of the list: Judith baby!!!! My reading of Section 137 of the Electrocal Act is that the Electoral Commission has to go back to the origional list and decided who is next (137 (2) “The Electoral Commission must determine which of the unelected candidates whose name was included in the same party list as the member whose seat has been declared vacant stood highest in the order of preference”.)
So, the Commission will have to once again ask Judith Tizard, Mark Burton, Mahara Okeroa, Martin Gallagher, Dave Hereora if they are still available, so we can get Lesley Soper back into Parliament.
The only way this can not happen is if 75% of MPs vote not to fill the vacancy.
Anthony, as Davis is seen more against Harawira it’s natural that the polls will start to more closely reflect actual sentiment…but I see Harawira claim his supporters don’t have landlines so it is under-reporting his support.
Regardless, suggesting a close run race is good for the by-election, it adds interest to it and will hopefully get more out to vote.
No money, shovels, hammers or work ethic too by the lack of signage for Hatfield. I traveled as far North as Rangiputa at the weekend and the drive between the Karikari peninsula and Auckland was spoiled by only seeing ONE mana party sign ( at the northern end of Kaeo). just one sign on a 300 km drive through the electorate.
Davis signs were more common than ticks on a mangy dogs arse.
The mana party is 20 professional Maori whingers with half a dozen unelectable Auckland communists, Mmmmmmatt Mmmmmcarten and……. Tim Selwyns house monkey.
Personally I hope he wins, the sit of Bradford, Bummer and Minto filmed in the visitors gallery cheering him on can only be good for the anti MMP vote come November.
The reality of a tough campaign may be hitting home to Hone. He separated himself from the Maori Party and all the support and votes that gave him. He’s got everything to lose and Davis can go for broke and he’s in parliament still regardless – and looks a bloody good candidate anyway.
“(1) If the Speaker is satisfied that the seat of a member elected as a consequence of inclusion of the member’s name on a list submitted under section 127 has become vacant, the Speaker must, without delay, publish a notice of the vacancy and its cause in the Gazette.
“(2) The Governor-General must, as soon as practicable after the date of a notice published in accordance with subsection (1), issue to the Electoral Commission a warrant in form 7 directing the Electoral Commission to proceed forthwith to supply the vacancy.”
You will recall one of the reasons that Phil Twyford was discouraged from standing in the Mount Albert seat was that this would, in effect, have elected Judith Tizzard off the list.
If one refuses a list spot with the next available member taking the spot, does that person who was previously skipped over still the next on the list, or does the list now continue on from after Louisa Wall? (Next after her Lesley Soper)?