Biden has 16% lead in SSRS poll

Joe Biden has a 16% lead in the SSRS poll, which is huge. They normally lean 1.2% to the Democrats, but even taking that into account, the lead is massive.

A month ago the lead was 8%, so it has doubled.

Some key data:

  • Trump net favourability -20%
  • Biden net favourability +10%
  • Pence net favourability -11%
  • Harris net favourability +11%
  • Economic management – Biden and Trump tied
  • Covid response – Biden +22%
  • Health care – Biden +20%
  • Racial inequality – Biden +26%
  • Crime and safety – Biden +12%
  • Unite the country – Biden +28%
  • Honest – Biden + 25%
  • Won 1st debate – Biden +31%

And the demographics for the Presidential vote:

  • Men – Trump +2%
  • Women – Biden +34%
  • Whites – Biden +4%
  • Under 50s – Biden +25%
  • Over 65s – Biden 21%
  • Non college – Biden +6%
  • White non college – Trump +13%
  • White college – Biden +33%
  • Independents – Biden +21%
  • Moderates – Biden +40%

Just one poll but the 538 polling average has the gap now at 8.9% and growing and Biden at 83% probability to win. Real Clear Politics has Biden with 374 EV votes to 164 for Trump.

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