Kiwiblog’s 2022 Predictions

I forgot to do these for 2021, but my annual predictions (emulating Stuff) are back. Here’s my 20 predictions for this year, which I’ll score at the end of the year.

  1. Peeni Henare will not be Minister of Defence by the end of 2022
  2. There will be a by-election in 2022
  3. NZ First will record at least 4% in at least once public poll
  4. By the end of 2022 (after five years) the Government will not have achieved even 5% of its ten year targets for houses or trees
  5. The Republicans will win the House and the Senate in the mid terms
  6. Phil Goff will not be re-elected Mayor of Auckland
  7. The Government will back down on Three Waters having equal co-governance between Councils and Iwi
  8. Paul Eagle will be elected Mayor of Wellington
  9. By the end of 2022, fewer than 7% of Government vehicles will be emissions free
  10. Fleur Fitzsimons will be appointed the Labour candidate for Rongotai
  11. Construction will not have begun in light rail in Auckland
  12. National will poll over 35% in at least one public poll
  13. Tim Shadbolt will not be re-elected Mayor of Invercargill
  14. Boris Johnson will be rolled as Conservative Party Leader
  15. Labour will repeal the Three Strikes Law
  16. Donald Trump will announce his candidacy for 2024, if the Republicans gain at least 20 seats in the House and win the Senate
  17. The Greens will change their rules so both co-leaders can be women
  18. Labor will win the Australian Federal Election
  19. At least one area of NZ will be moved into the red level of the Covid traffic light system in 2022
  20. There will be a state funeral in 2022

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