As expected Hone Harawira has won the Maori Party nomination for Te Tao Tokerua. It is almost inevitable he will be an MP after September.
The more I think about it, the more certain I am the Maori Party will win all seven Maori seats. The reasons is simple – activists.
The Maori Party is going to have well over 1000 activists who will be working almost full-time (and yes you and I will be paying most of them, but hey we funded the Alliance the same way for years) to get out the vote for the Maori Party. And quite simple Labour in the Maori seats will have very few people willing to work for them. Sure thay may still have a number who will vote for them, but they will be lacking those passionate activists who can make such a difference.