Profile of NZ Electorates

April 6th, 2008 at 1:37 pm by David Farrar

Last Sunday the Herald on Sunday ran a two-page feature from me profiling , using the I had blogged about in March.

This wasn’t a political feature, but demographic. We analysed around half a dozen of the more interesting electorates – Auckland Central, Botany, Clutha-Southland, Tauranga, Epsom, Mangere and Northland, to see what was distinctive in each area.

Ironically I have not seen the final article myself as I missed getting a paper that day, but have had some very nice feedback on it.

One of the things I did in researching it also, was draw up a list of “most” and leasts” for various indicators. For those interested, here it is:

  • Most under 15s – Mangere – 30%
  • Most 15 – 19 year olds – Dunedin North – 14%
  • Most 20 – 29 year olds – Auckland Central – 30%
  • Most 30 – 49 year olds – Ohariu – 35%
  • Most 50 – 64 year olds – Coromandel – 21%
  • Most over 65s – Otaki – 23%
  • Youngest median age – Manurewa – 28 years
  • Oldest median age – Otaki – 44 years 
  • Most residents born overseas – Botany – 49%
  • Most born in New Zealand – Invercargill – 90%
  • Most Buddhists – Botany – 4.6%
  • Most Catholics – Hutt South – 18%
  • Most Christians – Mangere – 71%
  • Most Hindus – Mt Roskill – 12%
  • Most Muslims – Mt Roskill – 7%
  • Least Catholics – Nelson – 10%
  • Most Ratana – Northland – 5.4%
  • Most Brethren – Palmerston North – 1.3%
  • Most Jews – Tamaki – 1.4% 
  • Most Married – Selwyn – 56%
  • Most one-person households – Christchurch Central – 32%
  • Most mortgaged – Helensville – 43%
  • Most mortgage free homes – Ilam – 37%
  • Most Home Owners – Selwyn – 78%
  • Most renting – Wellington Central – 44%
  • Most Europeans – Rodney – 83%
  • Most Maori – East Coast – 46%
  • Most Pacific Islanders – Mangere – 59%
  • Most Asians – Mt Roskill – 40% 
  • Most family incomes over $100,000 – Epsom – 46%
  • Lowest median family income – Northland – $43,500
  • Most home phones – Ilam 96%
  • Most cellphones – Ohariu – 82%
  • Most Internet access – Ohariu – 76% 
  • Most unqualified – Invercargill – 32%
  • Most educated – Wellington Central – 41% degree holding
  • Most unemployed – Manukau East – 5.6%
  • Most Labourers – Rangitata – 20%
  • Most miners – West Coast-Tasman – 2.1%
  • Most agricultural workers – Taranaki-King Country – 24% 
  • Smallest – Epsom – 23 sq kms
  • Largest – Clutha/Southland – 38,000 sq kms

 Took a long time going through all 63 electorate profiles, but was an interesting job.

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41 Responses to “Profile of NZ Electorates”

  1. Neil (577 comments) says:

    David that was an interesting effort.
    I live in Clutha-Southland, met you on that great night in 2002 when Bill was leader and had a function at Croydon Lodge.
    Clutha-Southland now takes in the remnants of FPP electorates of the old Wallace,Awarua,Otago Central and the Dunedin West sea. It is the largest area for any electorate, for a sitting MP difficult to service.Developing community of interests is becoming increasingly difficult,quite different to Rodney Hide in Epsom.
    Believe it or not there are some locals who think that Bill English is sitting in his Gore office waiting to give service !
    Primarily rural Clutha-Southland, Bill English fits the electorates needs well, both socially and economically.One might not agree about everything he stands for, however I feel proud to see Bill in the house really dishing it the government.
    Bill didn’t get a fair go from the party and also from social commentators who sort of lumped him with the gumboot wearing black singlet brigade

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  2. pushmepullu (686 comments) says:

    7% Muslims in Mt Roskill? That’s a concern

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  3. Redbaiter (11,880 comments) says:

    “Most educated – Wellington Central – 41% degree holding ”

    The root of so many of the problems that befall this country. If there’d been such categories as most brainwashed, most full of bullshit lies and propaganda, least productive, most wasteful of human resources, you could bet your house those too would be won by Wellington Central.

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  4. Owen McShane (1,182 comments) says:

    Most “post modernists” would also be true.

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  5. Ryan Sproull (7,361 comments) says:

    7% Muslims in Mt Roskill? That’s a concern

    Why’s that?

    [DPF: Yeah I don’t see why this is an issue. There is a difference between Islam and Islamism]

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  6. pushmepullu (686 comments) says:

    7% is pretty high

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  7. David Farrar (1,437 comments) says:

    Not really as they are 40% Asian, so assuming all the Muslims in Mt Roskill are Asians (and they won’t be but assuming for now), then that is just saying one in six Asian families are Muslim. I’m more surprised that you have 5% Buddhists in a seat,

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  8. Ryan Sproull (7,361 comments) says:

    I’m more surprised that you have 5% Buddhists in a seat

    Truly. I’m very surprised by that.

    DPF: Yeah I don’t see why this is an issue.

    Well, there are some people who believe that there is a kind of critical-mass tipping point at which Muslims (not just “Islamists”) will suddenly attempt to overthrow democracy and impose Sharia law on everyone, perhaps turning New Zealand into the countries they left to emigrate here.

    [DPF: Many Muslims are what I would almost call secular Muslims. They culturally are Muslim but do not follow the Koran religiously. Sort of the equivalent of the Christians who stick it down on their census form but only go to church once a year if that. They follow some of the cultural and religious precepts of Islam, but by no means all.]

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  9. Nicholas O'Kane (147 comments) says:

    “Well, there are some people who believe that there is a kind of critical-mass tipping point at which Muslims (not just “Islamists”) will suddenly attempt to overthrow democracy and impose Sharia law on everyone, perhaps turning New Zealand into the countries they left to emigrate here”

    I’m not worried about the tipping point idea. Frankly, the Islamic population in NZ is small, and we are 100s of years away (on current demographic trends) from being a muslim majority country. And there is not one case study in recent history of Islamists taking over a country and imposing sharia law. There has been much disscussion about “Eurabia” (i.e. a muslim europe) but recent years has seen more europeans waking up to the Islamic threat.

    The real Islamic threat to NZ isn’t Muslims forming a majority and imposing Sharia law. It is Al Qaeda and like minded Islamist individuals or groups finding disenchanted young men, and persuading them to join them and carry out terrorist attacks in NZ. NZ isn’t imune to Islamic terrorism, as we have troops “occupying” Afghanistan, and have sent “occupation forces” to Iraq (if breifly) and East Timor (which is a christian state, but which Al Qaeda believes should be part of an Islamic superstate, as it broke away from Muslim Indonesia a few years ago). So even though we may not be the strongest US Ally, we are still an Islamic terrorist target.

    “Many Muslims are what I would almost call secular Muslims. They culturally are Muslim but do not follow the Koran religiously. Sort of the equivalent of the Christians who stick it down on their census form but only go to church once a year if that. They follow some of the cultural and religious precepts of Islam, but by no means all.”

    I don’t think so. I have seen Islamic haedwear worn by Muslim women at Vic Uni, by Muslim students several times. Islam is not a culture, it is a religion. And even these secular muslims, obviously still regard themselves as Muslim when they answer census forms, can be won over to the extremist side, especially if young, have no job opportunities, and feel disenfranchised, or not part of society.

    The key issue is how to integrate the Muslims. If there numbers are kept relatively small, they integrate well, don’t form seperate islamic enclaves (i.e. don’t all reside in one suburb of a city), marry non-muslims in a lot of cases, and are not economically disadvantaged, things should go well, and we will avoid a home grown Islamic terrorist threat. This has happened to a large degree with the Islamic population in America.

    What we need to avoid is the Europe scenario, by which we end up with a large Islamic minority, who are unable to and/or don’t want to assimilate or integrate, live in seperate ghetto areas of the city’s to the european population, have a high birth and unemployment rate (i.e. lots of unemployed young men) and feel disenfranchised within society, and turn to Islamic extremist groups to find meaning in life, and because of lack of opportunities elsewhere.

    I don’t know enough about the Islamic community in NZ to make judgements on whether the Europe or America models fits us best, but we do need to be carefull. There are far more Islamic extremists than Christian or Budhist extremists (and by extremist I mean not Destiny church style groups, but violent terroists) in the world.

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  10. Pamela Mills (1 comment) says:

    Gotta love multi cultural Mt Roskill – best place ever!

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  11. peterquixote (231 comments) says:

    excellent post again farrar, it turn out I donts live anywhere, never get mentioned in them polls, not old, not rich, not poor, no proper religious,
    hardly not enough girls homes to go to,

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  12. Lee C (2,720 comments) says:

    pop-quiz – which is the fastest growing religion in the world? Answer on –
    http://monkeyswithtypewriter.blogspot.com/

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  13. Southern Raider (1,777 comments) says:

    I think it would be more disturbing living in Hutt South with all those mickey doolies.

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  14. pdm (707 comments) says:

    Most Brethen – Palmerston North.

    I would have thought both Tukituki and Nelson would have given that a nudge.

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  15. BlairM (2,340 comments) says:

    Mt Roskill is officially the worst place I have every lived. Two months was enough. It’s not the multiculturalism (that I can handle), it’s the bad architecture, the streets full of state houses, the lack of any sort of cultural focal point for the suburb, the distance from practically anywhere important, and the knowledge that most of your neighbours are either Christian or Islamic fundamentalists.

    I pity anyone stuck there for any length of time.

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  16. Tauhei Notts (1,688 comments) says:

    As an amateur psephologist I will find the N.Z. First voting figures in Mount Roskill fascinating.

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  17. Fred (137 comments) says:

    psephologist = one who studies the influence of asiatic herbs in food on human behaviour. Wild speculation here but it’s got my interest.

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  18. Tauhei Notts (1,688 comments) says:

    Ig armoto Fred.
    My inadequate knowledge of Greek, you malaka, indicates that psephology is a statistical and sociological study of elections.
    I sometimes have Asiatic herbs with my keftethes, but never with my psari. You may be of much use as a xeros moonie.

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  19. Fred (137 comments) says:

    Well it would seem that Mt Roskill brings out the extremes, love it or hate it. What about the clear divide between Auckland and the rest of the country. Invercargill 90% born in NZ. How many Aucklanders have actually been to Invercargill.

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  20. BlairM (2,340 comments) says:

    LOL Fred, I love Invercargill, but I’m laughing at it rather than with it. You gotta love those LA-sized boulevards that the town fathers mapped out in anticipation of thriving metropolity that never quite happened. And its status as the scene of two of NZ’s best films: Goodbye Pork Pie and The World’s Fastest Indian, cannot be detracted from. I hear the oysters are fresh too. But personally I prefer being three minutes’ walk from the wonderful bars and restaurants Kingsland has to offer :oP

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  21. redbus (33 comments) says:

    Darling Coromandel – we must be the electorate with the most scones per person by that analysis.

    I’m very proud to hold that badge.

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  22. bobux (315 comments) says:

    Southern Raider

    Yeah, that stat had me scratching my head too. I hadn’t noticed exactly noticed the Hutt being a hotbed of popery.

    On further reflection, over the past decade a fairly significant Filipino community has developed. Perhaps that is enough to tip the balance. (And just for the record, I’ve found them to be a hard-working law-abiding bunch, though I’m sure Winston First wouldn’t see them that way).

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  23. Duxton (659 comments) says:

    Most who are related to each other: New Plymouth – 82%

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  24. expat (4,050 comments) says:

    Blair, what was that? Being three minutes walk from the wonderful bars and restaurants in Kingsland? Sucking gas fumes from New North Road in company of the local mental support group members and residents of the boarding houses! :)

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  25. rubbernecker (13 comments) says:

    nice work dpf.

    Invercargill: most born in NZ and most unqualified…

    not mutually exclusive I imagine.

    what was that pathetic gimp from NZ first banging on about again?

    says it all really.

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  26. pushmepullu (686 comments) says:

    Many Muslims are what I would almost call secular Muslims. They culturally are Muslim but do not follow the Koran religiously. Sort of the equivalent of the Christians who stick it down on their census form but only go to church once a year if that. They follow some of the cultural and religious precepts of Islam, but by no means all.

    If these Muslims were so-called ‘secular muslims’ they probably wouldn’t have put down ‘muslim’ on their census form.

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  27. philu (12,989 comments) says:

    neil..

    “..however I feel proud to see Bill in the house really dishing it the government..”

    how do you feel about the view held by many…(and going by her exasperated tones/impatience including speaker margaret wilson..)..

    ..that english could ‘bore for new zealand’..?

    phil(whoar.co.nz)

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  28. philu (12,989 comments) says:

    “..7% Muslims in Mt Roskill? That’s a concern

    Why’s that?..”

    that’s cos’ push-me-wank-you is a feckin’ racist-bigot….

    how is that not the bleeding obvious..?

    phil(whoar.co.nz)

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  29. bwakile (435 comments) says:

    Great post philu and it’s only Monday

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  30. pushmepullu (686 comments) says:

    Philu, can we please discuss the issues rather than resort to personal insults?

    If you’ve got an argument as to why I’m wrong I’d like to hear it. Purile wordplays on my username don’t do anything to negate what I’m saying.

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  31. dad4justice (6,595 comments) says:

    Philly Whoar must be coming down from a bad acid trip.

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  32. Neil (577 comments) says:

    Blair M’s comments just shows what preconceptions some people north have, and laughing at us rather than with us.
    Invercargill is magnificently laid out with plenty or room for people.
    Realize that Southland has worked hard to pull out of the 90’s gloom and has a very successful development agency.
    Does Southland have the problems with exorbitant housing prices,exorbitant rents, third world poverty to a degree,traffic snarls,schools under pressure and other situations. Even the northern scams hit Southland, like Blue Chip and Bridgecorp
    We are more cautious down here, I don’t think thats too bad a thing.
    And by the way we have an aiport and a main highway where we can get out to places close at hand like Queenstown,Te Anau, Dunedin and the rest of New Zealand.
    See the South before you comment. I have been to Auckland several times and seen a cross section of it.

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  33. philu (12,989 comments) says:

    “..How many Aucklanders have actually been to Invercargill…”

    and how many invercargillites..with the exception of shadbolt..

    have ever been to the city of sails/sun/fun/warmth…?

    where ‘everybody is your friend’..

    phil(whooar.co.nz)

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  34. philu (12,989 comments) says:

    “..Purile wordplays on my username don’t do anything to negate what I’m saying..”

    what are you saying..?..push-me-wank-you..?..(can i call you ‘dickwad’..?..)

    (and ‘purile (sic) wordplays’ on users names..

    are (just) one of the things i do..)

    phil(whoar.co.nz

    (interesting post btw dpf..i’ll link it..)

    btw..mcshane seems to have a bit of a bee in his bonnet about those ‘post-modernists’..eh..?

    (funny wee chappie..eh..?..a modern day ‘flat-earther’..

    banging on and on about his ‘post-modernists’..)

    “..Does Southland have the problems with exorbitant housing prices,exorbitant rents, third world poverty to a degree,traffic snarls,schools under pressure and other situations..?”

    um..!..no..!..

    it’s just arse-bitingly cold..

    (c.f…”city of sails/sun/fun/warmth…where everybody is your friend’..)

    and the poverty down south is a more desperate/cold/rural/small-town prescription of/for misery..

    those who have the intellectual wherewithall to..escape at first opportunity..

    (they have survivors/support clubs/groups in many major cities..)

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  35. philu (12,989 comments) says:

    “..And by the way we have an aiport and a main highway where we can get out..”

    whew..!..just as well..eh..?/..’that’s a relief..!’

    imagine..being..trapped..?

    (sorta like that old tv series..’the prisoner’..eh..?

    can’t you just see those big balls bouncing down those broad bountiful invercargill boulevards..?)

    phil(whoar.co.nz)

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  36. Redbaiter (11,880 comments) says:

    “that’s cos’ push-me-wank-you is a feckin’ racist-bigot. how is that not the bleeding obvious..?”

    Its not obvious because Islam is a religion not a race. What is obvious is that you’re a knee jerk reacting brainwashed feckin’ idiot. These things need to be discussed, and debate should not be shut down by loud and false allegations of racism by one track pseudo liberal morons like you.

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  37. pushmepullu (686 comments) says:

    I have no problem with Arabs in themselves, it’s just when they follow a violent religion that I worry.

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  38. John Ansell (832 comments) says:

    Interesting that the oldest electorate (Otaki) has the youngest MP (Darren Hughes).

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  39. stephen (3,981 comments) says:

    You regard “If there’d been such categories as most brainwashed, most full of bullshit lies and propaganda, least productive, most wasteful of human resources,” as discussion and debate Redbaiter? At least the second half of that can be debated, but ‘brainwashed’? Lol – I for one agree, anyone who works for government is inherently bad and their motives are obviously rooted in Bolshevism or something.

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  40. RRM (10,104 comments) says:

    You’ll get used to the cries of “brainwashed” from that one Steve…

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