Quin’s four reasons Trump may win
Phil Quin writes:
Since I loathe Donald Trump with the ferocity of a thousand suns – and regard the prospect of a second Trump term as just shy of apocalyptic – it pains me to admit, just under a year away from the 2020 US presidential election, that he is probably slightly better than even money to win again. At the risk of this turning into a listicle, I have four reasons.
So what are Quin’s reasons for thinking Trump may win again. In summary:
- The US economy is doing well
- The Electoral College favours Trump. He could win a majority even if he gets five million fewer votes in the popular vote.
- The Democrats have gone too radical with their $50 trillion health nationalisation proposals
- The Trump campaign has huge money – over $300 million this year
Reasons No 1,2 and 4 are unlikely to change. So the key variable is whom the Democrats choose.