Aussie goes to the polls

The 47th Australian Federal Election will be on Saturday 21 May 2022.

It is likely to see Anthony Albanese become Prime Minister – the seventh since John Howard. Of the nine elections since 1993, the Coalition has won seven of them. But a fourth term for the current Government seems unlikely.

The Coalition has not led in any poll since January 2021. That is 88 polls in a row that hasn’t had them ahead.

The latest polls has Labour 8% ahead on two party preferred. That is a landslide under their electoral system.

Also an issue is Morrison. His net satisfaction is -12% compared to -1% for Albanese.

Also Albanese has overtaken Morrison as Preferred PM for the first time- rare for an opposition leader.

Of course the campaign may change things. If the Coalition can maintain a focus on economic issues, they worked for them last election. But it will be a big gap to close in just six weeks.