John Armstrong writes:
John Key's dramatic Cabinet reshuffle displays a streak of ruthlessness hitherto rarely seen in a New Zealand prime minister.
Ruthless is a very good word for it. I'm trying to recall the last time there was a reshuffle of this nature, and I can't recall one. As I said yesterday generally Ministers are gently eased out at election time, or in the year before an election – allowing it to be arranged as a retirement. Or they are pushed out due to a major scandal or incompetence. To just dump two Ministers because you needed to rejuvenate the team, is a cold political call. It is however very much the correct one.
Above all, what the reshuffle does is put the entire Cabinet on notice.
Indeed. I suspect most Ministers also thought it would be a very minor reshuffle with Nick Smith just replacing David Carter. As news spread yesterday of two Ministers forced out, a cold sweat would have broken out with some of their colleagues thinking “That could have been me”. They will also be thinking “That could be me next time”. This is not a bad thing. Complacency is not a good thing in politics. No one should be thinking they have a eight or even expectation to remain a Minister for an entire Government. Renewal is crucial.
Tracy Watkins also calls it ruthless:
No-one saw the brutal dumping of long-time Cabinet ministers kate wilkinson and Phil Heatley coming – least of all them.
The usual route out of Cabinet for underperforming ministers is a slow slide down the rankings and reassignment to lesser portfolios.
But Prime Minister John Key, a man once known as banking's smiling assassin, refused to offer them even that fig leaf, giving them just a few hours' notice of their fate.
The smiling assassin. It's nothing personal. It's just necessary.
By launching 2013 in such dramatic fashion, Mr Key has signalled his intention to draw a line under those failures and regain the political initiative.
I think it shows significant determination that 2013 will not be like 2012. It also puts the acid on david shearer's reshuffle. It is widely acknowledged his front bench is not performing. Will he just move one or two people around or do a very significant reshuffle?
With the Government holding up well in the polls, it would have been tempting for the Prime Minister to keep the changes in his forced Cabinet reshuffle to a minimum. Why, after all, change a winning formula? But in acting as boldly as he did yesterday, John Key has actually enhanced the prospects of prolonging his ministry. The Government has freshened its face at an appropriate time, rather than waiting until closer to next year's general election, when such a shake-up would risk being seen as a mark of desperation.
I agree. Also it gives new Ministers a chance to score some runs on the board. If you become a Minister in the year before an election, it is hard to achieve much as election year is often so polarised.