PM dead wrong

The Herald reports:

Prime Jacinda Ardern has warned to “never underestimate New Zealand First”, as her party grapples with its lowest poll numbers in two years. …

Speaking to 1News this morning, Ardern warned “never underestimate New Zealand First”.

If NZ First increased its vote by just 1 per cent, it would be back in Parliament.

National Simon Bridges said that Ardern's comments this morning indicated that Ardern was “effectively saying she's banking on NZ First at the next election”.

-NZ First tied at the hip. It's becoming increasingly clear; a vote for NZ First is a vote for Labour in Ardern's eyes.”

That is the message that needs to go out. A vote for Winston is a vote for Labour.

In fact, Ardern took aim at the Colmar Brunton poll and said it has consistently underestimated Labour.

She said that has been a constant issue with the poll.

This is absolutely wrong.

Here's the last four pre-election CB poll and the actual results:

  • 2017: 37% poll vs 36.9% election
  • 2014: 25.2% poll vs 25.1% election
  • 2011: 28.0% poll vs 27.5% election
  • 2008: 35.0% poll vs 34.0% election

In every election the ONCB poll got Labour dead right or had them slightly higher than the election.

So again the Prime Minister is flat out wrong and is generating fake news with her claims.

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