Predictions for 2018

Once again I emulate the annual Fairfax , with my own. Here’s my 20 for 2018:

  1. NZ First will be on or below 5% in most public polls in 2018
  2. Bill English will remain National Party Leader
  3. By the end of 2018 the Government will not have achieved even 1% of its ten year targets for houses or trees
  4. At least three National List MPs will retire in 2018
  5. Eugenie Sage will be elected Greens female co-leader
  6. The End of Life Choice Bill will pass its third reading
  7. At least one Minister will be gone by the end of the year
  8. The official cash rate will stay constant in 2018
  9. A new political party will be registered in 2018
  10. Geoff Simmons will be annointed or elected Leader of TOP
  11. The Green Party will have a new Chief of Staff in 2018
  12. The Government will increase the operating allowances for future years in the 2018 Budget
  13. Lance O’Sullivan will be elected male co-leader of the Maori Party
  14. The Tax Working Group will recommend a Capital Gains Tax
  15. There will be a leadership spill in the Australian Liberal Party
  16. NZ First will declare there were no donations received over $15,000 to the Electoral Commission
  17. Lisa Owen will be the next Political Editor for Newshub
  18. The seasonally adjusted unemployment rate for September 2018 will be the same or higher than September 2017
  19. An electorate MP will resign their seat in 2018 triggering a by-election
  20. An MP will get pregnant in 2018

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